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  #1 (permalink)  
Old 12-17-16, 12:52 PM
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Bowling with ColdCash

Arkansas St +5 for 3 Units
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Old 12-17-16, 01:38 PM
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Re: Bowling with ColdCash

The Computer Model likes these teams as first look. There are several variables that can make a team a no play or go against as you know. For example how could one feel confident playing on Minnesota right now? Just leaving this here as fun to keep up with. I will not play all and have not ranked. In order of how they play.

Texas San Antonio (+9.5)
Houston (-5.5)
Arkansas St (+5.5)
App St (+1)
Southern Miss (-3.5)
C. Michigan (+11.5)
Western Kentucky (-4.5)
Idaho (+13.5)
Old Dominion (-3.5)
Middle Tenn
Miami Ohio (+13)
Boston College (+2)
NC State (-4)
Minnesota (+6.5)
Baylor (+7.5)
Pittsburgh (-5.5)
Miami Fla (-3)
Kansas St (+2)
South Carolina (+10.5)
Colorado (-3.5)
Georgia (-1)
Stanford (-3.5)
Nebraska (+3)
Michigan (-6.5)
Louisville (+3.5)
Ga Tech (-3.5)
Ohio St (-3.5)
Florida (-2.5)
USC (-6.5)
Auburn (+4)
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Old 12-18-16, 07:48 PM
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Re: Bowling with ColdCash

4-1 start for the Math Model

Quote:
Originally Posted by ColdCash View Post
The Computer Model likes these teams as first look. There are several variables that can make a team a no play or go against as you know. For example how could one feel confident playing on Minnesota right now? Just leaving this here as fun to keep up with. I will not play all and have not ranked. In order of how they play.

Texas San Antonio (+9.5) -winner
Houston (-5.5) - loser
Arkansas St (+5.5) -winner
App St (+1) -winner
Southern Miss (-3.5) -winner
C. Michigan (+11.5)
Western Kentucky (-4.5)
Idaho (+13.5)
Old Dominion (-3.5)
Middle Tenn
Miami Ohio (+13)
Boston College (+2)
NC State (-4)
Minnesota (+6.5)
Baylor (+7.5)
Pittsburgh (-5.5)
Miami Fla (-3)
Kansas St (+2)
South Carolina (+10.5)
Colorado (-3.5)
Georgia (-1)
Stanford (-3.5)
Nebraska (+3)
Michigan (-6.5)
Louisville (+3.5)
Ga Tech (-3.5)
Ohio St (-3.5)
Florida (-2.5)
USC (-6.5)
Auburn (+4)
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Old 12-18-16, 07:50 PM
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Re: Bowling with ColdCash

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Arkansas St +5 for 3 Units Winner
1-0 for +3 Units
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Old 12-21-16, 12:46 PM
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Re: Bowling with ColdCash

Another winner on W. Kentucky what about BYU vs Wyoming
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Old 12-21-16, 05:50 PM
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Re: Bowling with ColdCash

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Originally Posted by Lookingforprofit View Post
Another winner on W. Kentucky what about BYU vs Wyoming
The success rate of picks from my system is lower in the regular season when the favorite is selected and is higher than -6, so I usually don't post. The system was 30-10 in bowl season last year. Last year the following teams where favorites selected >= -6.

Winners
Washington(-8.5).
Minnesota (-6).
California (-7).
LSU (-7.5)
Miss ST (-7.5).
Alabama (-9.5).
Tenn (-9.5)
Ohio St (-6.5)
Stanford (-7.5)
Ole Miss (-6.5)
Georgia (-6.5)
Arkansas (-12.5)

Losers
California (-7)
Miss ST (-7.5)

This is only my third season with these parameters so I'm skittish that maybe luck was on my side. Thanks for the post now that I've looked back at last years numbers I didn't realize that even close to the number 7 it was successful. Going to update lines and add any other teams selected. I will say a team becomes a no play if the opposing team has 40% or less of the action. The math model has BYU. I'm scared to take it because Wyoming can score and run the ball, but BYU can stop the run.
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Old 12-21-16, 06:16 PM
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Re: Bowling with ColdCash

Texas San Antonio (+9.5) -winner
Houston (-5.5) - loser
Arkansas St (+5.5) -winner
App St (+1) -winner
Southern Miss (-3.5) -winner
C. Michigan (+11.5) - loser
Western Kentucky (-4.5) - winner
Idaho (+13.5)
Old Dominion (-3.5)
Middle Tenn
Miami Ohio (+13)
Boston College (+2)
NC State (-4)
Minnesota (+6.5)
Baylor (+7.5)
Pittsburgh (-5.5)
Miami Fla (-3)
Kansas St (+2)
South Carolina (+10.5)
Colorado (-3.5)
Georgia (-1)
Stanford (-3.5)
Nebraska (+3)
Louisville (+3.5)
Ga Tech (-3.5)
Ohio St (-3.5)
Florida (-2.5)
Auburn (+4)

Selections I eliminate
BYU (-10)
La Tech (-6.5)
Army (-10)
Temple (-11)
Va Tech (-7)
Air Force (-13.5)
Michigan (-6.5)
USC (-6.5)
Alabama (-14.5)
Wisconsin (-8)
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Old 12-22-16, 07:33 PM
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Re: Bowling with ColdCash

3 Units
Ohio +4
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Old 12-22-16, 11:22 PM
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Re: Bowling with ColdCash

Eliminating Middle Tenn from math model system picks as line has them as -6 favorite.
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Old 12-23-16, 10:48 AM
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Re: Bowling with ColdCash

Sure is a big % on Old Domion so far. May have to against math model oe eliminate
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Old 12-23-16, 01:58 PM
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Re: Bowling with ColdCash

Eastern Michigan +6 for 3 Units
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Old 12-24-16, 08:32 PM
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Re: Bowling with ColdCash

Hawaii +7 for 3 Units
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Old 12-24-16, 08:34 PM
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Re: Bowling with ColdCash

I will eliminate Middle Tenn. from Math Model once I get to computer
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Old 12-25-16, 10:32 AM
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Re: Bowling with ColdCash

Ohio +4 - loser
Eastern Michigan +6 - winner
Hawaii +7 - winner
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Old 12-25-16, 10:35 AM
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Re: Bowling with ColdCash

3-1 for +6 Units on my picks


Math Model Results
Texas San Antonio (+9.5) -winner
Houston (-5.5) - loser
Arkansas St (+5.5) -winner
App St (+1) -winner
Southern Miss (-3.5) -winner
C. Michigan (+11.5) - loser
Western Kentucky (-4.5) - winner
Idaho (+13.5) -winner
Old Dominion (-3.5) winner on opening line but loser on closing line
Ohio (+3.5) loser on opening line but winner on closing line
Miami Ohio (+13)
Boston College (+2)
NC State (-4)
Minnesota (+6.5)
Baylor (+7.5)
Pittsburgh (-5.5)
Miami Fla (-3)
Kansas St (+2)
South Carolina (+10.5)
Colorado (-3.5)
Georgia (-1)
Stanford (-3.5)
Nebraska (+3)
Louisville (+3.5)
Ga Tech (-3.5)
Ohio St (-3.5)
Florida (-2.5)
Auburn (+4)

Selections I eliminate
BYU (-10)
La Tech (-6.5)
Middle Tenn (-7)
Army (-10)
Temple (-11)
Va Tech (-7)
Air Force (-13.5)
Michigan (-6.5)
USC (-6.5)
Alabama (-14.5)
Wisconsin (-8)

Last edited by ColdCash; 12-25-16 at 10:41 AM..
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Old 12-25-16, 10:43 AM
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Re: Bowling with ColdCash

Taking the following today 3 Units Each.

Miami Ohio +14.5
Boston College +2.5
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Old 12-26-16, 08:53 PM
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Re: Bowling with ColdCash

Miami Ohio +14.5 - winner
Boston College +2.5 - winner

5-1 for +12 Units on my picks
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Old 12-26-16, 08:57 PM
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Re: Bowling with ColdCash

Your Kicking Ass Brother
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Old 12-27-16, 09:47 AM
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Re: Bowling with ColdCash

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Your Kicking Ass Brother
Thanks Hope to finish strong down the stretch
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Old 12-27-16, 09:49 AM
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Re: Bowling with ColdCash

Math Model Results
Texas San Antonio (+9.5) -winner
Houston (-5.5) - loser
Arkansas St (+5.5) -winner
App St (+1) -winner
Southern Miss (-3.5) -winner
C. Michigan (+11.5) - loser
Western Kentucky (-4.5) - winner
Idaho (+13.5) -winner
Old Dominion (-3.5) winner on opening line but loser on closing line
Ohio (+3.5) loser on opening line but winner on closing line
Miami Ohio (+13)- winner
Boston College (+2)- winner
NC State (-4)- winner
Minnesota (+6.5)
Baylor (+7.5)
Pittsburgh (-5.5)
Miami Fla (-3)
Kansas St (+2)
South Carolina (+10.5)
Colorado (-3.5)
Georgia (-1)
Stanford (-3.5)
Nebraska (+3)
Louisville (+3.5)
Ga Tech (-3.5)
Ohio St (-3.5)
Florida (-2.5)
Auburn (+4)

Selections I eliminate
BYU (-10)
La Tech (-6.5)
Middle Tenn (-7)
Army (-10)
Temple (-11)
Va Tech (-7)
Air Force (-13.5)
Michigan (-6.5)
USC (-6.5)
Alabama (-14.5)
Wisconsin (-8)
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