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Old 06-12-08, 04:19 PM
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Re: Boston v. LA Lakers

GAME 4 ANALYSIS:

The Lakers have all of a sudden become an under team at home. I was all over the Lakers/Spurs overs and none hit. The other night I did like the under but didn't play it. These teams are getting harder to figure out by the minute but one thing is certain...
The Lakers have not covered a spread against Boston all season. This includes all 3 games in the finals as well. Whether they are favored or dogged they can't cover. Personally I wouldn't be surprised if they do tonight. The line was high the other night but the Lakers should've gotten a cover. They led almost the entire game and at times had double didget leads. A poor finish left me in the losing column. Tonight I feel confident I can get back to the winning ways. 3-2 in the Finals so far. Looking for another 2-0 night tonight as I am going for the full number of plays. I think you will see the same horrible play as in game 3. Garnett has not flourished at all in this series. Seems to look worse and worse as the games go by. This is the middle game of 3 in LA. I think the Celtics stayed within range the last game and the Lakers need this game even more than the last one. Now at a 2-1 deficit they can't afford too go down 3-1 much like not going down 3-0. I think the Lakers will play alot better tonight. I think Kobe will hit those free throws tonight. Even though both lines have dropped from the last game I see the Lakers winning by a few more than in game 3. With that they should cover for the first time. I am picking my spot because when the Lakers do blow out the Celtics they won't cover the next game. Everyone will be on Boston tonight. I'm sticking with LA as I see them scoring more tonight and holding Boston to about the same. The under was a sure winner last game. Boston hasn't had much success on the road and fail to put up high numbers of points. I think it wil be close but I think they will get to the mid to high 180's tonight. My picks for tonight:

2* LA Lakers -7
1.5* Bos/LA Under 191.5
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