This is not tracking the totals . . just the sides . . also of note is that Phoenix is 3-0 on their current trip., with their last game tomorrow night at Sac. ( uh - oh )
__________________
Never ask a bad team to help you out
Do you have a breakdown of wins on the side chases by pointspread? I ask because I normally stay away from double-digit spreads in my capping. I have an aversion to back-door covers. Anyway, I'm wondering about this NJ trip. They covered in Toronto, they're in Boston tonight, then they go to Detroit tomorrow, and finish in Cleveland on Tuesday. Any thoughts about skipping the balance of the Jersey trip?
1-2 last night. Sac couldn't come up with a miracle 2 games in a row, and we suffer a loss on the sides chase.
One play tonight.
NJ @ Det Game 3.....Det to cover
Normally, I'd list the Top 5's and the teams over 205 here, but I'm skipping this week. With the All-Star Break coming up next week, there are no qualifying road trips this week. Let's get a win tonight, and a take a break in this thread until Tuesday 2/16 when Bos, Mia, and Uta hit the road.
System now stands at 38-2 . . . . with Phoenix sweeping their trip. Still put puts us up 8 units on the year. Bud, I dont have the breakdown by spread but that is VERY interesting point. I would keep an eye on the spread, I still think that NJ is not going to sweep the 4 game trip. At least the 2 teams that have done so - Bos & Pho - have talent and we could reasonably see that happening. But NJ on the other hand. . . . .
__________________
Never ask a bad team to help you out
NJ as a double-digit dog this year is 9-8. Including 2 covers Vs Cle.
As a double-digit road dog they are 7-6. Including a cover in Cleveland.
Against +.500 teams on the road as a double-digit dog, they are 7-8.
Cle as a double-digit favorite is 7-11.
Against sub .500 teams at home as a double-digit fave, they are 5-7.
Head-to-head this year:
12/15/09 @ Cle: Jersey covers a 14.5 pt spread
01/02/10 @ NJ: Jersey covers a 10 pt spread
I'm open for discussion, but I might need some convincing to risk more on Jersey tonight. I mean, besides the "you gotta have faith" arguement.
Okc 19-6-1.....73.08%
Cha 15-10-0....60.00%
Mil 16-11-0.....59.26%
Atl 14-10-0.....58.33%
Por 15-11-0....57.69%
Here are the teams >205 pts per game on the road:
Phx 216.7 pts.
GS 215.8 pts.
Tor 213.2 pts.
Min 211.3 pts.
Mem 210.8 pts.
Ind is 6th with 204.4 pts; (might pass this one)
This week is going to be a busy one.
Tues 2/16.....Bos (both side and total)
Tues 2/16.....Mia (both)
Tues 2/16.....Uta (both)
Wed 2/17.....Atl (total only)
Fri 2/19........Ind (both, but Ind's total is 204.4 pts on the road)
Sat 2/20.......Phi (both)
Sat 2/20......Cha (total only)
2-2 last night. The Jazz keep covering on the road.
Tonight's plays:
Ind @ Htn Game 2.....UNDER
Phi @ Chi Game 1......Chi to cover
Phi @ Chi Game 1......UNDER
Cha @ Mil Game 1.....UNDER (no play on the side; Cha is a Top 5 ATS)
Top 5 Road Teams ATS through 2/19 (Top 7 with the ties):
Okc 19-6-1.....73.08%
Mil 17-11-0.....60.71%
Cha 15-10-0...60.00%
Uta 15-9-1.....60.00%
Atl 15-11-0.....57.69%
GS 15-10-1.....57.69%
Por 15-11-0....57.69%
Road teams over 205 pts:
Phx 215.8 pts
GS 215.1
Tor 212.5
Mem 210.9
Min 210.5
Den 205.1
Great heads up on Utah. I lost the first 2 games on the road against them and with them moving into the top 5 bet with them last night and won and got my first two losses back. Thanks for info. Great system and just have to adapt as things change!
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