Friday, July 23rd
Yesterday: 2-1 (POD winner), (Not sure how you're book grades the Orioles suspended game, but 2-0-1 if they pushed, if they count it as a loss as most books do after 5 inns, then 2-1).
Football
Football Early Bird Package (NFL & College) now available until August 18th (Season starts August 29th). I will be handicapping the Pre-Season as well: looking forward to a great season of NFL, SEC, Big 10, Big 12 and Big East Football as that is all I will be focusing on this year - but just focusing on that will yield a lot of value in my opinion and that itself is a lot of teams to follow and counless trends will show up by doing research in the NFL and these specific conferences. In fact, these are the same conferences I will focus on for what I am probably most known for College Basketball and the NBA.
PODs (60%+ on POD going on Nearly 4 Months - Documented):
32-17 Last 49 PODs (61%)
69-43-3 (60%), Normally doing 1 POD Per Day. (Last 118 Days)
Baseball
Over 60% in Baseball Last 2 Months (65 days): 39-23 (62%)
18 of 25 baseball winners (72%) (7 Dogs)
WNBA
6-3 of late in Wnba.
Monthly Results
3 winning months in a row
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Thursday's MLB Research
Toronto vs. Baltimore
As I write this, I am 2-0 and I'm sitting on seeing if the Orioles game can come out of delay and see if they can pull this game out. Regardless, it sits at 2-1 in favor of Toronto currently. If you remember, Halladay actually got roughed up on the road in his last start at Tampa Bay and his team lost 4-6 so this is actually a bounce-back game for him, Do note that the last time he had a horrible start was against Cincy at home with a 6 ERA and then he came back pitching a complete game shutout at Seattle giving up just 4 hits in a 2-0 win. Who knows what he has in store for this game after the bad outing at Tampa Bay, Halladay had a 4.7 era against Liz in his last start winning 5-4 at home against the O's the last go around, he was 3-0 against the O's last year, Cabrera had a 10.80 era in his last start only to find his team actually end up winning the game 11-10, remember he is on a big-bounceback and facing Halladay typically brings the best out of ya, if anything a lean on the under here as this very well might be a pitcher's duel similar to yesterday, remember he had a 5.69 era at Toronto so this is a bit of a revenge game for Cabrera as well as the ol' guy can pitch a solid game at home as he did against Kansas City pitching a complete game and giving up just 2 runs. Lean on the under here.
Tampa Bay vs. Kansas City
Speaking of Tampa Bay, they face off against KC here after winning 4-3 at home and KC coming off a 7-1 beating at the hands of the Tigers. Garza gave up just 2 hits in about 8 inns his last start as he dominated Toronto at home, he has a 4.05 era against KC in his last start as he picked up a ND but his team lost 4-7 eventually at home to Gil Meche, he gave up 9 hits in about 7 inns in that home start, he lost to KC both times last year as well pitching 1 of 2 quality starts, speaking of Meche, he is 4-1 over his last 7 starts, his team has won 6 of his last 7 starts, he pitched a stellar game at Tampa Bay last time helping defeat the Drays and Garza and actually cashing in as +170 dogs, Tampa bay has revenge here but KC comes off a terrible home loss, lean on tampa bay here but likely staying away.
Thursday WNBA Research
Chicago vs. San Antonio
If you remember, I took Chicago at home against Indiana as the POD recently and it panned out, San Antonio beat this team by 8 earlier this year, Chicago has covered their last 5 as I have been on this team's bandwagon for quite some time, they have some bite on the road as shown at Connecticut and at Detroit losing by a combined total of 10 points and have covered 7 of their last 10 overall as well. San Antonio does come off an outright 13 point loss to Minnesotta at home so they can't be in a good mood, but that could have been a let down from the big Phoenix win and San Antonio has lost their last 4 ATS covers at home as well. Lean on Chicago with the points here, hell, it's possible they could win this game outright - I have it at a 32% chance and it fits in with my dogs that can win outright philosophy.
Phoenix vs. Sacramento
Sacramento beat this team by 8 at home earlier this sesaon, the public still favors the Monarchs despite Phoenix nearly beating Houston on the road, a game they truly should have won outright but did cover, Phoenix is making a push, they have covered their last 3, but Sacramento has won their last 5 and covered their last 4 of 5, I can see this going either way, no thanks.
Los Angeles vs. Connecticut
Both teams sit at 14-10, the Sparks beat this team in OT at home their last ballgame, the Sparks come off a massive win on the road at Detroit so possible let down here and Conn is facing the daunting -5.5 spread, the worst spread in sports for a favorite in my opinion, the same goes for the -3.5 spread in football, just a ****ty spread always for the favorite and indicative that they expect the favorite to possibly lose outright, it's the worst spread in college basketball as well, whenever I see a -5.5 spread, I think Vegas believes there is a 40% chance that the underdog could win outright and that is usually the case. As per this game, Conn has revenge but they have been playing ****ty basketball and have lost 9 of their last 10 covers, if anything a lean on the Sparks to win this baby outright, heck, even 1 unit on the ML is not a bad idea here imo. Heck, it sits at +208 from where I stand.
Minny vs. Indiana
Should 62% of the public favor an Indiana team that is facing a Minny team that just went on the road to beat quite possibly the best team in the league by 13 points on the road? Well, considering that Minny is a young team and they came back home only to lose outright to Seattle, they are as unpredictable as it gets. And considering that Indy is typically a sound defense and Minny struggles against physical defenses, sure, Indiana has dominated this team the last 3 times they have played them winning by DD - of course, those were all from last year, Indiana is the same team that lost at home to Atlanta and Seattle as they lost outright and Minny is coming off a loss of their own as well as Indiana who is coming off an 8 point loss to Chicago, if anything, a lean on the under, but this is a crapshoot game imo.
Detroit vs. Houston
Here is a great game for you, probably the best one of tomorrow imo, Detroit embarassed this team and beat them by 19 at hom earlier this year, but Detroit is coming off back to back losses which is a rarity for this team and on top of that they are back to back losses at home - ouch. This team has lost 4 of 5 covers and has lost back to back ballgames at home by 3 points a peice, hell, they were down much more in both those games and were fortunate to even come back in the Sparks game. Houston has won 3 in a row at home although did not cover the last game against Phoenix, if anything a lean on Houston to get it done here and hand Detroit their 3rd loss in a row and this is a revenge game against Detroit as well, I just don't know if I want to go against Detroit for their 3rd straight loss.
Thursday's Comp Selection
Comp selections are always one of the premium selections on the card. Win or lose, it adds a little more to the thread each day and I simply believe if you put something out, it should be something that you are actually playing. Hope you find it helpful.
L.A. Sparks +206 ML (1 unit selection only)
write-up:
This is mean to be a 1 unit selection btw as I do this in the NBA all the time and have cashed on as high money line as the Grizzlies +1100 ML on the road at the Lakers and the Kings +1130 ML on the road at Denver with revenge. The same rules apply here as given the research Connecticut truly should not be favored and I will always take a shot on the ML in the course of a season, I wouldn't be surprised to see Conn win this game but given what the 5.5 line means to me overall and the fact that I have the Sparks as 48% of winning this game outright, I'll tack this one with the other 2 standard 3 unit plays in looking for a cash, this is similar to any underdog in baseball out there and the value is there.
Research:
Both teams sit at 14-10, the Sparks beat this team in OT at home their last ballgame, the Sparks come off a massive win on the road at Detroit so possible let down here and Conn is facing the daunting -5.5 spread, the worst spread in sports for a favorite in my opinion, the same goes for the -3.5 spread in football, just a ****ty spread always for the favorite and indicative that they expect the favorite to possibly lose outright, it's the worst spread in college basketball as well, whenever I see a -5.5 spread, I think Vegas believes there is a 40% chance that the underdog could win outright and that is usually the case. As per this game, Conn has revenge but they have been playing ****ty basketball and have lost 9 of their last 10 covers, if anything a lean on the Sparks to win this baby outright, heck, even 1 unit on the ML is not a bad idea here imo. Heck, it sits at +208 from where I stand.
Linear Mode
