I'm Wondering If We Should Also Look At A Teams Road Stats Against The Spread And Over/under. This Maybe A Better Predicter Of Whether The Teams Will Cover.
Ex. Orlando Ats: 5-5 Home 14-2 Away
Also Not Sure Why You Picked Pho, La, Mem, Indiana, Gs, Denver To Stay Away From. These Teams Score Alot Of Points But Dont Cover The Over A Tremendous Amount Of Time. The Fact They Score Alot Of Points Is Already In The Line.
0 U O U
Pho Overall 13-12 Road 7-8
La 12-11 6-4
Mem 13-11 4-8
Indiana 15-10 7-6
Goldenstate 13-12 5-8
Denver 11-13 5-5
Utah May Be One To Stay Away From. It Might Be Worth Us Cutting Our Loses Now On The Over/under
Overall 16-10 Road 10-5
That's Fairly Dominant On The Road.
1. Toronto we simply missed when making the spreadsheet that has all the road trips. They are a top 5 ATS so as a result we will only be playing the O/U part of the system. We had planned to omit any long road trips that were broken up by christmas break. The long break will allow teams to rest and therefore cancel out the principle of the system. However toronto does have 4 games before their break. After the 22nd they have 6 days off then continue on the road on the 28th. We are only playing today through the game on the 22nd. The 28th and on mean nothing to us, it's not part of the trip as far as we are concerned.
2. Big Moron, I hear what you're saying and we thought about that. However we feel that the teams we decided to omit were the right ones. We didn't come to that decision over night or pull names out a hat, we thought it through. You can play the system however you want, we are just outlining how we play it and how we feel it is most effective. We aren't putting a gun to anyones head, ya know? If 1 Utah over has you spooked and you wanna dip out go ahead. Just trust us that we know what we are doing, we certainly appreciate the suggestion though.
3. On the Lakers series we are playing only ATS, not O/U
4. On the Raptors series we are playing only O/U, not ATS
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NBA Road System (Since 12/3/07):
ATS: 28-0
O/U: 27-0
Total: 55-0 (+55 units)
Saints75's NHL Road System (Since 1/9/08):
ATS: 22-1
Total: 22-1 (+11.8 Units)
When trying to eliminate the over-killing teams I was not concerned about road O/u results. By the end of the year, just about every team is going to be near .500 in regards to O/u. The point of eliminating those 6 teams is to eliminate the teams that seem to have the most potential to light up the scoreboard for a week straight and hammer even the most absurd totals (like the Suns did a couple weeks ago when they almost beat the system.) As of now Utah falls just shy of the criteria we used to omit the O/u teams.
As far the the Toronto series is concerned, that was merely human error and we will be playing the under but not ATS, as they are a top 5 road team.
I hope this cleared up any questions. Here are my final plays today:
Chicago -2
Toronto UN 188.5
__________________ NBA Road System
ATS: 33-0 (+33)
O/U: 44-0 (+44)
Overall: 77-0 (+77)
hard to believe how much worse the bulls are this year then last year... they flat out stink. On the other hand, the Lakers are legit this year. They are a very solid team.
Hopefully the tor/lac game is a low scoring affair and we can get out of that series in the 1st game.
Wednesdays Plays:
Utah/Char Under 195.5 (to win 2.2 units)
and possibly a play on the Tor/Por under depending on what happens with the raptors tonight, stay tuned....
__________________
NBA Road System (Since 12/3/07):
ATS: 28-0
O/U: 27-0
Total: 55-0 (+55 units)
Saints75's NHL Road System (Since 1/9/08):
ATS: 22-1
Total: 22-1 (+11.8 Units)
we come back and hit with a win on the toronto under, and now are done with that series. The O/U part of the system moves to 7-0 since the start of the thread.
The raptors under means only 1 play tomorrow and I mentioned what it is in the message directly above this one. That's all we got for tomorrow, we will be back to try and bust the lakers on thursday in cleveland
__________________
NBA Road System (Since 12/3/07):
ATS: 28-0
O/U: 27-0
Total: 55-0 (+55 units)
Saints75's NHL Road System (Since 1/9/08):
ATS: 22-1
Total: 22-1 (+11.8 Units)
I think since they entered the top 5 during the series we stick with em... we'll see what Chris or big fella has to say about it. Either way the lakers are scary this year
__________________
NBA Road System (Since 12/3/07):
ATS: 28-0
O/U: 27-0
Total: 55-0 (+55 units)
Saints75's NHL Road System (Since 1/9/08):
ATS: 22-1
Total: 22-1 (+11.8 Units)
jazz game goes under... another road trip and another 2 units won, it's getting pretty familiar isn't it? System since the start of the thread the system is still perfect. Now 8-0 on O/U and 6-0 ATS for 14-0 overall... nothing else to say the data speaks for itself.
Tomorrow we play the cavs against the lakers for 2.1 units
__________________
NBA Road System (Since 12/3/07):
ATS: 28-0
O/U: 27-0
Total: 55-0 (+55 units)
Saints75's NHL Road System (Since 1/9/08):
ATS: 22-1
Total: 22-1 (+11.8 Units)
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