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lillefty's plays 5/12 to 5/18
NBA 162-138-6 .$ +.1265.50 mon 1-1 $ - 10
CBB 194-176-6 $ -.......9.00
MLB 123-111-3 .$ +.1250.50 Mon 5-3 $ + 685
NHL 22-30-2 ... $ - ..350.75 Mon 0-1 $ -105
NFL 7-7 ..........$ -....123.50
CFB 6-3 ..........$ +...213.00
tot 510-464-18 $ +..2396.75
Parlays 3-14 ....$ +...469.00
tot since jan 1..$ +..2865.75
MLB dog system(wins are based on series win not actual games)
169-31 $ + 1219.60 mon 4-0 $ + 1032.05 divide series 184 + 187 losses equally into upcoming series.
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starting bankroll $7,500 on jan 1
Jan totals 134-107-6 .$ + 1,439.25
Feb totals 94-105-5 ..$ - 1,139.50 (+299.75 ytd)
Mar totals 106-90-2 ..$ + 881.50(+ 1,181.25 ytd)
apr totals 136-133-5..$ + 774.50(+ 1,955.75 ytd)
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pending futures bets....
redsox under 93 wins lay $550 to make $500
no triple crown winner lay $800 to make $500
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MLB
Pit (+140) game 1(3 units)(win) my theories on doubleheaders is as follows: I have found that more often than not the teams split the 2 games. The team that wins game 1 tends to rest their better players in order to get all of the position players on the roster in. I bet the dogs if the same team is dog in both games. Only exception to this is if the dogs are both +200 or more.
tor(+130) game 1(3units)(loss) if necessary same bet gm 2 Tor(+145)(win)
bosox/twins under 9.5(loss) Similar to batista yesterday, buchholz has bounced back from all previous rough starts. hernandez has been a magician his whole career, putting runners on base all game long and then POOF!!! end of the inning.
Fla/cin over 9(+105)(win) harang has pitched well but feels like he needs to pitch a shutout to win. This pressure will get to harang here as the offense for the marlins is kicking. Badenhop has had 2 quality starts his last 2 times out, but that was at home.Young pitchers tend to be great at home but struggle on the road.
LAA/CWS over 9(win)
STLOUIS(loss)
NATIONALS(+145)(win) this game is a toss up. Figueroa has been decent not spectacular this year. He puts many runners on. Perez is on a bounceback. He has pitched mostly well this year and the problem has been run support. with figueroa giving out free passes, I see the nats winning this on 7-5
NBA
Bos/cleve over 180.5(loss)
cleve -1.5(win)
parlay
NHL
Dallas (+105)(loss) a team down 2-0 coming home is always a solid bet. If dallas doesn't win this game then there probably will be a sweep. Look for dallas to come out strong tonight.
all games are $110 to make $100(1 unit) unless noted
I will be testing out my own tweak on the MLB dog system, hoping for some nice return with little downside. We will see how it goes.
MLB system plays
MLB dog system games look like this:All plays for series (198-213) starting on Monday and tuesday will have base bets of $112. $107(chase 184+187) + $5(base bet) = $112 + vig . Series 194 has games 3 and 4 going today so obviously that is not a chase included in the $112. Should the Blue Jays lose both games there(that would suck!). I will put that chase into the amts in series 214 and up. Good luck to all.
**** when shopping for lines, I have found that you get the best price on the dogs on the opening lines. Midnight is better than 6 am, which is better than noon, which is better than 6 pm***
series 194..game 3...Tor(+130) $455/$590(loss) if necessary Game 4...(+145) $910/1319.50(win)
series 198..game 1...tex(+115) $112/$128.80(win) end of series
series 199..game 1...Fla(+165) $112/$185.80(loss) next bet 224 + vig
series 200..game 1...wash(+145) $112/$163.40(win) end of series
series 201..game 1...TB(+105) $112/$117.60(win) end of series
series 202..game 1...SD(+180) $112/$201.60(loss) next bet 224 + vig
series 203..game 1...SF(+130) $112/$145.60(loss) next bet 224 + vig
good luck and take care,
lillefty
Last edited by lillefty; 05-16-08 at 11:48 AM.
Reason: add system plays
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