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Old 12-14-06, 07:51 PM
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Arizona State vs. Hawaii

Early X-mas from Wunderdog...

We are as excited as it gets for the start to the 2006/07 Bowl Season. Why? Because last year we started the season going 6-2. The year before that we started on an 8-0 run! We have always viewed these early games as soft and relatively easy to pick.We have seven strong picks for the Bowl games from December 19th through December 24th including two five-unit plays!You can get our entire Bowl package with all of our picks through the National Championship game for $149. Or you can get this first set of seven picks for $49. Order here.

Game: Arizona State vs. Hawaii (Sunday 12/24 8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Arizona State +8

What can you say about the #1 offense in NCAA football? Arizona St. will represent one of the toughest teams Hawaii has played all season and it should make for a high scoring affair. We are not going to try to downplay Hawaii's offense. That would not be very responsible of us. But we can point out some key differences when playing a reasonable defense, as opposed to the lousy ones that are stamped all over their schedule. We will start with the fact that against non-Bowl teams they averaged 56.1 ppg and vs. Bowl teams a much lower 33. In fact, vs. those Bowl opponents they were outscored 34-33. There are 119 ranked defenses in the NCAA and five opponents on Hawaii's schedule were in the bottom 10. Arizona St. ranks #34. So while we expect Hawaii to score, they will not stop Arizona St. either. The defense that Arizona State brings will slow Hawaii down enough. Hawaii has no defense so ASU should be able to match the Rainbows score for score. Getting over a TD thus presents nice value.
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