Mon, 11/19/07 - 7:00 PMGreg Shaker | NBA Total
double-dime bet502 CHL / 501 POR Under 189.5 BetUS
Analysis: NBA: Portland Trail Blazers at New Orleans Hornets - Under 189.5 -110 | Unit Value: 2 DIMES
Game Date: 11/19/2007
Note: An opening of 187 on this game and bettors driving it upward to it's present level. I am somewhat reluctant to play it this soon as it appears this game could hit the 190 mark and beyond. The Bobcats win game with good D and that is what they have done when they have played good D this year. That is win. They did that verses Seattle, allowing just 84 to that high paced team. This Bobcat team is currently 26th in the league in scoring at under 91 points per game. They do have a slower than usual pace. That is not the real reason for this play though. Listen to these comments from the Portland camp following their 3rd consecutive road loss. Nate McMillan, "Just thinking about this, and looking at us...can we play at this pace? Can we play this style we are trying to play -- up-and-down and with that scrappy defense? Because right now, we look like a team running in quicksand. We are asking for a lot of energy, and they are trying to play that way, but we just look a step slow." Brandon Roy, "I think maybe we have to reevaluate it, We want to be a tight defensive team, and a team that scores 100, but I don't know if we have the bodies to do both." This will be the fourth road contest for the Blazers and that in itself leads to lower than usual scoring games. Their mindset tonight will be on D and a slower pace. So will the Bobcats. UNDER is 7-1 last 8 at Charlotte. Here comes another one.
MONDAY PICKS(CALLAHAN)
20* NFL Denver -1.5
15* NFL Denver under 38
15* CBB San Diego St -4.5
10* CBB Baylor -2
MONDAY PICKS(SOUTH BEACH)
ZEBRA CLUB: 20* NFL Tennessee +1.5
BIG ACTION: NFL Tennessee under 38
BIG ACTION: CBB Notre Dame -4
BIG ACTION: NBA New Orleans -1
MONDAY PICKS(HOLLYWOOD)
INSIDE ACTION: 20* NFL Denver under 38
BLUE RIBBON: NFL Denver -1.5
BLUE RIBBON: CBB Duke -22
BLUE RIBBON: CBB UCLA -10.5
WISEGUY EDGE: NFL San Diego under 40.5
MONDAY PICKS(MICHIGAN)
BIG HOUSE: 20* NFL Denver under 38
LOCKERROOM: 10* NFL Denver -1.5
LOCKERROOM: 10* NBA Memphis -6
PRESSBOX: 5* CBB Utah -11
MONDAY PICKS(NEW YORK)
INNER CIRCLE: 20* NFL Denver under 38
SYNDICATE: NFL Denver -1.5
SYNDICATE: NBA Utah -10.5
DATA: CBB Detroit +2.5
MONDAY PICKS(PIOLI)
HIGH ROLLER: 20* NFL Tennessee +1.5
VEGAS WISEGUY: 10* NFL Tennessee under 38
VEGAS WISEGUY: 10* CBB San Diego St -4.5
LINE VALUE: 5* NBA Memphis over 218
(HIGH ROLLERS CLUB)
20* NFL Denver -1.5 and 10* UNDER 38
MONDAY PICKS(20* CONSENSUS)
20* NFL Denver -1.5
9 of our 10 Handicappers have given this play as one of their top plays. 3 of the 9 have it as their BEST PLAY today. MONDAY'S PICKS
Mon, 11/19/07 - 9:00 PMGreg Shaker | CBB Total
double-dime bet528 Duke / 527 Princeton Over 127.5 BetUS
Analysis: NCAAB: Princeton Tigers at Duke Blue Devils - Over 127.5 -110 | Unit Value: 2 DIMES
Game Date: 11/19/2007
Note: There are a lot of questions to be answered by this Duke Team after their worst season in many many years. They have always played a slow tempo and the team they play tonight certainly does. That is why we are seeing this low number as we always have when they do play. But Princeton does not have the same quality of personel that they have had in the past and getting down early in this contest could very easily be the case. The Blue Devils can shoot the 3 pointer and they are going to be doing that more this year. They also have better personel to run the ball and they are going to do that this year as well. We have already seen that in their first two games this year as they have established the #33 top pace in the land. What is lacking is the Duke D we have seen in the past with a very young squad that features just 1 senior. Princeston games have been quickened up a bit as well with early ball control problems that has given them quite a few turnovers. TO's lead to quick points, more shooting and therefore a higher pace. That is going to happen tonight in my best estimation and Duke should run away with this game. That should also give us a catchup situation for the Tigers with lot's of second half points. Play Duke and OVER but more on the OVER for sure
4* Seattle/Memphis (NBA) OVER 217.5
Range 215.5 to 219.5
3* Portland +5 over Charlotte (NBA)
Range +7 to +3
3* Tennessee/Denver (NFL) UNDER 38.5
Range 40 to 36.5
4* Seattle/Memphis (NBA) OVER 217.5
Range 215.5 to 219.5
3* Portland +5 over Charlotte (NBA)
Range +7 to +3
3* Tennessee/Denver (NFL) UNDER 38.5
Range 40 to 36.5
New World Cappers
Tenessee 3* Titans, much like Jacksonville , are looking to take that next big step and get to 7-3. This is the time of year when teams prove whether they are playoff worthy, or just building for next season. Vince Young presents many problems for a Denver defense that has no consistency, nor do I think they can handle a mobile quarterback like Young. The Titans haven't lost back to back games yet this season, and are 5-2 off a loss against a division rival ATS and SU, plus as an underdog are 4-1 ATS this season
jeffersonsports
started posting his plays on 10/6
updating records daily-(68% since 10/6)
NCAA FOOTS 12-4
NCAA HOOPS 4-1
NFL 1-1
NHL 24-12
NBA 13-9
OVERALL RECORD 54-27 (67%) tailing him since 10/6
great run
STRONG NFL PLAY LATER
COLLEGE HOOPS
DUKE-22
UCLA-10.5
OKLAHOMA ST.-3
NHL
WASHINGTON-130
good luck fellas
Game: Tennessee at Denver (Monday 11/19 8:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 5 units on Tennessee +2
It isn't too often that we get this bullish on one side of a game, especially a Monday Night game. But once in a while an opportunity presents itself that we love. Tonight is that night. There are a lot of dynamics that go into a game: some statistical, some intangible, some trends, and some based on public perception. Many of these line up tonight. Denver is coming off a big upset win over KC (we were on them last week). That win played into the perception of many - that Denver still is a playoff caliber team. At the beginning of the year, many had them winning the division. The great hopes quickly faded as they started 2-3, capped off by a pounding vs. San Diego 41-3. No one wanted any part of them the following week on Monday Night vs. the Steelers. But we did, and they came away with the outright win. The public opinion began to sway, the Broncos are back! The next week they gave it back with a loss to Green Bay in a game where their offense looked horrible. Then they got exposed again in a 44-7 no contest against the Lions. The Broncos once again had fallen to the prey of the public dismissal last week when they went into Kansas City, a tough venue for any team, and soundly lay it on the Chiefs. So now the pendulum has swung and the public again believes in the Broncos! They are back, right? Hardly! We backed Denver twice this season (vs. Pitt and last week at KC) but that was based on the situation, not the team. We look at Denver and see a team that could easily be 1-8 instead of 4-5. Their two early wins against poor teams (Buffalo and Oakland) came literally as time expired on field goals. They needed OT to dismiss of the lowly Raiders and Buffalo was a much worse team than they are now when Denver played them. Denver beat Pittsburgh as time expired, too. Their only quality win, in our opinion was vs. Kansas City. Their five losses were by 37, 6, 38, 9 and 18 points, or an average of 21.6 ppg. That's the largest margin of loss for any NFL team! The line is also interesting. Denver opened as a 3-point favorite and the Titans drew a lot of action. It dropped to 1.5 and 2 at virtually every outlet. If the odds-makers thought Denver was the right side, they would have left it at 3 and juiced it. But they didn't, which tells us they want money drifting back to Denver, because it is the wrong side. While Denver is now a public team again, Tennessee is the opposite. Last year, the Titans were ranked near or at the bottom of the league offensively and defensively, but somehow kept winning week after week. That "somehow" was the addition of Vince Young. They didn't get respect last season as they reeld off ATS win after ATS win. Their stats didn't say "great team" but all they did was win. They did the same to start this season starting 3-0 ATS. The public finally took notice and started backing them. But, since then, they haven't performed, winning just two games ATS in the last six. So, a team the public didn't really WANT to back, has now given them excuse to get off the train. Back to Vince Young. The public doesn't like a QB that doesn't put up impressive numbers. But, QB ratings aren't the reason Young was able to do what he has done. Despite Tennessee's recent struggles, this team is now 13-5 in the last 18 games he has started for the Titans! Since week four of last season, they have suffered eight losses. Here are the record of those eight opponents coming into the game first, and second, their final or current record. This year: Jacksonville (6-3, 7-3), Tampa Bay (4-3, 6-4 and Young left with injury), Indy (1-0, 8-2). Last year: New England (11-4, 12-4), Baltimore (6-2, 13-3), Jacksonville (4-3, 8-8), Indy (4-0, 12-4), Dallas (1-1, 9-7). There is one common thread here: all these teams were .500 or better. Their combined record coming into the game was 37-16 (70%)! Their combined records overall is 75-35 (68%)! Do you see this Denver team in that company? Do you see any Titans loss with Young as starter to a team like Denver? The fact is, they have chewed up these type of teams. They are 7-0 SU vs. sub-.500 teams over this same period, and that includes 5-0 on the road. The offense is not in a better place than it was last season. Last year they were the 5th best running team and this year they are third. Last year they were 30th passing, this year 31. The big improvement has come on defense, where they went from dead last to #3 overall. There is no weakness to exploit on this defense as they are #3 vs. the run and #7 vs. the pass. What they do offensively is stuff the ball down your throat running the ball. This is Denver's vulnerability, as they rank #30 against the run. Vince Young does not have impressive numbers, but he is the intangible on this team that wins football games. Tennessee is a very difficult team to beat running the ball, and if you try to pass, they have the lowest QB rating against them in the league, at 65.5. Denver on the other hand allows a QB rating of 90.9, which is 4th worst in the league. That means Denver makes the opposing QB's look like a Pro-Bowler, and Tennessee makes them look like a back-up. Tennessee is 7-1 as a road dog with Young at QB, while Denver is 3-15 ATS in their last 18 giving points and 1-10 ATS before back-to-back road games. Denver vs. winning teams this season has been out-scored by 15 ppg. Tennessee has been outscoring losing teams by 10.3 ppg. The trends, the stats, the intangibles, the betting line, are all lined up for Tennessee to put one in the win column, and it is our NFL Monday Night Game of the Year. PLEASE remember that while we love this game, any game can lose. NEVER risk more than 5% of your entire bankroll on any single game. Good luck to you.
sprietzer--
tko......................titans
tko.........................grizzlies
ko...........................duke
tko tourney mismatch gow...................ucla
feist--
monday night goy..................titans
inner circle.......................grizzlies
total.............................nets under 90.5
inner circle.......................lsu
platinum............................detoit
personal best..................san diego
personal elite.....................ariz st
cokin--
fat man releases................titans, missouri
window.......................titans
wndow.......................san diego
system play..................detroit
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