Saturday, March 15th
Friday: 3-0 sweep, All Underdog Winners.
March Madness 6-1-1 (86%)
Thursday: 2-1-1
Wednesday: 3-2
3 Winning Days in a Row
Outright Winners last few days: Sixers +9(wed), Colorado +9(thur) and Tex A&M +1.5(fri)
March Madness is in full swing, which means so is my life. here we go. I have a feeling this will be one of the best madness seasons to date for me personally.
I was in Vegas for 9 months years ago before leaving to start grad school. I went there to learn about writing odds, worked for sportsadvisors.com as a writer and analyst and at that time sold whowillcover.com when I left there, the website that my buddy and I started up (sold it to sportsadvisors and brandon). I came across a gent who at that time was 68, thus he is 72 now. He helped me develop a part of the spreadsheet that I have today and in many ways was my mentor. He contacted me yesterday and occsaionally give sme feed back as he does read this blog frequently as he still wagers and looks at the research I put up and essentially stated:
"Listen, your strength is your research, it always has been. Your success in the past has been the research and the spreadsheets that you created. If you want a structure to live by regarding your philosophy of betting, then do this.
Research the **** out of games. Be selective, Prefer Dogs that can win outright as you always have, but don't limit yourself and do take favorites when they have a strong correlation to cover, stay away from gut feelings that is not supported by research as it is just not worth it, be confident in your picks and your hard work, don't be arrogant and stay humble, stay up beat and even keel regardless of wins and losses, and simply work hard, kick some *** and let gambling Gods take care of the rest as if you do this, I promise you things always take care of itself." Best advice I have heard in a long time as I consider him my mentor over the past few years and might even keep that as my signature just to read it every morning. Let's Roll.
NBA
San Antonio vs. Sixers
Clippers vs. Wizards
Pacers vs. Magic
Jazz vs. Nets
Celtics vs. Bucks
Kings vs. Suns
Twolves vs. Blazers
Memphis vs. Golden State
NCAAB (I cover SEC, Big East, Big 10 and Big 12)
Kentucky vs. Georgia
Arkansas vs. Tennessee
Michigan State vs. Wisconsin
Illinois vs. Minnesotta
Oklahoma vs. Texas
Texas A&M vs. Kansas
Pittsburgh vs. Georgetown
New Packages are Up
*March Madness Packages are available up and available for Purchase now. I will be researching Every Single College Basketball Game including the Tournament, the NIT and of course March Madness. I'm looking forward to cashing.
*Baseball Season Package is Up.
*We are working on Putting together a WNBA Package Up currently for the Season on May 1st. That is my best sport bar none over the past few years. I did not miss a WNBA GOM (5*) similar to the NBA GOM this year.
*I will be capping Baseball and WNBA over the summer. We are working on putting a "summer package" together that includes MLB/WNBA for the Season. I will be playing a series of Dogs and Total in MLB this year.
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Purchasing Plays: IndianCowboy - Top Ten Cappers Handicapper Click Under CBB (college basketball).
March Madness Packages are now Available. I have typically between 1-3 plays a day. On days that I have 3 or more plays, I place a comp selection below. To Purchase Plays Click Here. IndianCowboy - Top Ten Cappers Handicapper All Plays are Guaranteed. IndianCowboy - Top Ten Cappers Handicapper IndianCowboy - Top Ten Cappers Handicapper IndianCowboy.
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Yesterday's Results: 3-0 sweep (all Underdog winners)
Colorado +9 (POD) (Winner)
Nice Outright win yesterday with Colorado over Baylor as +9 dogs and guess what the line for today is against Oklahoma - you guessed it, +9 point dogs. It only makes I release this as my comp pick for today as well on the Newsletter. I can write a book in great detail about this play, but check out my write-up yesterday on why Colorado is a team that is great bounce-back on the road or away from which proved to be correct yesterday. The Buffs have something different working in their favor today. Long-story short, Colorado had very few conference wins this year, and one such win was against Oklahoma at home by 12 points. Oklahoma has played well of late, but 2 of those 3 wins were at home and this team still has not played a minute of the confernce tourney this year as their jitters are high. Colorado has nothing to lose and it showed yesterday as Baylor let the pressure get to them as they beat Colorado by 11 on the road earlier this year only to fall short. Colorado is playig intense basketball and relatively stress free as what the hell does this team who was horrilbe in the conference all year have to lose? I look for Oklahoma to show some rust and nerves early and much like Penn State against Illinois yesterday, Colorado will have a shot at winning this game outright, but I will gladly take the points and hope for the cover in the end. Buffs to the Bank.
Texas A&M +1.5 (Outright Winner)
Texas A&M is in a nice spot today. They played well in their first game and remember, so many teams have rust when they first come out and although I like Kansas State as a team and they did beat Kansas, don' forget the fact that this team is just 3-5 this year away from home - and they are 1-4 against top 100 teams on the road as well, with their one road win coming against Oklahoma very early in the season. Thus, this team has not won a game away from home in Months. Texas A&M has revenge from a 20+ point loss to K-State on the road, I have Texas A&M 1 power ranking spot better in my power rankings, this is neutral court so the revenge should work in their favor not to mention they played yesterday so they will have lack of rust. I like A&M for these various reasons as they should win this game outright, not to mention I think the public is incorrect here and likely gets buried 2:1 as they are backing a Kansas State team should have rust and revenge working against them.
Bobcats +11 (Winner)
This my friend is going to be the game that the Rockets fail to cover in a long time. Sure, it doesn't look like much the Bobcats, but listen, it was between this play for the last leg of what my card was going to be today as the other leans were the Magic just crushing Miami, the Mavs with revenge against the Pacers but both those lines were -11.5 and -14.5 and you know as well as I do all too well of backdoor covers. But, I will gladly take the +11 here against a Bobcat team that can win this game outright. No, I'm not smoking the pipe, similar to the fact we didn't smoke the pipe when we took Colorado to beat Baylor outright, and we didn't smoke the pipe when we took the Bearcats after a 40 point loss to Uconn - this Bobcat team comes off a thumping to the Mavs and although we had a 3-2 winning day that night, it was on me for the fact that Gerald Wallace was returning to this team and consequently messed with the flow that had helped this team led by Jason Richardson at that point in Wallace's absence to cover 6 straight. Well, Wallace has his feet wet, this Bobcat team has revenge and they can simply reign 3's. Remember, this is the same Bobcat team that shocked Boston earlier this season as huge double-digit dogs winning outright and trust me when I tell you they will be fired up and will show up to this game. I think the Bobcats end up covering fairly well in this game.
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New Feature: Some things you want to take note of for Future Wagers that happened Yesterday:
*Bulls are likely to be upset from being outscored 40-20 at home blowing a huge lead.
*Spurs continue to lose on the road.
*Hornets continue to play solid and Gasol is hurt.
*Utah wins big on the road and the Hawks bounce-back well at home and get revenge as thought.
*Rockets fail to cover as expected and Bobcats do bounce-back with competitive effort. Bobcats should play decent as they return home to pick up a win.
*Hawks would make it into the playoffs if it were held today -
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*Dallas and Denver get revenge over Pacers and Blazers and get easy covers.
*Minny also gets revenge from Seattle for an overtime loss earlier this season.
NBA Saturday Research
I'm researching these games around 4:30am eastern right now so I don't have lines to Many of these NBA and College Basketball games. Which means that after the research I would have to come back early in the morning to see if the lines that I have reseached size up to the vegas line.
San Antonio vs. Sixers
The Sixers come off a HUGE 4th quarter at Chicago where they outscored the Bulls 40-20. The Spurs of course continue to struggle on the road losing to the Pistons yesterday and the Sixers come off a win and have revenge from a 89-82 loss earlier this season to the Spurs. Miller is listed as questionable again, but regardless, with the Spurs coming off yet another loss, no thanks, although I do favor the sixers especially if they get 4 to 5 points here given that they can wn outright.
Clippers vs. Wizards
I was on the Wiz when they beat cleveland, but did not cover, which is a bit irritating considering for all intense purposes they should have that game. Regardless, the Wiz can play solid at home and they do have Caron Butler back. Kaman is still listed as questionable. Clips come off an ugly loss to the Hawks on the road, and call me crazy, but with revenge from washington's win earlier this season at home, if the Clips are getting around 8 to 9 points, I'm tempted to take them tomorrow as they will look to hang tough after an ugly loss. But, then again, it is the Clips.
Pacers vs. Magic
Indiana beat this team 115-109 on the road earlier this year, only to see the Magic win 121-115 on the road to get revenge. Indiana comes off a thumping against Dallas,
they will be very tired coming into this game as I read a report that stated that they don't get into Orlando until 4 or 5am if I am not mistaken. But, this team does have revenge however, the Magic are sound at home and come off a win at Miami although they did not cover. This can go either way, too many points for me although I lean on the magic. no thanks.
Jazz vs. Nets
Vegas looks to set the trap for this game, as they have the Jazz as small favorites and this is the biggest NBA public play with over 75% of the public on the Jazz if I am not mistaken. The Nets did beat Cleveland at home after losing 6 straight and did lose 102-75 on the road earlier this year by nearly 30 points. I can't force myself to bet the under in this game, but look for this game to go under and for the Nets to win outright as they are rested and the Jazz come off a huge emotional win over the Celtics just yesterday. no thanks.
Celtics vs. Bucks
Celtics will not be in a good mood as they face the Bucks. Boston beat this team 104-82 back in December by 22 and of course, they lost to the Jazz yesterday. The Bucks have lost their last 4 and 7 of 8 including losing to the Jazz at home recently - a game they should have won outright. Waiting to see the line, but if I can get a +11 or +10, might be worth a shot here on the Bucks to show up at home, but then again, the Celtics are typically a very good bet after a straight up loss this year.
Kings vs. Suns
The Suns have beat this team 117-102 in December on the road and 127-111 at home in November. Sacremento comes off back to back wins including over the Lakers on the road outright and beating the Blazers at home. Phoenix has covered their last 3 including finally getting revenge against GS. This is a game the Kings are likely to show up in my opinion and not necessarily win outright, but this is an awful lot of points for a good Kings team. Heck, they beat the Lakers outright on the road and that says a lot.
Twolves vs. Blazers
Portland has beat this team 103-96, 90-79 on the road and 109-98 at home. In fact, this team has covered all 3 games against the Twolves this year and the last 5 in this series. Minny has won their last 3 of 4 including getting revenge against seattle, winning outright against the sonics as mentioned, the clippers and kings - all outright road wins. Portland did win 3 of 5 on their road trip and come off a frustrating loss to the Kings on the road, but this is a game the Twolves can hang tough despite Portland off a loss b/c the Twolves just recently played Portland and barely lost. Lean on the twolves here. I love the +9.5 line typically as evidenced by colorado the last few days.
Memphis vs. Golden State
GS beat this team 116-104 at home and 117-125 on the road. Keep in mind that Rudy Gay is questionable for this game. Memphis got pounded at Denver. They have lost their last 9 of 10 covers. GS comes off an irritating loss to Phoenix and are not in a good mood. There is no line here, but without a doubt, a lean on the Warriors given that they are the 8th spot in the West and are trying to hold back Denver and every game is essentially a must win game for them.
College Basketball Saturday Research
Georgia vs. Kentucky
Once again, this is essentially a home game for Georgia and they did beat a very good Ole Miss team to move on to second round. I am not fond of Georgia, especially as small dogs, but this line does favor them as they lost by 5 points the last 2 times against Kentucky, play with double-revenge and Kentucky will have rust in the early goings. no thanks.
Arkansas vs. Tennessee
Tennessee is favored by just 6 and let me tell you, they are not impressive right now. SC gave them a run for their money and I think Arkansas will too and will likely fall inside the cover. Tennessee beat this team by 20+ at home the only time they played this season. I like the way Arkansas is playing right now, but 6 points is not impossible for the vols to cover by any means, no thanks.
Michigan State vs. Wisconsin
Not sure what this spread is, but I'm not taking either team. Wisconsin beat this team by 15 at home earlier this year thus, Michigan State has revenge coming into this game and although I lean on state to do well, no thanks.
Illinois vs. Minnesotta
I am looking forward to this line though. I understand that Illinois got a huge win knocking off Purdue but minny is a good looking team that did knock off Indiana to advance. Of course, it took a buzzer beater. Nonetheless, Illinois beat minny by 24 on the road and 9 at home. If Minny is within 8 points or less, I like Minny plus the points, but of course, waiting on the line.
Oklahoma vs. Texas
How about OSU giving Texas all they can handle yesterday? I liked that OSU team and Colorado, I'm going to miss them both as they were solid +8 to +9 covers late in the year. OU lost to Texas by 10 at home and then by 18 on the road this year. The Big 12 has been infamous for having dogs cover so I have to respect that, although I think Texas might have an easier time in this game than they did against OSU. Regardless, no thanks.
Texas A&M vs. Kansas
Looking forward to the line in this game. I was on A&M to win outright and if I can get that +8 to +9 line here, I will likely take the Aggies again. A&M is still a top 30 team and Kansas is of course a top 4 team in the power rankings. A&M lost to Kansas by 17 on their senior night just the other week but that was coming off a big 14 point win at Baylor and remember this team did beat Kansas State recently. I favor A&M but am waiting to see the line.
Pittsburgh vs. Georgetown
At a certain point, it becomes futile to predict Big East ballgames and we reached that stage in the semi-finals. Did you notice I stayed away from the Louisville/Pitt game and the WVU/Uconn game, I stated time and time again, that it was a trap game in the making and it is a tossup but the whole world could be in for a burial and that is what ended up happening. If you want to bet against a Pitt team that just beat Louisville outright and Marquette outright and beat Georgetown by 9 at home when they were healthy, go right ahead. But, if you want to bet against Georgetown who just pummeled West Virginia and is playing great basketball right now and who has revenge, go right ahead as well. As per me, no thanks.
Comp Selection for Saturday
(Back to Back winners on Colorado on Thur/Friday at +9)
Timberwolves +9.5
The Twolves are in a decent spot today and it seems 9 point dogs or higher have been hitting with success, so why not stop now. This is probably the weaker of the plays of the card that I have today, but it is still a strong play for a couple reasons. For one, I mentioned yesterday that the Twolves are likely to win outright at the Sonics due to revenge from an overtime loss at home and that is exactly what they did. The Twolves have actually won their last 3 of 4 ballgames - and those were all road wins at that - winning at Seattle, at the L.A. Clippers and at Sacrament - the saem team that beat the Lakers outright on the road. The Twolves in short, have won 3 straight games outright on the road and are again catching near double-digits against the Blazers. The Blazers are a sound team and they come off a frustrating loss at Sacramento losing by 11 so they will look to rebound and likely win at home. Remember that these 2 teams just recently played in Minny back on March 11th and with over 70% of the public backing, Portland ended up winning and covering on the road 103-96. However, it took a 26-17 4th quarter for Portland to accomplish this as they were fortunate to beat the Twolves who are now looking for revenge and remember that game which was less than a week ago. Yes, Portland does come off a loss, but I like Minny here given that they have revenge, come off 3 outright road wins and they have a shot at winning this game outright - I'll take the points. The Blazers are 0-7 ATS against teams with a losing road record at home - meaning when they play the weaker teams in the league at home, they fail to blow them out and consequently cover.
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