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Re: lillefty's plays 5/16
NBA 164-140-7 .$ +.1455.50 Fri 1-0-1 $ + 110
CBB 194-176-6 $ -.......9.00
MLB 142-126-5 .$ +.1850.50 Fri 5-4 $433.50
NHL 22-30-2 ... $ - ..350.75
NFL 7-7 ..........$ -....123.50
CFB 6-3 ..........$ +...213.00
tot 535-482-20 $ +..3469.25
Parlays 3-15 ....$ +...444.00 FRI 0-1 $-25
tot since jan 1..$ +..3913.25
MLB dog system(wins are based on series win not actual games)
176-36 $ (1,112.50) FRI 4-0 $ + 1,017 divide series losses equally into upcoming series.
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starting bankroll $7,500 on jan 1
Jan totals 134-107-6 .$ + 1,439.25
Feb totals 94-105-5 ..$ - 1,139.50 (+299.75 ytd)
Mar totals 106-90-2 ..$ + 881.50(+ 1,181.25 ytd)
apr totals 136-133-5..$ + 774.50(+ 1,955.75 ytd)
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pending futures bets....
redsox under 93 wins lay $550 to make $500
no triple crown winner $800 to make $500
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based on winnings last night I have crossed the $11 grand bankroll total. This will allow me to up my base bet to $110(one unit). I always try to keep my base unit as 1% of my bank roll for those who are looking at this for the 1st time.
MLB...
pitt (+140)(loss) lay 110 to make 154
padres -1/2 run(1st 5 inn)(+120) 3 units(win) lay 330 to make 396 #'s vs young...beltre 3-14(.214), betancourt 1-13(.077), bloomquist 1-7(.143), ibanez 3-20(.150), lopez 2-12(.167), vidro 1-7(.143)...batista's last 2 starts he has given up 13 hits and 9 walks in 7 2/3 inn. He is a hot and cold pitcher. when he is hot you want to ride him, when he is on a cold streak fade,fade,fade
blue jays/phils over 9.5(win)
indians/reds under 9.5(win)
D-Backs - 1/2 run(+110) 1st 5 inn(loss) haren is money in the bank at home always has been. Bonderman, like most of the tigers this year is putting the tigers behind early leaving them to play catch up.
Marlins -130(loss) for some reason even when they were laughing stocks, them and the rays always played wel9l during interleague play. Miller has been solid 4 out his last 5 starts to help the Marlins surge toward 1st. Now he gets to play stopper vs kc and tomko. TO say that tomko is struggling is being nice.
Angels (-120)(win) halos are 17-3 in their last 20 vs crosstown rivals. Koroda has been every other kinda starter of late and his last start was a good one. Saunders has been solid all year long for the angels.
brewers(+230)(ppd) how can I not try it for this price? Suppan has allowed 2 runs or less in 5 of 8 starts this year. Dice-k has been playing houdini all year long , loading up the bases w/walks and then escaping. This brewers lineup will make you pay for that.
Twins(+125)(win) take out cook's 6-2 record and the rockies are 9-24 on the season. Jiminez is putting wayyyyyyy to many runners on base. The scappy twins will find a way to bring them home if you give them enough chances
Mets(-140)(2 units)(ppd) this is what the mets paid for. Johan will show the yanks what they are missing when he takes the mound tonight. I figured he would be a 175 or 180 fave but this represents value
A's(+145)(loss) this game is a toss up. Both pitchers just keep their teams in the game. So it comes down to the bullpens and a's pen is better than the braves.
NBA
Cavs -2.5(win) you would think that the law of averages says that the road team is going to win sometime right? Well until they do...I will keep riding the home teams it has done me well so far this round.
lakers/jazz under 213(push)
parlay
above 2 nba games with blue jays(ml)(loss) lay 25 to mke 173
NHL
all games are $110 to make $100(1 unit) unless noted
I will be testing out my own tweak on the MLB dog system, hoping for some nice return with little downside. We will see how it goes.
MLB system plays
MLB dog system games look like this:All plays for series (213-227) starting on friday will have base bets of $225. $221(chase 199,205,208,209,211) + $5(base bet) = $226 + vig . Bad month for dogs right now. The last 4 sets of series have seen 5,4,5 and 5 series get swept by the favorites. This is a rare occurance that this many sweeps happens back to back in baseball. in the last 5 years I have researched this has happened like this only once before(august 2005). I have to assume past forms will hold true and I will make all my $$$ back plus some within 2 weeks. Good luck to all.
**** when shopping for lines, I have found that you get the best price on the dogs on the opening lines. Midnight is better than 6 am, which is better than noon, which is better than 6 pm***
series 213..game 1...pit(+140) $226/$316.40(loss) next bet 452 + vig
series 214..game 1...wash(+120) $226/$271.20(loss) next bet 452 + vig
series 215..game 1...mil(+230) $226/$508.50 (ppd)
series 216..game 1...tor(+125) $226/$282.50(loss) next bet 452 + vig
series 217..game 1...cleve(+110) $226/$248.60(loss) next bet 452 + vig
series 218..game 1...KC(+125) $226/$282.50(win) end of series
series 219..game 1...oak(+145) $226/$327.70(loss) next bet 452 + vig
series 220..game 1...hou(even) $226/$226(loss) next bet 452 + vig
series 221..game 1...TB(even) $226/$226(win) end of series
series 222..game 1...min(+125) $226/$282.50(win) end of series
series 223..game 1...det(+130) $226/$293.80(loss) next bet 452 + vig
series 224..game 1...lad(+120) $226/$271.20(loss) next bet 452 + vig
series 225..game 1...SD(-105) $237.30/$226(win) end of series
series 226..game 1...SF(+105) $226/$237.30(loss) next bet 452 + vig
series 227..game 1...yanks(+135) $226/$305.10 (ppd)
good luck and take care,
lillefty
Last edited by lillefty; 05-17-08 at 08:32 AM.
Reason: add won/loss
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