Fantastic Nfl-x System Get On Board!!!

[MREAST]

Many think their is no value playing meaningless games in the NFL Preseason, or wonder how can you base anything on teams that are experimenting with new systems, evaluating players, etc. There is some truth to the facts, but no truth to the fact there is no value in playing these games, If you look toward the right situations, the right opportunity presents itself, and here is something I will share from my many archieved systems, based on one confition only, so nothing backfitted here.

THE PREMISE:

What happens to a team in the NFL-X that doesn't find the end-zone the entire game, or scores 6 points or less? This certainly seems to be a team that has no identity on offense, maybe looking at a new coach with a new system, or maybe just had one of those weeks. The real value comes from this. What do you think the offensive coordinator, and head coach discussions were like during prep for the next week? You can bet there will be extra emphasis going into the offensive game plan the following week, and a repeat is unlikely. So let's take a look at a 12 year history in the NFL-X of teams that scored 6 points or less in their previous NFL-X Game. There has been a sizeable database of games, with 102 games in the databank falling into this catergory. The rsults are very positive, and I will break them down in several ways, to show where the real value lies.

PLAYING ON A TEAM THAT SCORED 6 POINTS OR LESS IN THEIR PREVIOUS NFL-X GAME:

59-43 ATS 57.8%
26-17 as a dog 60.4%
33-26 as a favorite 55.9%
************************************************** **************************

Let's take a look at the moneyline for these games:

20-23 as a dog 46.5% to an average moneyline of +170

That means playing these dogs on the moneyline has an ROI (return on investment) of 25.6%

41-18 as a favorite to an average moneyline of -180

That means these favorites have a 14.6% return on the moneyline

OF INTEREST:

AFC moneyline favorites 20-4 !!!!!
NFC moneyline favorites 21-14

TOTALS in these games have produced overs at the rate of 57-45 or 56%

These "so called" flawed teams that none would look at after the results of their first game is where the money is!!!! They have gone from an average of 4.9 points a game to exactly 20 points a game in their next time out!!!! If you look at last week's NFL-X, teams that scored 20 or more points were 9-4 ATS!!!!

So this system has value both straight up and on the moneyline, so look for thos teams that produced 6 points or less in their last game, and play them SU, and ATS, and play the game to go under, and you should be showing a nice profit to head into the regular season!

Good luck to all!!!

[rywill2006]

Good stuff MREAST. So according to this system, we're supposed to be playing on SF and MIA this week as well as under the total in each of those games?

[lillefty]

you want the overs in those games

[rywill2006]

i figured, overs would make more sense. I think there is a typo in the original post.

[The Bartender]

Typo fixed - original post now correct

[dallas]

Talk to me like I am a 3rd grader. Who am I playing?

[lillefty]

it was buffalo and the under

[WiseGuy1]

Mr.East,
Correct me if I am wrong, but Buffalo and the under also was a play on your previously posted homedog and under system plays and parlay. I am playing that angle with a percentage of my bankroll.
HomeDog
1-0
Unders-above games
0-1
Parlays
0-1

[lillefty]

so far in this system there have been 2 games that have applied. Results are as follows

update after week 2
home dogs .....................under totals........................parlay......+/- units
pitt(+1.5)(W)...............pitt/phil under 34(W).........pit+under(W)...(+4.6)
buff(+2)(W).................pitt/buff under 34(L).........buff+under(L)...(+3.5)

[eagleshot]

Good stuff guy...I will add that to my toolbox