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Old 05-17-08, 12:08 PM
lillefty lillefty is offline
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Re: lillefty's plays 5/17

NBA 164-140-7 .$ +.1455.50
CBB 194-176-6 $ -.......9.00
MLB 142-126-5 .$ +.1806.50 sat 6-6 $ - 44
NHL 22-30-2 ... $ - ..350.75
NFL 7-7 ..........$ -....123.50
CFB 6-3 ..........$ +...213.00
tot 541-488-20 $ +..3425.25
Parlays 3-15 ....$ +...444.00
tot since jan 1..$ +..3869.25

MLB dog system(wins are based on series win not actual games)
182-36 $ + 1,384.80 sat 6-0 $ + 2497.30 divide series losses equally into upcoming series.
_______________________________
starting bankroll $7,500 on jan 1
Jan totals 134-107-6 .$ + 1,439.25
Feb totals 94-105-5 ..$ - 1,139.50 (+299.75 ytd)
Mar totals 106-90-2 ..$ + 881.50(+ 1,181.25 ytd)
apr totals 136-133-5..$ + 774.50(+ 1,955.75 ytd)
________________________________
pending futures bets....
redsox under 93 wins lay $550 to make $500
no triple crown winner $800 to make $500
_____________________________________

based on winnings this week I have crossed the $11 grand bankroll total. This will allow me to up my base bet to $110(one unit). I always try to keep my base unit as 1% of my bank roll for those who are looking at this for the 1st time.

MLB...
brewers(+210)(3 units)(loss) liked this matchup yesterday. Didnt get my +230 like yesterday but will still roll with it....if necessary game 2 brewers 3 units right now @ +150(loss) we will see at game time tonight what it is.
Mets (+125)(3 units)(win) I would like to thank the brain trust of bet jamaica for allowing me to place such a wager. It either was a mistake which will be cancelled or it has been bet tremendously cuz now the mets are 135 faves.
giants (+125)(loss) yes I am calling for Zito to get his 1st win here. Zito is awful but look at these #'s ...cabrera 2-27(.074), crede 4-19(.212), dye 4-16(250), hall 3-15(.200), konerko 5-32(.156), pierzynski 0-12(.000), thome 3-15(.200), uribe 2-16(.125). If he doesn't win here...oh boy. Normally stats like these make it a 3 unit play but after all it is tough to lay 3 units on a guy who is 0-8...lol
hou/tex under 10(-105)(win) I realize these 2 teams like fireworks when they play but this is a high total for these 2 pitchers. Oswalt is going to give up 3 runs, that is what he does now..every game. Padilla is looking like the guy who went 15-10 3 years ago.
ariz/det under 9.5(win) I like the way both of these young pitchers throw a ton of strikes.
angels(-155)(loss) chan ho park is pitching...nuff said.. i know he has been good this year...but please.
twins/rocks under 10.5(even)(win) ump is giving up less than 8.5 a game. Livan has been solid not spectacular. His #'s against everyone not named helton are fantastic. Reynolds now that he has a start under his belt should be better than last time out
Pirates(+240)(win) duke has had 3 solid outings in a row. How can you not take a chance at this price, even against zambrano?
oak/atl under 8(loss)
tampa bay(+120)(loss) gotta ride the hot hand here
wash/balt over 9(-105)(win)
NBA


parlay


NHL



all games are $110 to make $100(1 unit) unless noted

I will be testing out my own tweak on the MLB dog system, hoping for some nice return with little downside. We will see how it goes.


MLB system plays
MLB dog system games look like this:All plays for series (213-227) starting on friday will have base bets of $225. $221(chase 199,205,208,209,211) + $5(base bet) = $226 + vig . Bad month for dogs right now. The last 4 sets of series have seen 5,4,5 and 5 series get swept by the favorites. This is a rare occurance that this many sweeps happens back to back in baseball. in the last 5 years I have researched this has happened like this only once before(august 2005). I have to assume past forms will hold true and I will make all my $$$ back plus some within 2 weeks. Good luck to all.

**** when shopping for lines, I have found that you get the best price on the dogs on the opening lines. Midnight is better than 6 am, which is better than noon, which is better than 6 pm***

series 213..game 2...pit(+240) $452/$1,084.80...go bucs!!(win) end of series
series 214..game 2...wash(+120) $452/$542.40(loss) next bet 904 + vig
series 215..game 1...mil(+220) $226/$474.60(loss)..game 2 if nec(+150) $452/$678(loss)
series 216..game 2...tor(-105) $463.30/$452(win) end of series
series 217..game 2...cleve(even) $452/$452(loss) next bet 904 + vig
series 219..game 2...oak(+130) $452/$587.60(win) end of series
series 220..game 2...hou(-115) $524.80/$452(loss) next bet 1049.60 + vig 2497.30
series 223..game 2...det(+120) $452/$542.40(win) end of series
series 224..game 2...lad(+150) $452/$678(win) end of series
series 226..game 2...SF(+125) $452/$565(loss) next bet 904 + vig
series 227..game 2...mets(+125) $226/$282.50..santana dog?(win) end of series


good luck and take care,

lillefty

Last edited by lillefty; 05-18-08 at 12:46 AM.
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