Props been cold like an ex wife this Sunday. Let's get some back tonight. Driver has been hot lately, so believe that coverage will swing more his way this game, limiting him to 3 catches at most. Plus going to be a littel chilly tonight, may see a lot of running.
Both these QB's are prone to throw interceptions, RBs from both teams are pretty surehanded, but for soem odd reason feel this could be a clean game, so backed up a no turnover bet, fumble does us in. So;
12/7/2009 7:01 PM Future/Prop 77.50 50.00 .NFL - 365 - Baltimore Rave vs Green Bay Pack - Game - ML - Baltimore Rave vs Green Bay Pack - The first turnover of the game will be - Pass Interception -155
12/7/2009 7:01 PM Future/Prop 25.00 200.00 .NFL - 365 - Baltimore Rave vs Green Bay Pack - Game - ML - Baltimore Rave vs Green Bay Pack - The first turnover of the game will be - No Turnovers in game +800
57691269-3 12/7/2009 7:01 PM Future/Prop 33.75 25.00 .NFL - 365 - Baltimore Rave vs Green Bay Pack - Player - TOT - Baltimore Rave vs Green Bay Pack - Total pass receptions by Driver - Under 5 pass receptions -135
Good Capping, WiseGuy1
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Update stats later, going throw some drinks back with the bros.
Liking what Fasano has been doing lately in Miami offense, which is more conventional look since Brown went down. Jags should concentrate more on getting MJD the ball then throwing it around, hopefully Jack DelRio!!!
So;
Wager type : Proposition/Future
#1 : .NFL - 119 - Miami Dolphins vs Jacksonville J
Player SP - Miami Dolphins vs Jacksonville J
Fasano vs Lewis most pass receiving yrds
Anthony Fasano +8½ pass receiving yards -120
Risking 30.00 To Win 25.00 USD
Liking Jags -1 and ML
Good Capping, WiseGuy1
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Damn Fasano drops a 30 yder, only ball throw to him all day, gives us the loss/ Driving myself nuts, may shut this down if I miss tonights prop.
Giants will be looking to run and keep Eagles of the field. Weather not alltogether nice, Mannigham is in Eli's doghouse, and Nicks is stepping up. Be suprised if Mario gets 3 catches, tonight. SO;
Selection: .NFL - 131 - Philadelphia E vs New York Giant
Player
TOT - Philadelphia E vs New York Giant
Total pass receptions by Mario Manningham 12/13/2009 8:20 PM - (EST)
Under 4½ pass receptions -165
Liking my Giants ML 1st Half
Go Capping, WiseGuy1
NFL PROP THREAD RESULTS = 16-16-2 for - $378.75
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Damn, what happened to my Giants Defense?? Hated Eagles moved the ball at will. But as predicted, Manning shied away from Mannigham, who had only 2 catches, and finally nailed a good prop. the march continues tonight...
Selection: .NFL - 131 - Philadelphia E vs New York Giant
Player
TOT - Philadelphia E vs New York Giant
Total pass receptions by Mario Manningham 12/13/2009 8:20 PM - (EST) Under 4½ pass receptions -165
Outcome - 2 total pass receptions
NFL PROP THREAD RESULTS = 17-16-2 for - $278.75
Till later, WiseGuy1
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Myself leaning toward Cardinals for the game and 1st half over 22 1/2 pts..
This is going to be a competitive game with both teams trying to establish a different style. I don't think the 49er's secondary can cover the wave of quality receivers the Cardinals will throw at them. Even though 49er's have been in the shotgun and passing the ball, it has not translated into quality wins. Last 6 weeks, with this style, they have only beaten Bears, who are terrible and Jacksonville, whose moronic coach DelRio insists on trying to make Garrad a 300 yd passer, when the best option , MJD is underutilized both rushing and on screens.
Mike Singeltary gets back to powerball tonight, and Niners will establish Gore early and often, it is their only chance against a Cards offense that has been clicking. Additionally, Card LB's play a solid game and should corral Davis tonight. SO;
Boldin or Fitzzy breaks a long one, only wildcard is if Gore breaks one
Wager type : Proposition/Future
Select #1 : .NFL - 133 - Arizona Cardin vs San Francisco
Game ML - Arizona Cardin vs San Francisco
Team to have the longest touchdown score in game
Arizona Cardinals -130
Risking 32.50 To Win 25.00 USD
Plus money on Boldin?? For what is basically a 50/50
Select #2 : .NFL - 133 - Arizona Cardin vs San Francisco
Player ML - Arizona Cardin vs San Francisco
Boldin vs Davis who will score a TD 1st
Anquan Boldin +135
Risking 25.00 To Win 33.75 USD
Good Capping, WiseGuy1
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Totally offbase on Cards game, looked like Warner had concussion relapse, he was that bad, and I have been bad lately with props. Still paying for that Witten beermuscle pick.
NFL PROP THREAD RESULTS = 17-18-2 for - $336.25
Like Jaguars team total over 19 1/2 pts
Not sure how long Colts play starters, but Garcon should play most of game, as he is still slightly grenn in this offense. However with the Jags getting back a couple of injured CBs tonight, Jags focus will be stopping Wayne and Clark, especially the redhot Clark. Should leave a few downfield one on ones for Garcon, and Peyton should deliver a strike.
Holt on the other hand is at the mercy of Garrad and his tendency to hold the ball, plus his preference for Simms-Walker. I'm also hoping DelRIo gets his head out of his a s s and runs the ball with MJD. Going small in case Manning is pulled early. So;
Wager type : Proposition/Future
Select #1 : .NFL - 301 - Indianapolis C vs Jacksonville J
Player SP - Indianapolis C vs Jacksonville J
Garcon vs Holt most pass receiving yrds
Pierre Garcon -8½ pass receiving yards -135
Risking 33.75 To Win 25.00 USD
Good Capping, WiseGuy1
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Derailed again, as Manning goes for over 300yd, but Garcon only gets 2 for 16yds. Those Jags CBs suck the big one, more victim of a soft zone plan against an A-1 QB, as Wayne and Clark chewed them up, left no room for Garcon. How Holt got 3 for 38 with that inaccurate Garrad is lucky, and still DelRio, with 3 time outs left did not attempt a screen to MJD, coupled with an early game 3rd and 1, where he chose to pass, cant figure that bum out.
Prop loss, but very big $$$ win on Jags team total, which was almost won at the half.
Wager Type: Future/Prop Wager Status: Loss
Risk / To Win Amount: 33.75 / 25.00 (USD) Accepted 12/17/2009 4:15 PM - EST Lost: 33.75
Selection: .NFL - 301 - Indianapolis C vs Jacksonville J
Player
SP - Indianapolis C vs Jacksonville J
Garcon vs Holt most pass receiving yrds 12/17/2009 8:20 PM - (EST)
Pierre Garcon -8½ pass receiving yards -135 Outcome - Contestant Lost by -22 pass receiving yards
NFL PROP THREAD RESULTS = 17-19-2 for - $370.00
Wait for the Sat Saint, WiseGuy1
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Should be an easy over 27pts in 1st half today.
Since Boys should be playing from behind all game, looking for Witten to have a big game, heel he owes me. Shockey a little dinged up, and Boys linebackers and safetys not bad, CBs terrible, so Brees should be firing outside on the edges to the receivers. So;
Wager type : Proposition/Future
Select #1 : .NFL - 303 - Dallas Cowboys vs New Orleans Sa
Player SP - Dallas Cowboys vs New Orleans Sa
Witten vs Shockey most pass receiving yrds
Jason Witten -12½ pass receiving yards -150
Risking 75.00 To Win 50.00 USD
Lets go Witten, WiseGuy1
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No Shockey, no bet, cancelled as Shockey sat out. Fine by me, as Shockeys replacement was catching a lot of balls, and Saints not Boys were plating catchup. How Saints corners go from playing great to crap is beyond me, and that Austin dude must have Teflon on his shiort, as no seems to be able to tackle that guy.
See waht's up later, WiseGuy1
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Going against Gates today. Bengals backers good and line will get pressure on Rivers, Gates may be needed to block. Cbs of Bengals can go one on one adequately against big Chargers receivers. So;
Wager type : Proposition/Future
Select #1 : .NFL - 323 - Cincinnati Ben vs San Diego Char
Player TOT - Cincinnati Ben vs San Diego Char
Total pass receiving yards by Gates
Under 78½ pass receiving yards -120
Risking 30.00 To Win 25.00 USD
$$$Bet- KC/.Browns over 17 1/2 1st half and over 38 for game.
Good Capping, WiseGuy1
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Knocked that total out of the park.. Both big $$$ bets won at the half, nothing sweeter than that, baby. Also hit the Gates prop, as predicted Bengals LB's played him tough, and Rivers concentrated on the edges. Only bummer of the day was the friggin Broncos who dumped me out of a 40 thousand $ survivor pool, almost shot the widescreen during that 4th quarter.
The locals I use and their offshores don't offer a lot fo straight up props like the above, if they did I would be killing them, for money of course. Player vs player props are tough as you have two sets of variables. Still though, would be at plus money, had the beers and partying not givin me a cloudy head and a head of steam when I dropped that stupid amount of money on Witten.
Bear with me, going to have the NFL prop money at even or better by the seasons end, playoffs included.
Wager Type: Future/Prop Wager Status: Win
Risk / To Win Amount: 30.00 / 25.00 (USD) Accepted 12/20/2009 11:55 AM - EST Won: 25.00
Amount Paid: 25.00
Selection: .NFL - 323 - Cincinnati Ben vs San Diego Char
Player
TOT - Cincinnati Ben vs San Diego Char
Total pass receiving yards by Gates 12/20/2009 4:05 PM - (EST)
Under 78½ pass receiving yards -120 Outcome - 33 total pass receiving yards
NFL PROP THREAD RESULTS = 18-19-2 for - $345.00
Checking for tonight, WiseGuy1
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Not much action in props lately. I wanted to do an update on the Futures bets and then take this thread forward into the last weekend and playoffs.
Futures Bets Results
9/8/2009 6:03 PM Future/Prop EASY WINNER
NFL-FUTURES - 2009 Regular Season Wins - Cincinnati Bengals regular season wins - Over 6½ reg season wins -155
9/8/2009 6:03 PM Future/Prop Took longer than expected but a winner
NFL-FUTURES - 2009 Regular Season Wins - Green Bay Packers regular season wins - Over 8½ reg season wins -135
9/8/2009 6:03 PM Future/Prop Major Loser, shame on you Jim Caldwell
NFL-FUTURES - 2009 Regular Season Wins - Indianapolis Colts regular season wins - Under 10 reg season wins -115
9/8/2009 6:03 PM Future/Prop Vince gave it a run, but too late, Winner
NFL-FUTURES - 2009 Regular Season Wins - Tennessee Titans regular season wins - Under 9 reg season wins +115
Three out of four pays very nicely, nice New Year present.
As for props, had it not been for that drunken Witten bet would be at plus money, promise, we will be at plus money at NFL season's end.
Good Capping, WiseGuy1
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The local's offshore clearer that I use has been extremely stingy in offering fair props. Head to head props are the hardest type to hit, so those faca mings concentrate their offerings in that group.
However, today I got one on HighTower...Proctor!! Mahoney!!, sorry those Police Academy movies are seared into my brain.
Seriously, HighTower should get 25yds rushing and 30yds receving against GB in high scoring game. SO;
Wager Type: Future/Prop
Wager Status: Pending
Risk / To Win Amount: 130.00 / 100.00 (USD) Accepted 1/10/2010 12:07 PM - EST
Selection: .NFL - 107 - Green Bay Pack vs Arizona Cardin
Player
TOT - Green Bay Pack vs Arizona Cardin
Tim Hightower total rush+receiving yards 1/10/2010 4:40 PM - (EST)
Over 45½ rush+receiving yards -130
Good Capping, WiseGuy1
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Sorry Vytas,
That MOFO HighTower slipped on a swing pass that should have went for 15 more yds, costing both of us the prop.
Wager Type: Future/Prop
Wager Status: Loss
Risk / To Win Amount: 130.00 / 100.00 (USD) Accepted 1/10/2010 12:07 PM - EST
Lost: 130.00
Selection: .NFL - 107 - Green Bay Pack vs Arizona Cardin
Player
TOT - Green Bay Pack vs Arizona Cardin
Tim Hightower total rush+receiving yards 1/10/2010 4:40 PM - (EST)
Over 45½ rush+receiving yards -130 Outcome - 40 total rush+receiving yards
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Happens. I like this prop business. Keeps things very interesting. The only play I had on the game was 1st quarter over. Let's pick a winner this weekend. Good luck.
I play a variety of props, will go into detail later in the week about the NBA "win 1stQ, win game" prop, which had been very profitable, up until a very bad day on Monday. This week, would have had 1/2 a yard more on my roll had I laid off that particular set of props, but sometimes you eat the bear, sometimes it eats you. But Cards game more than made up for it, couldn't believe I got +3 spread and +120 on ML.
One question V, on your locals clearing site, do you notice that when the juice is higher than normal 110 ( between 120 -130 ) on a spread bet like below on the one I got on Arizona, more likely than not, that bet wins?
Wager details for ticket number 58217712-3:
Wager Type: Spread (or run line)
Wager Status: Win
Accepted 1/10/2010 3:29 PM
Sport / Period: NFL Football / Game
Selection: Arizona Cardinals 1/10/2010 4:40:01 PM - (EST)
+3 -125
* Event Notes:
NFL PLAYOFFS - WILDCARD ROUND
Lets get em, V, WiseGuy1
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