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Re: POLL: EACH COLLEGE BALL GAME - BEST BET?
I took Nevada based on a system I'm working on which uses the "all players" and "expert" consensus picks at wagerline. If the picks are fairly even from both sides, I fade the pick. If the picks are more than a 2 to 1 ratio, I take the majority pick. If the "all players" favor one side by less than twice as much but the "experts" favor the other side by 1 or more, I take the "expert" pick so I fade the "all players" and go with the "experts". Back testing has shown this to be fairly reliable but I just finalized some of the rules so this is fairly new. Other picks would include MINN, MISS, DRAKE, TEXAS A&M, AND ST. LOUIS. We'll see if it works out. Another rule I've considered is only taking games where the favorite is -9 or less. That would rule out 4 of the 6 picks.
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