|
Re: My wagers for Saturday 3/15/2008:
$330 to win $300 Kent State -2
I have Akron ranked 81st nationally and Kent State ranked 70th. Not a big disparity there but Kent did pull out both wins against the Zips this year (won just last week @ Akron). Akron has an OPP of 1.05 (Kent has 1.03) and a DPP of 0.96 (Kent 0.93). That has the line set at about the right spot. I’ve played against Kent in their last two games in this tourney, but I actually like them here tonight. They’ve gone 7-2 L/9 ATS, and Akron has historically been a poor small dog team going 3-13 ATS as dogs of 2.5 or less. Akron is 1-4 SU & ATS this year verses teams that are outscoring their opponents by four or more points/game. Kent is 10-1 SU this season verses teams that are allowing 64 or less PPG, and 13-3 SU verses teams with winning records. That’s enough good marks to have me on them as a small favorite.
This looks to be it for the day.
GL
Doc
|