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Old 07-15-08, 12:03 PM
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Indiancowboy (IC): July 15th

Tuesday, July 15th

Yesterday: 0-1

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Tuesday WNBA Research

New York vs. Connecticut

It's unbelievable how favorites continue to cover over and over again in the wnba, it reminds me of the first 2 rounds of the NCAA Tourney in College Basketball last year. New York has revenge from an earlier loss to the Sun and it wouldn't surprise me to see them get revenge, similar to the Sparks getting revenge at home against the Silver Stars in yesterday's ballgame. Conn beat New York in fact both times this year, including the first time on the road by 14 points as the game went under 146 in New York, then in a game in Connecticut, New York was very competitive covering the 7 point spread, the game also went over 144.5 as well. New York has covered 3 straight ballgames, including winning on the road at Phoenix, and on the road against the Sparks and beating Detroit at home recently. This game is likely going over, note that if it wasn't for a 15-27 1st quarter the last time these 2 teams played, New York might have won this game outright. New York will look to avoid losing 3 in a row to the Sun imo, likely going over - Conn has lost 3 in a row coming into this game as well.

San Antonio vs. Phoenix

Over 72% favor Phoenix here, of course, given the way things are going with the heavy favorites covering, who the hell knows, maybe Vegas feels like giving free money today as heavy favorites continue to cover of late. The reason why there is such a short spread is that the Silver Stars come off the loss to the Sparks and have the better record here, of course, that means squat considering that revenge is big in the wnba just like the nba - for example the sparks getting revenge against the Silver Stars last night, and the Mercury have revenge tonight from a previous 81-76 loss back on May 20th, of course, the Mercury have lost 5 straight covers as they return home and have lost back to back games themselves on the road as they come home, the Mercury are also below .500 on the year at 9-11.

Monday MLB Research

American League vs. National League

Here is the breakdown of the previous all-star games: See a trend? To the right is the MVP of that All-Star game.

1997 American, 3-1 Cleveland Sandy Alomar Jr., Cleveland, C
1998 American, 13-8 Colorado Roberto Alomar, Baltimore, 2B
1999 American, 4-1 Boston Pedro Martinez, Boston, P
2000 American, 6-3 Atlanta Derek Jeter, New York (AL), SS
2001 American, 4-1 Seattle Cal Ripken Jr., Baltimore, SS
2002 7-7 tie, 11 innings Milwaukee No Selection
2003 American, 7-6 Chicago Garret Anderson , Anaheim Angels
2004 American, 9-4 Houston Alfonso Soriano, Texas Rangers
2005 American, 7-5 Detroit Miguel Tejada, Baltimore
2006 American, 3-2 Pittsburgh Michael Young, Texas Rangers
2007 American, 5-4 San Francisco Ichiro Suzuki, Seattle

Once again, I favor the AL, but did you see the juice on the AL, it's -141 at Pinnacle now, of course, taking the RL is risky on any given day, but especially since the last 2 years and 3 of 5 years, it has been won by the AL by just 1 run, on top of that, the NL always has a chance of winning this game outright. no thanks.

Although, if you are looking for a Prop Bet:

You might want to look into the prop bet regarding Total Homeruns Over 2.5 as that would be decent considering the last 3 years the game has played in the AL, it is typically higher scoring and at least 3 home runs or more have been hit. The juice varies from book to book on this wager.
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Last edited by indiancowboy : 07-15-08 at 12:53 PM.
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Old 07-15-08, 12:14 PM
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Re: Indiancowboy (IC): July 15th

Quote:
Originally Posted by indiancowboy View Post

It's unbelievable how favorites continue to cover over and over again in the wnba
This is the WNBA , not the NBA. You can play the obvious in this league, right?
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Old 07-15-08, 12:55 PM
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Re: Indiancowboy (IC): July 15th

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Originally Posted by Bert View Post
This is the WNBA , not the NBA. You can play the obvious in this league, right?
It seems that way Bert, but having said that, over 70% were on Conn when they played Chicago on the road and got burned for an outright win by the Sky. Granted, the Sparks were only favored by 59% yesterday, so it was still under 60% and now that I think about it, the line could have been that way given San Antonio's strong play coming into that game.

Let's see what happens today though with the Silver Stars on the road at Phoenix, over 70% favor the Mercury despite their 9-11. I lean Mercury with the revenge, but b/c of that 70% mark, I'm staying away, granted, the Silver Stars haven't lost back to back ballgames in quite some time, the last time they did that, it was to one team, the Comets on back to back ballgames and they lost to them all 3 times this year.
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Old 07-15-08, 01:00 PM
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Re: Indiancowboy (IC): July 15th

1 wnba play today (pod). gl.
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