Back to Back Winning Weeks.
13 of 15 NBA Winners
Basketball 2007: 35-16 (69%)
NBA 2007: 27-12 (69%)
College Basketball 2007: 8-4 (66%)
62% (76-46) Since July 23rd (Winning 8 of 13 POD's)
(4 Months and Counting)
12-5 NFL POD Run.
Thursday's Card (1)
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NFL Thursday
Green Bay vs. Dallas
Let me go over some interesting line information with you. Yesterday, nearly 2/3rds of the public was on Cleveland and yet the Pistons as mentioned, who had not beat the Cavs in 4 straight times, took them down in a let down spot and destroyed them to cover a large spread. Today, the public is on the Pack in a 2/3rds fashion, which begs the question, will the public possibly get hit taking another dog that looks to be too good in this game?". The Packers have won 7 straight road ballgames this year and this could be their 8th straight road ballgame and they enter as a touchdown dog. The Pack are a remarkable 9-1-1 ATS this year while the Cowboys aren't too far behind at 8-3 ATS. Something you want to note about both teams is that they are both 5-0 SU on the road as their home losses this year both come at home with the Pack being to the Bears in a comeback from the Bears and the Cowboys of course to the Pats at home. Green Bay on the road is 4-1 to the over while Dallas has no trend to either the over/under at home. Green Bay is 3rd in the league in offensive yards and 5th in the league in points allowed as they are a very underrated defense but they are just 18th in the league in passing yards allowed and their run defense is 13th in the league - headhunters or not. Dallas is 2nd in the league in offensive yards, just 1 spot above Green Bay and 2nd in points scored. Their defense is 21st in the league in passing yards allowed as I personally believe the Cowboys secondary is vulnerable and can be exploited and I expect Favre to have success throwing the ball. The Cowboys defense keep in mind is 4th in the league in stopping the rush but the Pack will look to throw the ball regardless likely today anyway - but Ryan Grant has been effective running the ball lately as well. I wouldn't be surprised if the Cowboys managed to cover the touchdown, but really no lean on the side although it is hard to bet against Green Bay, but a lean on the under as I think the Pack defense steps up very well as Woodson is a shutdown corner unlike the Redskins who did a terrible job on TO and I think the Cowboys drop an extra man or 2 back as their front line does with Ware and company does do an admirable job in stopping the run as they are top 5 in the league in the category. But, it is tough to bet any unders with Green Bay in the mix and both quarterbacks simply looking to outduel each other week after week and now will actually look to outduel each other in a game against each other.
NBA
Boston vs. New York
If you think that the Knicks are going to be an active dog given their back to back wins, this would be a sound over to take. Boston is known as a defensive team, although on the road, much like the Pistons, they have been playing overs. At home, they more inclined for the under. The Celtics come home fairly angry after their disappointing performance on the road against the defending Eastern Conference champs and New York has finally put together back to back wins covering outright against the Bulls and Jazz at home. New York has not scored more than 83 points in their last 2 road games at Detroit and Denver as they look to change that to see if they truly have turned the corner. I'm not saying this happens again, but the last time the Celtics lost on the road and came back home, they covered with ease as they lost to the Magic, then came back home to face the Warriors as a 10.5 favored and covered winning by 20 plus and they face a similar situation today except with the spread by 13.5. I think this game either goes celtics/under or the knicks/over. The Celtics have covered all but one game at home and this game depends on the play of Marbury primarily as he is the key to this team being competitive along with Randolph of course as the Celtics will undoubtedly "bring it" given that they come off a loss. If I had to take a lean here, I think the Celtics off a loss is a sound wager as I'm not convinced that New York has turned the corner on the road.
Nuggets vs. Lakers
Denver beat this team by 4 back in April so the Lakers do have some revenge coming into this game and Denver has won the last 3 times these teams have played. The Nuggets continue to be very poor on the road as they lost to the Clippers who were shorthanded, played poorly at Houston and even lost at home to the Pacers as they have dropped 4 straight ATS. Denver, typically scores well at home but on the road in their last 2 games, they have put up 81 and 90 points disappointingly. Consequently, the last 2 Denver games have gone under as well.
If you think Denver wins this game, this game is likely to go over as as it did the last time these two teams played in L.A.. Keep in mind the Lakers have not covered their last 2 at home including their outright loss to the Nets and winning but not covering against the Sonics - and in fact, the Lakers along with the Nuggets come into this game having dropped their last 4 straight ballgames ATS. Despite Brown being doubtful for this game, I think the Lakers end up winning this game by double-digits as the Nuggets continue to have problems on the road and the Lakers simply looked past the Sonics in anticipation of this game. The trends point heavily to the under in this game and the Nuggets are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings in L.A.
Houston vs. Golden State
How about the Warriors being back at .500 for the season after being winless in the early part. Just goes to show you how integrally part of the offense that Stephen Jackson is as well as being a leader out on the floor - yes, Stephen Jackson being a leader as Don Nelson has looked to him as being a captain on this team along with Baron Davis since the departure of Jason Richardson and this team is responding well. Golden State beat this team by 11 on the road when they were healthy last year but after dropping 6 straight, Houston has won their last 3 ballgames and consequently covered their last 3 ballgames as they have all gone under. It's defense vs. offense so to speak in this game as Houston was able to hold the Suns to under 100 points - in fact 94 - in Phoenix which is a tough task to do and they face the same version of the team on the road today. In fact, this is essentially part 2 of the game they just played in Phoenix. Something interesting to note, Golden State was 5-1 to the under in their road trip which shows that they are not scoring as well on the road and the possibility they might actually be playing some defense on the road as compared to at home. I believe Houston has some success in deterring the Golden State offense but the Warriors have played in 6 straight overs at home.
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