Ahmad Bradshaw longest rush from scrimmage under 11.5 yards -115 to win 2 units.
Can you tell me how many games in the career of Ahmad Bradshaw he has had a rush over 11.5 yards? 1. Suddenly he's gonna do it again against the Patriots? Doubt it.
Ok, last one for me for Super Bowl. I believe I found some value in another one.
Randy Moss Over 11.5 yards first reception -125 for 2 units.
Moss averaged 15.2 yards per reception this year. So he doesnt even need to be average, got a few yards to spare in a nice warm atmosphere where Randy should shine.
i think your gonna lose on the moss catch personally.. teams usually play very conservative the first couple possesions in the superbowl.. most likely his first catch will be on a 7 yard hitch or a slant.. both will require moss to break a tackle.. his average per catch is skewed due to the long bombs he catches.. id say go with the under..
having said that i see it very odd that the first half total is 27-28 and the game total is setting around 53.. its almost as the books think NE is gonna jump on them and then grind it out and dink dunk the rest of the game playing ball control, and the patriots usually haven't been highscoring in the superbowl in the past.. 20-17, 39-29, 24-24... the 39-29 shoot out with the panthers was due to numerous blown coverages by both teams.. mainly steve smith being a killer..
along the same lines of the pats jumping out on them could however pose a good case for the ahmed bradshaw under bet.. just gotta be leary of a draw play at some point.. cause i think the pat will be in soft zone coverage to allow this to happen..
i really hate the patriots.. but i think they win this game walking away.. 36-17 style
leaning pats and under right now
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..............and don't forget they are 5-2 ATS in night games on astro turf in 2nd week in November in non-confrence away games vs. a left handed QB in the last 40 years when the line is between -5 and 5 coming vs a ranked opponent coming off a SU win as a dog and the total is over 36.5 when there was a NBA game played the night before and the temperature is between 40-70 degrees
if they do start with a conservative slant it will more likely be to welker. I don't think conservative is how the pats are gonna play this one. We'll see, I could be wrong but I think they go back to attacking spreading out 5 wide and heave the ball all over the field.
Super Bowl Bets in total are:
1) NE moneyline -470 to win 3 units
2) Ahmad Bradshaw longest rush from scrimmage under 11.5 yards -115 to win 2 units.
3) Randy Moss Over 11.5 yards first reception -125 for 2 units.
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January: +4.45 units, February: +.39 units, March +3 units, April +1.29 units, May +2.08 units, June +15.02 units, July +.4 units, August +.54 units, September +4.63 units, October +3.25 units
I must be hammered. I think I just saw the giants win the game. AHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH HHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH HHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH HHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH HHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH HHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH HHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH HHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH HHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH HHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH HHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH HHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH HHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH HHHHHHH!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
MTD: -13.83 units
YTD: -9.38 units
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January: +4.45 units, February: +.39 units, March +3 units, April +1.29 units, May +2.08 units, June +15.02 units, July +.4 units, August +.54 units, September +4.63 units, October +3.25 units
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