I will be out of the country for roughly a month and will keep this blog updated as much as I can with upcoming research. Will be adding research before the close of this evening, it is May 17th currenlty in India. Hope all is well, will be doing simply doing the upcoming nba and wnba ballgames.
Please note: All WNBA Research up till May 23rd is released and ready to go.
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India has come a long way, but the technology is still questionable in certain parts and we are traveling the country here so not as much time to really focus on all the research. Plus, it's a vacation for me as I'm going to end up doing the daily research when I come back everyday as usual. So, the blog until I come back every few days. hope all is well bud.
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Hope all is well. It's 1:40pm here in India, which means it is about 3:40am there. Wanted to make sure to get out the analysis for game 7 on what has become my favorite series in this playoffs thus far, the Spurs vs. Hornets. In fact, I haven't missed a side on this series yet simply because I have been riding the home teams appropriately in this contest. Look, the Hornets are still young, but I have believed from the get go, as I told my friend Mongi, that the winner of this series is likely to win it all. After all, how truly have the Lakers been tested? What you have here are the defending champs vs. the new breed of the future. I have said from the get-go that the home teams will cover, the Spurs will take game 3, the Hornets will take game 5, the Spurs will step up back at home for game 7 and if the Hornets were to lose a game straight up in this series, it would indeed be this game. Thus, this game has arrived. Now what? I believe what you will see is a tight ballgame, throughout, the Spurs are likely to start off strong as they always do, but as Sir charles has already stated, I think the Hornets shock a great deal of people. Remember what the series price in Vegas was before this series started? It was -110 for BOTH teams. Why? Because home court is that much of a big deal in this series and the Spurs were horrible on the road to close out the year as there is an incredible stat that states the Spurs are 3-13 ATS when they are small dogs on the road. What does that mean? This team is not winning the close ballgames on the road this year, they are simply not getting it done as in years' before and consequently that has cost them their home court advantage. I think the Spurs will continue to struggle in the 3rd quarter has it has become overly apparent that this team struggles in New Orleans in the 3rd quarter of ballgames and that is likely what is to occur here as well. Keep in mind the public favors the Hornets by about 55% as they seem to be getting the picture, and although the totals have been tight in this series throughout, no particular lean on the total, but a lean on the Hornets here to win game 7 as they start off slow but start pulling away late.
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An insight into this game is possible by looking into the past results of these 2 ballclubs when they faced off in classics this year. After all, the NBA couldn't be happier that these 2 teams are facing each other. After all, what better game is out there with more stars and many thought that this indeed would be the Eastern Conference Finals and that is exactly what has panned out:
The last 3 contests between these 2 teams have gone under: These were all games played this year:
03/05/08 BOS 90 - DET 78
01/05/08 DET 85 - BOS 92
12/19/07 BOS 85 - DET 87
Essentially what you have is no game that has gone over 177. That game was in Detroit when Boston won with revenge on the road. Both games in Boston have totaled 172 and 168. Consequently, although this total is low, it is warranted. Note that 40% of the public favors the Pistons in this ballgame while 60% favor the Celtics, although do note, the Celtics had more than enough covering at home against the Cavs who ended up covering at home consistently, just losing straight up on the road although covering a few ballgames in the process. I lean on the Celtics here to get it done at home, but I tell you what, this is an awful shady line. Do note that the Pistons have revenge, they won 2 ballgames with no Chauncey Billups which just shows you there character, if anything, I lean on the under in a ballgame that finishes off in the mid 160's, in an ugly game. But, the line is awfully low.
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have a great time ic... haven't been around much and was wondering what was up... i have been really busy with work. i miss your daily post as they are always there when i have the time to get into it. again have a good time and be safe..........
It is hot as hell here. Looking forward to getting back home, a little more than 2 weeks and counting, should be home around June 18th. Daily research as usual once I return: Vytas, I did find you something nice, a mail-order bride, she has promised to put out:
It is wed: 12:35pm here:
Detroit vs. Boston Game 5:
Only as you progress into the playoffs do road teams actually buck up and begin to win, the Lakers did it recently in Game 4 regardless of the controversial no call, the Celtics and the Pistons both have done it. Something obvious in this series is that although both teams are sound, both teams have yet to win back to back games in this series and the regular season should be cognizant of it, after all, both teams got revenge in the regular season as well.
This series has occured with the following results, this is what sets up for game 5:
05/26/08 DET 94 - BOS 75
05/24/08 DET 80 - BOS 94
05/22/08 BOS 97 - DET 103
05/20/08 BOS 88 - DET 79
03/05/08 BOS 90 - DET 78
01/05/08 DET 85 - BOS 92
12/19/07 BOS 85 - DET 87
First you saw Detroit actually go on the road to Boston to win, only to see Boston return the favor and win on the road, then Boston won back to back ballgames once at home in the regular season and then Game 1o f this sweries, only to see Detroit win game 2 (game went over, once again, active dog/over), then Boston storms back to win game 3 and Detroit regains their confidence and wins at home in game 4 in a blowout. In fact, that road win by Boston in game 3 was the first time they have won on the road, it finally comes at a good time:
Thus, we have Game 5. After getting pounded by nearly 20 points on the road, the C's one would have to think will respond at home where they have continued to respond. Although the Pistons have struck blood in Boston twice this year, including the playoffs. I think this game likely goes in favor of Boston, despite over 60% favoring Boston which makes me a bit nervous, but Boston likely takes game 5 in my opinion on the bounce-back, then the Pistons take game 6 as I believe this series will be decided in Game 7 in Boston similar to the Hornets vs. the Spurs series. I noted that if San Antonio was to win a road game in that series it will be in Game 7 despite the fact that I favored the Hornets and the same happens here, I think both teams hold serve until this game boils down to game 7 which is a true tossup. That game 7 will likely go under in my opinion as well: After all, out of the last 7 conntests these 2 teams have had this season, 6 have gone under, the one that went over was the Pistons as the active dog in Game 2 after losing Game 1.
Lakers vs. Spurs Game 5 Analysis Coming:
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The Spurs have their back to the wall once again as they are down 3-1 going into game 5, but something is different about this series than with the Hornets. After all, the Spurs won game 4 against New Orleans and now they have their legs cut underneath them in game 5. This makes all the difference in the world, in other words, the Spurs will now HAVE to win 2 games in Los Angeles. If this game goes in favor as I see no line up for this contest, this game likely goes under, if this game goes in favor of the Lakers, I likely see a blowout and do not see a close game. After all, all the games the Lakers have covered have come comfortably.
Something interesting, if the Spurs do manage to win this game, I do not see them losing game 6 and once again, it is for all the dice in Game 7. But, these are the defending champs, however, the Spurs have yet to win against the Lakers on the road this year. Think about it, one time it was without Duncan, but the depth for the Lakers is striking. Here are the results for the contests this year:
05/27/08 SA 91 - LAL 93
05/25/08 SA 103 - LAL 84
05/23/08 LAL 101 - SA 71
05/21/08 LAL 89 - SA 85
04/13/08 LAL 106 - SA 85
01/23/08 SA 103 - LAL 91
12/13/07 LAL 102 - SA 97
11/13/07 SA 107 - LAL 92
You see a trend here: The Spurs won at home in the first contest between these 2 teams, Lakers won at home, thenm Spurs won at home, then the Lakers won the next 3 games at home, the Spurs won at home, and the last contest in San Antonio: Game 4: Was the first time, a road team struck blood in this contest in the last 8 contests between these 2 teams this year: : I just think the Spurs magic has run out as I would not be surprised if the Spurs start out strong, but the Lakers end up pulling this out in the end. The Lakers have yet to lose to the Spurs at home, the line should be interesting: if it is -7.5 again, I look for the Spurs to cover again, more importantly, I would not be surprised to see an under cash here.
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(6-1 overall, some clients did not get the first 2 plays of the season):
May 27th: Atlanta/Washington Over 148 (Winner)
May 25th: Houston/Washington Under 142 (Winner)
May 23rd: Detroit/Atlanta Over 156.5 (Winner)
May 22nd: Washington/New York Over 139 (Push)
May 21st: Indiana/Detroit Under 141.5 (Loss)
May 20th: Seattle Storm -8 (Winner)
Unofficial Plays: Did not register on top10:
Connecticut Sun (Winner)
Minny/Detroit Over (Winner)
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