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Re: lillefty's plays 5/13
NBA 163-139-6 .$ +.1455.50 mon 1-1 $ + 190
CBB 194-176-6 $ -.......9.00
MLB 129-117-3 .$ +.1500.50 Mon 6-6 $ + 250
NHL 22-30-2 ... $ - ..350.75
NFL 7-7 ..........$ -....123.50
CFB 6-3 ..........$ +...213.00
tot 517-471-18 $ +..2836.75
Parlays 3-14 ....$ +...469.00
tot since jan 1..$ +..3305.75
MLB dog system(wins are based on series win not actual games)
169-31 $ + 1910.60 mon 4-0 $ + 691 divide series 184 + 187 losses equally into upcoming series.
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starting bankroll $7,500 on jan 1
Jan totals 134-107-6 .$ + 1,439.25
Feb totals 94-105-5 ..$ - 1,139.50 (+299.75 ytd)
Mar totals 106-90-2 ..$ + 881.50(+ 1,181.25 ytd)
apr totals 136-133-5..$ + 774.50(+ 1,955.75 ytd)
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pending futures bets....
redsox under 93 wins lay $550 to make $500
no triple crown winner $800 to make $500
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MLB....
orioles(+155)(win) guthrie has been solid only allowing more than 3 runs once in last 6 starts. If he does that today I stand a good chance with this one as oriole pen is pitching well right now. Sox pen is struggling and they need a long outing from beckett tonight. Sox offense on the road has been spotty at best and at this price it is a shot worth taking.
white sox(+120)(loss) wrong pitcher is favored here angels and weaver are struggling right now. Danks has been solid all season long but has suffered from lack of run support. Look for sox to put up a few on the board tonight vs weaver.
Det/KC over 8.5(-105)(loss) robertson is batting practice when he takes the mound. He has given up no less than 1 hit per inn in any start this year and is an over contender everytime he takes the mound. Greinke has been maybe the biggest surprise this year on the mound but his #'s vs this group of tigers leads me to believe he will give it up tonight.
oak (+110)(loss)
Sea/tex under 9.5(-105)(win)
tor/minny under 9(-115)(win)
Philly(-125)(win)
D-Backs(-130)(3 units)(win) the #'s against francis are scary. Drew 5-14(.357), hammock 8-14(.429), Jackson 10-29(.345) 4 hr, reynolds 6-12(.500), upton 4-9(.444), young 5-15(.333) too bad micah owings wasn't pitching.
Marlins(+155)(loss) I realize volquez is the man right now but this price is too sweet to not take a chance on. Hendrickson has yet to give up more than 3 runs in any start this year and I will take that from any pitcher getting +155
Astros(+115)(loss) how can you not ride the stros right now. Backe has pitched well against the giants(who hasn't?). Cain is solid but relief corps has benn a sieve.
cubs/sd under 12.5(win) ok call me a sucker here but I will fall for any game involving the padres and a 12.5 #.
nationals (+180)(loss) lannan's last 3 road starts have been awesome 2 er in 20 ip less than a 1 whip. If he pitches anything like that tonight, I gotta good chance here. For +180, that is a chance I will take.
NBA
Hornets -3(3 units)(win)
det/magic over 185.5(loss)
parlay
NHL
all games are $110 to make $100(1 unit) unless noted
I will be testing out my own tweak on the MLB dog system, hoping for some nice return with little downside. We will see how it goes.
MLB system plays
MLB dog system games look like this:All plays for series (198-212) starting on Monday and tuesday will have base bets of $112. $107(chase 184+187) + $5(base bet) = $112 + vig . Good luck to all.
**** when shopping for lines, I have found that you get the best price on the dogs on the opening lines. Midnight is better than 6 am, which is better than noon, which is better than 6 pm***
224
series 199..game 2...Fla(+150) $224/$336(loss) next bet 448 + vig
series 202..game 2...SD(+150) $224/$336(win) end of series
series 203..game 2...SF(+110) $224/$246.60(win) end of series
series 204..game 1...Balt(+155) $112/$173.60(win) end of series
series 205..game 1...oak(+110) $112/123.20(loss) next bet 224 + vig
series 206..game 1...atl(+120) $112/$134.40(loss) next bet 224 + vig
series 207..game 1...lad(-105) $117.60/$112(loss) next bet 235.20 + vig
series 208..game 1...det(+115) $112/$128.80(loss) next bet 224 + vig
series 209..game 1...min(-120) $134.40/$112(loss) next bet 268.80 + vig
series 210..game 1...pit(+140) $112/$156.80(win) end of series
series 211..game 1...col(+125) $112/$140(loss) next bet 224 + vig
series 212..game 1...cws(+120) $112/$134.40(loss) next bet 224 + vig
good luck and take care,
lillefty
Last edited by lillefty; 05-16-08 at 11:49 AM.
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