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Old 06-10-08, 05:52 PM
lillefty lillefty is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 1,095
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Re: lillefty's plays 6/10

NBA 172-145-7 .$ +.2581.50 tue 0-1 $ -187
CBB 194-176-6 $ -.......9.00
MLB 212-193-6 .$ +.6069.00 tue 1-4 $ -268(thank god for 3 unit plays)
NHL 22-30-2.... $ - ..350.75
NFL 7-7 ..........$ -....123.50
CFB 6-3 ..........$ +...213.00
props 1-0.........$ +...500.00
tot 613-554-21 $ +..9330.75
Parlays 3-16 ....$ +....419.00
tot since jan 1..$ +..9749.75
_______________________________
starting bankroll $7,500 on jan 1
Jan totals 134-107-6 .$ + 1,439.25
Feb totals 94-105-5 ..$ - 1,139.50 (+299.75 ytd)
Mar totals 106-90-2 ..$ + 881.50(+ 1,181.25 ytd)
apr totals 136-133-5..$ + 774.50(+ 1,955.75 ytd)
may totals 118-91-3..$ + 5,954.00(+ 7,909.75 ytd)
________________________________
pending futures bets....
redsox under 93 wins lay $550 to make $500
_____________________________________

based on winnings this week I have crossed the $17 grand bankroll total. This will allow me to up my base bet to $170(one unit). I always try to keep my base unit as 1% of my bank roll for those who are looking at this for the 1st time.

**** when shopping for lines, I have found that you get the best price on the dogs on the opening lines. Midnight is better than 6 am, which is better than noon, which is better than 6 pm***

MLB

bos/balt under 9(even)(loss) beckett is rounding into the form that made him a cy young candidate last year. in his last 3 starts he has allowed 5 runs in 19 inn 2.40 era with a 1 whip. Cabrera's career #'s vs sox hitters are dismal , but most of those were compiled before this year when D-Cab was a prospect with tons of talent but just didn't get it. This year vs the sox he is 1-0(could be 2-0 had lead blown for him) giving up 5 runs in 14 inn. a 3.20 era. This current sox line up looked great against seattle(but who doesn't). Fact is they will struggle the longer they go w/out papi. Better pitchers will slow them down.
Twins/cleve over 8(loss) C.C is still not the pitcher he was last year, giving up 4 runs in his last 2. Could he be trying to pitch for a contract instead of just letting things take care of themselves? He has a couple of twins who are hitting over .500 vs him. Casilla is 8-9(.889) and redmond is 12-23(.516). Baker is not exactly lighting it up yet as he builds up strength coming off the DL. Baker has always struggled on the road and before he went on the DL this year he had a 6.60 era on the highway.
Yanks/oak over 8 wang has been brutal his last 4 starts, and after last start, Susan waldman asked what is wrong? He replied I have no Idea why my sinker is not sinking I have looked at tape and can't find anything. What an admission! I have road his overs the last 2 starts and until he fixes his problems, I see no reason to get off that train. Eveland has hit a mini wall in his last 2 starts in 8.2 inn he has given up 10 runs and put 23 runners on base. I will take my chances with that.
Blue jays 1st 5 inn -1/2 run(-130)(3 units)(win) lay 663 to make 510...At home mcgowan is 3-1 with 1.93 era and has consistently given up 2 a start. Silva makes too much $$$ to be sent down and this is great news for us bettors. He gives up 5-7 runs a start and with the Blue Jay offense clicking I think they can hang here in the beginning. This is a great way to lay only 130 instead off 180-200 if you took the whole game.
Sea/tor over 9(even)(loss) as bad as Silva has been I will still need some runs to get the over and I will get them because Mcgowan gives up 2 every game it seems. The Jays pen is in a funk right now and that leads to an over for me.






NBA
lakers -9(loss) with all the whining Jackson was doing about the refs, you have to know it was all a ploy to get the refs just thinking about how they were calling the games. He knows as well as anyone his team wasn't aggressive. That will all change in LA. The home team always gets an extra call or two at home and the familiar surroundings will bring out the best in the LAkers. Celts ,like in rd 1 and 2 feel comfortable with their 2-0 lead and fall asleep in game 3 tonight before waking up in game 4 IMO. They got their fouls but were atrocious from the line!!

parlay



all games are $187 to make $170(1 unit) unless noted

I will be testing out my own tweak on the MLB dog system, hoping for some nice return with little downside. We will see how it goes.

MLB dog system(wins are based on series win not actual games)
268-57 $ 23,352 tue 8-0$ 33700 divide series losses equally into upcoming series.

MLB dog system games look like this:All plays for series (320-334) starting on mon & tue will have base bets of $3000. $2,995(chase 317) + $5(base bet) = $3.000 . Good luck to all.

MLB system plays
series 322..game 1...Bal(+220) $3000/$6600(win)
series 323..game 1...min(+165) $3000/$4950(loss)
series 324..game 1...det(+110) $3000/$3300(win)
series 325..game 1...wash(+145) $3000/$4350(win)
series 326..game 1...stl(+125) $3000/$3750(win)
series 327..game 1...ariz(+135) $3000/$4050(win)
series 328..game 1...fla(+110) $3000/$3300(win)
series 329..game 1...atl(+150) $3000/$4500(loss)
series 330..game 1...mil(+155) $3000/$4650(loss)
series 331..game 1...tex(+105) $3000/$3150 (win)
series 332..game 1...sf(+170) $3000/$5100(loss)
series 333..game 1...oak(+110) $3000/$3300(loss)
series 334..game 1...lad(+125) $3000/$3750(win)

good luck and take care,

lillefty

Last edited by lillefty; 06-11-08 at 02:12 AM.
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