Sunday, August 24th
Need a bounce-back from yesterday:
POD hitting at 60% the Last 5 Months, Doing 1 POD per day.
Beginning next Saturday Phone Service to talk live to me will become available. You will be able to get all the plays for that day and talk as much as you'd like about other games' research for a set price. It will be comprehensive. One can also just purchase the plays as usual as well. Just another feature offered. Check back here for details in the middle of next week. Available every Saturday and Sunday from 9am - Noon.
PODs
61%, Last 147 Days (5 Months) 81-56-4 Normally doing 1 POD Per Day.
Baseball
60% Last 94 days: 59-39-1 (+55.3 units)
61% Last 100 days MLB ML: 37-22 (+44 units)
Football
Football Early Bird Package (NFL & College) now available until August 18th (Season starts August 29th). Looking forward to a great season of NFL, SEC, Big 10, Big 12 and Big East Football as that is all I will be focusing on this year.
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NFL
Buffalo vs. Indianapolis
My buddy Wunderdog believs the Bills will underperorm this year, and he very well might be right, having said that, this team hits the road to Indianapolis, and note that Edwards will not be able to start today and the Colts have not won a preseaosn game which typically spells a way for the Colts to do well as they return home for this ballgame. This would explain why a line opened up at -3.5 now sits at -5.5 or -6. The total also sits at 38, Buffalo comes off the big win 24-21 at home against the Steelers, they lost to the Redskins by 3 in preseason game 1, but did cover, in fact, Buffalo has covered both times thus far, Indy finally won a road game vs. the Falcons, they return home here and lean on Indy to get it done against a Buffalo team that will feature Losman, Hamdan and Baker and note the Colts will feature Gray, Lorenzen and Sorgi.
MLB
Boston vs. Toronto
Toronto pounded Boston 11-0 yesterday so obviously Boston will look to bounce-back here today, Dice-K rolls up on the mound for Boston here, he is 6-1 over his last 7 starts, and although he picked up a no-decision against Toronto, he did help his team win 2-1 last time around, give Dice-K a lot of credit, he is 7-0 with a 2.17 era on the road, Burnett went nearly 8 inns and didn't give up a run against the Red Sox, he has simply been on fire of late, as he shows up big time against the Yankees and Red Sox, he is now a 16 game winner (possible trading block material next year) and 6-0 over his last 6 starts. I would lean on the Bluejays and Burnett here because of the Dog price, of course, do note, the Sox got pummeled by double-digits yesterday.
Yankees vs. Baltimore
Yankees won 5-3 on the road yesterday, Rasner pitched brilliantly at Toronto in his last start with a 1.35 era, he still picked up a no-decision as the Yankees eventually lost, he has not won a game since 7/12, he is 1-2 in quality starts against Baltimore here, the O's are on a bounce-back from yesterday, Cabrera has beat the Yankees all 3 times this year, props, he is on a bounce-back from a 12.47 era start from his last time out, lean on the O's here with the dog price, do note that the Yankees will try to avoid losing 4 in a row to Cabrera and Rasner is desperate for a win and he does come off a non-quality start (NQ) against the O's last time around.
Tampa Bay vs. Whitesox
TB beat the Wsox 5-3 yesterday, Sonnanstine has won back to back starts, he beat the Whitesox both times out this year and is 1-0 in 2 starts against them, Buehrle did win his last start despite having nearly an 8 era as his team won 13-5, he has won his last 3 starts overall, the Devil Rays have beat him both times out thsi year, those were both road starts though, Buehrle is 8-3 at home though where he is rock solid, usually after a 5+ era, Sonnanstine comes back with a bounce-back, having said that Buehrle will look to do better than his last start, not to mention his 2 questionable road starts against TB, if anything a lean on the under here.
Detroit vs. Kansas City
Rogers has a 5.34 era on the road, he finally picked up a much needed win in his last start, and his last start against KC was quality after 2 non-quality starts, Duckworth hasn't started this year, but do note that Duckworth looks to come back into this rotation and Rogers has not had many back to back wins this year, not to mention the Royals were blanked yesterday, I wouldn't be surprised to see the Royals cash as big dogs today.
Minny vs. Angels
Lots of -165 favorites today, note that several of these dogs will cash today, including possibly KC above, Slowey has won his last 3 starts with all eras of below 2, he had a 8.11 era against the Angels earlier this year, Santana is a 13 game winner this year with a mid 3 era, he has picked up a no decision in his last 2 starts and he had a 3 era in his last start and did win 5-4 in his last start, really no reason for the Twins to be dogs by this margin given that they did lost 5-7 yesterday and on a bounce-back.
Oakland vs. Seattle
Meyer rolls for Oakland today, note that Oakland won 5-1 at Seattle yesterday, he had a 5.4 era in his last start on the road at Detroit so he looks to get a bit of a bounce-back here today, that was his first and only start of the year, Felix had a 9 era in his last start so he looks to bounce-back today, not to mention that he had a 5+ era in his last start against Oakland as well, he has a 3.26 era at home this year, if anything, (remember seattle on the bounce-back) a lean on the under and the mariners rl - unknown question is what does this kid Meyer have in him on a bounce-back.
Cleveland vs. Texas
These 2 teams did get the game off yesterday, it was 8-7 and the Indians ended up winning on the road, Reyes has been solid in the early going, of course he is on the honeymoon period as most teams are seeing him for the first time, nevertheless, he has put together 3 quality starts in his first 3 starts, he has yet to face Texas this year, advantage Reyes, of course, give Texas the 2nd time through the lineup and they should have success, Padilla needs a good start after 2 terrible starts, he has a way of bouncing-back at home, having said that, advantage Texas with the dog price here and the Reyes kid should hold the fort pretty well today.
WNBA
Season will resume again on August 26th, wnba clients note that your packages simply resume when the season begins back on that date and that your package runs through until the wnba season is over, whenever that maybe, looks like they are taking some time off due to the Olympics.
Sunday's Comp Selection
Whitesox/Tampa Bay Under 9.5
Drays beat the Wsox 5-3 yesterday, Sonnanstine has won back to back starts, he beat the Whitesox both times out this year and is 1-0 in 2 starts against them, Buehrle did win his last start despite having nearly an 8 era as his team won 13-5, he has won his last 3 starts overall, the Devil Rays have beat him both times out thsi year, those were both road starts though, Buehrle is 8-3 at home though where he is rock solid, usually after a 5+ era, Sonnanstine comes back with a bounce-back, having said that Buehrle will look to do better than his last start, not to mention his 2 questionable road starts against TB, if anything a lean on the under here.
Bottom line here is I think that Buehrle is a rock at home where he has done well, he had 2 losses to TB on the road and now gets to face them at home and Sonnanstine usually comes back strong after a 5+ era win or lose, I understand that any game with the Whitesox is a bit scary for the total for an under, but I will take my chances here and just roll with my math, Under is 5-0 when the Drays allow 5 runs or more in the previous game, under is 4-1 for Sonnanstine in his last 5 starts and under is 6-0 for the Whitesox when they face a winning team at home, meaning in a playoff type atmosphere, the competition rises and the under is more likely to hit. look to do better than his last start, not to mention his 2 questionable road starts against TB, if anything a lean on the under here.
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