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Old 06-05-08, 05:21 PM
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Boston v. LA Lakers

Here are my Finals thoughts going into game 1 tonight:

Not sure on this total at 191.5 but I kind of like the over in this game. I know Boston is a tough playing home team but both meetings during the season were 201. 1-1 on the o/u. The Lakers are playing a team that can score unlike the Spurs droughting game after game. The Lakers can also score and I feel as though they will not hold Boston back as much as a Detroit would. I think even though this total is almost 10 points off of the average for these 2 teams during the season I'd stick with whats working. Think about it this way. The Boston totals were abnormally low playing Detroit. Low 170's. The Lakers hit all 4 unders against the Spurs due to the lack of scoring. I personally think this line is close to being right. Just need to get on the right side. I always will go against the trends that other people think will continue to happen. Everyone is looking at the above stats and saying that 191.5 is high. Personally Boston took care of business at home and on the road against LA during the season. I doubt Gasol will be that big f an impact against the best team in the NBA. Not in Boston anyway. Coaching edge does go to Jackson but if the Lakers struggle Kobe could go back to doing it himself and get his team in trouble. I think Boston will win and cover in game 1 tonight. Boston 99-95 for game 1.

2* BOSTON -3
2* LA/BOS OVER 191.5
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