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  • Big 12 Conference Tournament Quarterfinals betting preview and odds

    The Big 12 Quarterfinals are set and while most of the programs remaining can be fairly confident they'll be dancing come Sunday, a few may need another win or two to secure a spot among the field of 68. Including upset-minded Oklahoma State, who'll have to do something very rare, by beating Kansas three times in one year.

    Games to be played at Sprint Center, Kansas City, Missouri

    TCU Horned Frogs vs. Kansas State Wildcats (+2.5, 143)

    TCU will end its 20-year NCAA Tournament drought next week but first the Horned Frogs would like to tack on some victories in the Big 12 Championship in Kansas City. Fifth-seeded TCU faces fourth-seeded Kansas State in Thursday's quarterfinals and has won four of its last five games entering the conference tournament.

    Senior guard Kenrich Williams has recorded 12 double-doubles and the second-team All-Big 12 selection averages 12.9 points and a team-leading 9.3 rebounds and 53 steals. Senior forward Vladimir Brodziansky, a third-team All-Big 12 choice, shoots 57.7 percent from the field while leading the squad in scoring (15.2) and blocked shots (50), while sophomore Desmond Bane (13.1) drained a team-best 57 3-pointers. The Horned Frogs rank second in the Big 12 in scoring (83.6) and lead the league in field-goal percentage (50), 3-point percentage (40) and have scored 80 or more points on 21 occasions.

    Junior forward Dean Wade earned first-team All-Big 12 honors with a splendid season in which he posted team-best averages of 16.7 points and 6.4 rebounds, and recorded 11 20-point outings and four double-doubles. Junior guard Barry Brown Jr. averages 16.6 points as a second-team All-Big 12 selection and is also a member of the All-Defensive Team behind a team-best 59 steals. The Wildcats rank second in the Big 12 in scoring defense (67.5 per game) and steals (7.8), and held eight opponents to fewer than 60 points.


    BETTING ACTION AND MOVES: Despite being the higher seed Kansas State hit the board as 2.5-point dogs and that's where the number sat as of Thursday morning. It seems to be bettors have the same feeling books do, with 65 percent of public wagers on the Horned Frogs according to our Covers Consesnsus. The total opened at 144 and was quickly bet down to the current number of 143.



    * TCU is 7-0-1 ATS in its last seven games following a SU loss.
    * TCU is 16-5 ATS in its last 21 neutral site games.
    * Kansas State is 0-4 ATS in its last four neutral site games.
    * Over is 8-2 in TCU's last 10 neutral site games.
    * Under is 6-0 in Kansas Staet's last six games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

    Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Kansas Jayhawks (-2, 151)

    Top-seeded Kansas will be without sophomore center Udoka Azubuike when it begins its quest to win the Big 12 Tournament championship with Thursday's quarterfinal matchup with ninth-seeded Oklahoma State at Kansas City. The 7-foot Azubuike sprained the MCL in his left knee during a scrimmage on Tuesday and the ninth-ranked Jayhawks hope to have the nation's most efficient shooter (77.4 percent) back for their first game in next week's NCAA Tournament.

    Azubuike, a third-team All-Big 12 selection, leaves a big hole in the middle as he averages 13.7 points and a team-leading 7.1 rebounds. Senior guard Devonte' Graham, the Big 12 Player of the Year, will be counted on even more than usual and he is the lone player nationally averaging at least 17 points (17.6), seven assists (7.2) and 1.7 steals with fewer than three turnovers (2.7) per game.

    Oklahoma State defeated Kansas twice in the regular season as underdogs and certainly bolstered its NCAA Tourney hopes with Wednesday's 71-60 victory over Oklahoma. Senior wing Jeffrey Carroll (team-best 15.1 points) and senior point guard Kendall Smith (12.9) are the lone players averaging in double digits, but sophomore guard Cameron McGriff (8.7) was the star against the Sooners by making a career-best four 3-point attempts as he contributed 18 points and nine rebounds.


    BETTING ACTION AND MOVES: Kansas opened the thrid matchup between these two teams as slight 2-point faves and that;'s where the number sits as of Thursday morning. The total opened at 151.



    * Oklahoma State is 5-0 ATS in its last five games overall.
    * Oklahoma State is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 neutral site games.
    * Under is 4-0 in Oklahoma State's last four overall.
    * Under is 4-0 in Kansas' last four neutral site games.
    * Underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings.

    Texas Longhorns vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders (-5.5, 131)

    No. 13 Texas Tech hopes to be getting healthy enough to make a run through the Big 12 Tournament. The second-seeded Red Raiders - with leading scorer Keenan Evans back on the floor - plays Texas in Thursday's quarterfinals at Kansas City.

    Evans was hobbled by a toe injury in the final weeks of the season but returned strong in the regular-season finale, scoring 23 points against TCU to help snap the Red Raiders' four-game losing streak. Evans leads the Red Raiders with 17.4 points, 3.3 assists and 1.3 steals and had a career-high 38 points - including a game-winning 17-foot buzzer-beater - in the overtime win against Texas on Jan. 31.

    The Longhorns, who beat Iowa State without standout freshman Mohamed Bamba on Wednesday, split the season's meetings with Texas Tech. Texas hopes it got off the bubble by beating the Cyclones but knows it can improve its resume by beating the Red Raiders. Bamba was averaging 13.0 points, 10.6 rebounds and 3.8 blocks before missing three games with a toe injury but freshman Jericho Sims has picked up the slack in that stretch, averaging 12.3 points and 10.3 rebounds.


    BETTING ACTION AND MOVES: Oddsmakers opened the Red Raiders as 5.5-point favorites and that's the number as of Thursday morning. The total hit the board at 131.



    * Texas is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games following an ATS loss.
    * Texas Tech is 0-4-1 ATS in its last four games overall.
    * Under is 15-6 in Texas' last 21 neutral site games.
    * Over is 4-0 in Texas Tech's last four games overall.
    * Texas is 5-1 ATS in the last five meetings.

    Baylor Bear vs. West Virginia Mountaineers (-5, 140.5)

    Baylor stumbled at the end of the season and looks to avoid further troubles in the Big 12 Championship when it faces No. 18 West Virginia in Thursday's tournament quarterfinals at Kansas City. The sixth-seeded Bears were believed to be solidly in the NCAA Tournament but three defeats in the final four regular-season contests have dropped them toward the bubble and a one-and-done showing in the conference tourney could make for some nervous moments come Selection Sunday.

    The Bears' bumpy finish began with a 71-60 loss to the Mountaineers and also includes 10-point setbacks versus TCU and Kansas State (0-3 ATS in those games). Baylor will look to the duo of senior guard Manu Lecomte (team-best 15.7 scoring average) and senior forward Jo Lual-Acuil Jr. (14.4 points, team-best 8.8 rebounds) to help shake the funk - Lecomte was a second-team All-Big 12 selection and Lual-Acuil Jr. was a third-team pick. Senior forward Terry Matson (10.8) won the Big 12's Sixth Man Award and he runs hot and cold with five games of 20 or more points and 13 others with nine or fewer.

    The Mountaineers lead the Big 12 with 16.7 forced turnovers per game and exceeded that in two regular-season meetings with the Bears by forcing an average of 17.5. Those meeting were both won by West Virginia, limiting Baylor to an average of 57 points per contest. Senior guard Jevon Carter leads the in scoring at 17-points per game and had a Big 12-best 89 steals this season. Sophomore forward Sagaba Konate ranks second in the Big 12 with 101 blocked shots and the third-team all-conference choice averages 10.8 points and a team-leading 7.9 rebounds.


    BETTING ACTION AND MOVES: West Virginia has opened this matchup as 4.5-point favorites and have been bet up to -5 as of Thursday morning. That's reflected in our COvers Consensus with 75 percent of early bettors backing the Mountaineers. The total opened at 141 and is down to 140.5.



    * Baylor is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games overall.
    * WestVirginia is 2-7-1 ATS in its last 10 neutral site games.
    * Over is 5-1 in Baylor's last six games following a SU loss.
    * Under is 4-1 in West Virginia's last five games vs. a team with awinning SU record.
    * Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings.


    • Wolverines lead early NCAA bids
      March 7, 2018

      NCAA Tournament: First 12 Tickets Punched

      12 teams have punched their NCAA Tournament tickets in the last few days and can sit back and enjoy the madness this week around the country during the remaining conference tournaments. Here is a look at those teams and what to expect in the Big Dance next week.

      Murray State – Ohio Valley (26-5) Projected #13 Seed

      The Racers were a NCAA Tournament staple in the 1990s and Murray State has won tournament games in the past two appearances, beating Vanderbilt in 2010 and Colorado State in 2012. The OVC was a two-team contest this season and Murray State edge out Belmont for the regular season title and won 68-51 last weekend in the conference tournament final.

      Size and depth could be an issue is several matchups with only one starter taller than 6’3” but the Racers held their own in a few quality tests this season, beating two of the better Missouri Valley teams in non-conference play while losing by just five against Middle Tennessee State and by just four hosting Auburn. The Racers are riding a 13-game winning streak into the Big Dance and this is an efficient shooting team that takes care of the ball.

      Radford – Big South (22-12) Projected #16 Seed

      Radford hit a 3-point shot at the buzzer in the Big South final for a dramatic entrance into the NCAA Tournament field. This is the third appearance for Radford, last losing 101-58 to North Carolina in the 2009 tournament. The Highlanders had a knack for winning close games to emerge from a tightly-packed Big South conference though they didn’t have to face regular season champion UNC-Asheville in the tournament path.

      Size will be a big problem playing against a potential #1 seed in the tournament for Radford, though the Highlanders could be placed in a First Four matchup. Radford plays at one of the slowest paces in the nation as they would have a shot to disrupt the rhythm of a power conference team and they did compete reasonably well in respectable losses against Ohio State and Vanderbilt in non-conference tests.

      Loyola-Chicago – Missouri Valley (28-5) Projected #12 Seed

      The Ramblers would have received consideration for an at-large NCAA Tournament bid had they lost the conference final but ultimately would have likely been left out like many other Missouri Valley contenders in recent years. Loyola-Chicago won convincingly over Illinois-State in that final with the help of a 17-5 edge in fouls called to now enter the tournament on a 10-game winning streak.

      Wins over Horizon Champion Wright State as well as a win at Florida in non-conference play stand out and this team a 2-point road loss is the only setback in the last 18 games. On the season Loyola-Chicago has shot 40 percent from 3-point range as this will be a team that could be pegged as an upset threat in the right matchup with the slow-paced Ramblers also ranking 25th nationally in defensive efficiency.

      Lipscomb – Atlantic Sun (23-9) Projected #15 Seed

      Lipscomb lost by double-digits in all four games vs. major conference foes but they did beat Belmont twice and after starting the season just 11-8 the Bisons have won 12 of the past 13 games, claiming the A-Sun tournament title with a 108-96 win over Florida Gulf Coast for the first ever NCAA Tournament berth for the program.

      This team could be a threat against a top seed as few teams in the nation play as fast and the defense has been able to force a lot of turnovers. The starting lineup features no seniors as this group has played its best ball down the stretch and the Atlantic Sun has made some noise in the NCAA Tournament in recent years including Florida Gulf Coast losing by just six to Florida State last season. Junior Garrison Mathews sits 13th nationally in scoring this season posting more than 22 points per game.

      Michigan – Big Ten (28-7) Projected #4 Seed

      Usually the Big Ten tournament wraps up the college season leading into the selection show but this season Michigan will sit and wait week after winning the Big Ten tournament for the second straight season. This is a squad that might not want a break after winning four games in four days to close the season on a nine-game winning streak featuring wins over the top three other teams in the Big Ten. Expect the Wolverines to be a popular team to be projected to make a run to the second weekend of the tournament or further.

      This year’s team has John Beilein’s best ever defense by the numbers since he took in Ann Arbor and the Wolverines do a lot of things right on offense by committing few fouls or turnovers, even though this is one of the nation’s worst free throw shooting teams. Mo Wagner could again emerge as a postseason star and senior Muhammad-Ali Abdur-Rahkman has carried the team down the stretch scoring nearly 17 points per game on the winning streak. Michigan’s non-conference profile lacks a top 40 win however and ultimately this team might be at risk to be over-seeded and overvalued.

      Iona – Metro Atlantic (20-13) Projected #15 Seed

      The Gaels haven’t won a NCAA Tournament game since 1980 but they will be in the field for the fifth time in seven seasons including the third straight trip. Iona was a #13 seed two years ago losing by 13 to Iowa State and a #14 seed last season losing by 16 to Oregon. This year’s team finished fourth in the MAAC regular season but once again found life in the tournament without having to play any of the top three teams.

      Iona is one of the most experienced teams in the field and making the trip the past two seasons could help the team prepare for the next opportunity. The Gaels lost by 10 or fewer points vs. Syracuse, St. John’s, and Rhode Island as they held their own against the best teams they faced in non-conference play and hot shooting from a team that takes a great deal of 3-point shots could key an upset threat with Iona’s offense often playing up-tempo but with a very low turnover rate.

      UNC-Greensboro – Southern (27-7) Projected #13 Seed

      The Spartans beat NC State back in December in Raleigh while losing by six against Wake Forest and just 12 against top ranked Virginia to hold their own in three tests against the ACC. The Southern Conference featured three top 100 caliber teams as this was one of the stronger small conferences and UNC-Greensboro won both the regular season and tournament titles.

      A high turnover rate is a bit of a concern for the Spartans but this is a quality defensive team that has very good size for a small conference program. The Spartans play at a slow pace and could give a favored squad a big test although closing out a game with poor free throw shooting numbers could be a recipe for heartbreak. This will still be one of the draws that teams in the #3-4 seed range will not want to be paired with.

      Wright State – Horizon League (25-9) Projected #15 Seed

      Wright State started the season 0-3 but has gone 25-6 since with a win over Georgia Tech on the road on the resume. Wright State didn’t have to play Oakland, Illinois-Chicago, or Northern Kentucky in the Horizon Tournament run but they actually went 6-0 against those three quality teams in league play but had four conference losses against lesser squads. The Raiders are led by a defense that has national top 50 rankings in several categories.

      This is the first NCAA Tournament appearance for Wright State since 2007 with the program 0-2 in two previous appearances. The Horizon League has a pretty strong NCAA Tournament track record in the past two decades but several teams have left the conference in recent years. This year’s run for the Raiders has been even more impressive considering senior Justin Mitchell left the team in January.

      College of Charleston – Colonial (26-7) Projected #14 Seed

      College of Charleston has won 14 of the last 15 with the only loss an overtime loss in the regular season finale. The Cougars needed overtime to top Northeastern in the conference tournament final in a game between teams that shared the regular season title in the CAA. This is only the fifth season for College of Charleston in the conference since moving up from the Southern Conference with the Cougars last in the NCAA Tournament in 1999.

      The only top 100 wins of the season for College of Charleston came in going 3-0 vs. Northeastern and the Cougars lost by 18 against Wichita State in the toughest test they faced, though also playing to within six against Rhode Island. This team will be a threat for an upset with a deliberate pace, one of the lowest turnover rates in the nation and nearly 77 percent free throw shooting as the Cougars won’t beat themselves with mistakes.

      LIU-Brooklyn – Northeast (18-16) Projected #16 Seed

      The Blackbirds can start planning to play Tuesday or Wednesday in Dayton as they look certain to be one of the worst rated teams to qualify for the NCAA Tournament. LIU-Brooklyn was just 10-8 to finish fourth in a Northeast Conference that ranks as the nation’s fourth weakest. The program made three straight NCAA Tournament appearances from 2011-13 but this year’s run was unexpected.

      LIU-Brooklyn didn’t even play a top 150 team this season with NEC regular season champion Wagner providing the best two wins of the season for the Blackbirds. This team plays up-tempo and can have some success scoring inside with a pair of imposing upperclassmen forwards while a pair of sharpshooting guards sits on the perimeter. There isn’t a lot to like on the resume for LIU-Brooklyn but former UMass head coach Derek Kellogg’s team has some momentum.

      Gonzaga – West Coast (30-4) Projected #3 Seed

      The Bulldogs don’t have last season’s record or NBA talent as matching last season’s run to the NCAA Championship game looks unlikely. However it is hard to discount a team that has come together to win the last 14 games mostly in blowouts while posting a number of quality non-conference wins including beating Ohio State, Texas, and Creighton.

      This is one of the few teams nationally to be in the nation’s top 15 in both offensive and defensive efficiency with this year’s offense actually out-pacing last season’s Gonzaga offense. The roster has great size and scores effectively inside and out with the defensive numbers excellent inside the paint. In a fairly wide open national picture Gonzaga is a viable threat especially if they can grab opening weekend pod in relatively nearby Boise.

      South Dakota State – Summit League (28-6) Projected #13 Seed

      Two years ago South Dakota State had a similar record and played Maryland very tough in a 5/12 matchup, losing 79-74. With a coaching change last season the Jackrabbits had a lesser season but still won the Summit Tournament but drew Gonzaga playing as a #16 seed and were quickly eliminated. This could be South Dakota State’s best chance to win its first NCAA Tournament game with a veteran group that proved itself in November with wins over Iowa, Buffalo, and Ole Miss, while also playing right with Wichita State and Colorado.

      Junior Mike Daum is one of the nation’s top scorers with 6’9” size while shooting 43 percent from 3-point range and 86 percent at the line. Depth is a bit of a concern with the Jackrabbits losing two contributors late in the season but the starting lineup features four upperclassmen and standout freshman David Jenkins. Few teams shoot as well as South Dakota State from 3-point range or at the line and SDSU had the second lowest turnover rate in the nation for a strong recipe for an upset.


      • Big 12 Trends and Angles
        March 8, 2018

        Sprint Center - Kansas City, Missouri

        Overall Betting Results
        Favorites/Underdogs: 1-1 SU, 0-2 ATS
        Over/Under: 0-2

        Thursday, March 8


        Matchup Records Skinny Projection

        No. 4 Kansas State
        Overall: 21-10 SU, 13-15 ATS
        Totals: 10-17 O/U

        No. 5 Texas Christian
        Overall: 21-10 SU, 16-12-2 ATS
        Totals: 21-9 O/U

        No. 4 Kansas State vs. No. 5 Texas Christian (ESPN2, 12:30 p.m. ET)

        The Wildcats split their two regular-season games with the Horned Frogs, winning in Manhattan by a 73-68 score back on Jan. 20, with TCU returning the favor in Fort Worth by a 66-59 count on Feb. 27. Kansas State didn't fare well in neutral-site games, going 1-2 SU and 0-3 ATS, so this will certainly be a test for them. And in nine conference games away from home, K-State was just 4-5 SU/5-4 ATS.

        The Horned Frogs head into Kansas City on a roll, going 4-1 SU and 4-0-1 ATS over the past five outings. That includes their win against the Wildcats on Feb. 27. Total bettors have been liking TCU lately, too, as the 'over' is 4-1 across their past five outings. While K-State has struggled on neutral-site contests, the Horned Frogs are 16-5 ATS across the past 21 on a neutral-site floor. TCU is also 3-0-1 ATS in their past four against teams with a straight-up winning mark.

        Kansas State 66
        Texas Christian 67

        No. 1 Kansas
        Overall: 24-7 SU, 15-14-1 ATS
        Totals: 14-16 O/U

        No. 8 Oklahoma State
        Overall: 19-13 SU, 10-20 ATS
        Totals: 18-12 O/U

        No. 1 Kansas vs. No. 8 Oklahoma State (ESPNU, 2:30 p.m. ET)

        The Jayhawks head to Kansas City for their first game of the conference tournament, and they'll face their kryptonite in the quarters. Kansas will face Oklahoma State, the only team to sweep them in conference play this season. The Cowboys just dusted Rock Chalk by an 82-64 count on March in Stillwater in the regular-season finale. OK State also got them at Allen Fieldhouse back on Feb. 3 by an 84-79 score.

        Oklahoma State buried skidding Oklahoma in the first-round of the Big 12 Conference tournament, 71-60, covering as a one-point underdog. The Cowboys enter this game on a three-game roll, and that includes their victory against the Jayhawks. They have also covered five in a row, while the 'under' has hit in four straight. Lately, OK State has been very popular at the betting window for their consistency. They look to turn the Big 12 Tournament upside-down, but keep this in mind -- OK State has won four in a row just once this season, back on Nov. 21-Dec. 3, a stretch against Pittsburgh, Houston Baptist, Austin Peay and Mississippi Valley State.

        Kansas 83
        Oklahoma State 79

        No. 2 Texas Tech
        Overall: 23-8 SU, 13-13-1 ATS
        Totals: 12-15 O/U

        No. 7 Texas
        Overall: 18-13 SU, 14-13 ATS
        Totals: 13-13 O/U

        No. 2 Texas Tech vs. No. 7 Texas (ESPN2, 7:00 p.m. ET)

        The Red Raiders were flying high earlier in the season as a Top 10 team. However, while they managed to stay afloat in the ultra-competitive Big 12 to grab a two-seed, they are on a big-time slide. They were riding a four-game losing streak until knocking off TCU in the regular-season finale on Saturday. They're still just 0-4-1 ATS over the past five games. The Red Raiders are 2-1 SU/ATS in three neutral-site games this season.

        The Longhorns fought off No. 10 seed Iowa State in the opening game, setting up this second-round match. The two Texas schools split against one another, with the Red Raiders holding off the Longhorns in overtime on Jan. 31, 73-71. Texas won the first meeting in Austin by a 67-58 score, covering both meetings this season. While Texas Tech is 5-10-1 ATS over their past 16 games, Texas is 3-2 ATS over the past five, and a respectable 9-6 ATS over the past 15. The Longhorns are 3-2 SU/2-3 ATS in five neutral-site games this season.

        Texas Tech 69
        Texas 66

        No. 3 West Virginia
        Overall: 22-9 SU, 13-14 ATS
        Totals: 13-14 O/U

        No. 6 Baylor
        Overall: 18-13 SU, 14-10 ATS
        Totals: 9-14 O/U

        No. 3 West Virginia vs. No. 6 Baylor (ESPN2, 9:00 p.m. ET)

        The Mountaineers had once climbed as high as No. 2 overall in the Top 25 rankings, but a mid-season swoon had them slipping. They finished up the season with three wins in their final four regular-season games, including a 71-60 victory at Baylor on Feb. 20. They also nipped the Bears 57-54 in Morgantown back on Jan. 9. While West Virginia managed a 3-1 SU record on neutral-site floors, they're just 1-3 ATS in those four outings. The 'under' is also 12-5-2 in the past 19 neutral-site games for the Mountaineers.

        Baylor pieced together a five-game winning streak from Feb. 3-17 to give themselves a chance at an NCAA Tournament berth. That streak included wins over Kansas and Texas Tech, the one- and two-seeds in this tournament. However,the team that put an end to that streak was West Virginia, winning by 11 in Waco as a pick 'em in the most recent battle on Feb. 20. The 'under' hit in each of the two battles vs. WVU this season, and the 'under' is 4-1 in the past five in this series.

        West Virginia 64
        Baylor 57


        • ACC Trends and Angles
          March 8, 2018

          Venue: Barclays Center - Brooklyn, New York

          Overall Betting Results
          Favorites/Underdogs: 5-2 SU, 4-3 ATS
          Over/Under: 4-3

          Thursday, March 8

          Matchup Records Skinny Projection

          No. 9 Louisville
          Overall: 20-12 SU, 16-13-1 ATS
          Totals: 16-12-2 O/U

          No. 1 Virginia
          Overall: 28-2 SU, 18-8-1 ATS
          Totals: 7-20 O/U

          No. 9 Louisville vs. No. 1 Virginia (ESPN, 12:00 p.m. ET)

          The Cavaliers and Cardinals are meeting for the second time in a week as Virginia pulled off the epic rally in the final seconds to shock Louisville, 67-66 as four-point road favorites. Virginia swept Louisville in the regular season, while winning four straight meetings with the Cardinals. UVA dropped only one conference game this season, but owns a 2-4 ATS record the last six contests.

          The Cardinals advanced to the quarterfinals by eliminating another bubble team in Florida State on Wednesday, 82-74 to snap a two-game skid. Louisville has not won more than one game in the ACC tournament since joining the conference in 2015.

          Louisville 62
          Virginia 67

          No. 12 Boston College
          Overall: 19-14 SU, 15-12 ATS
          Totals: 17-9-1 O/U

          No. 4 Clemson
          Overall: 22-8 SU, 15-12 ATS
          Totals: 13-14 O/U

          No. 12 Boston College vs. No. 4 Clemson (ESPN, 2:30 p.m. ET)

          The Eagles are on a roll in the ACC tournament by beating Georgia Tech and N.C. State in the first two games. In Wednesday's 91-87 victory over the Wolfpack, BC shot 50% from the floor, while putting up at least 87 points in both ACC tournament wins. Boston College fell short against Clemson early in conference play, 74-70, but managed a cover as 5.5-point home favorites.

          The Tigers dropped four of their final six regular season games, including a 55-52 defeat at Syracuse last Saturday. Clemson struggled on the road within ACC play this season from a pointspread perspective by covering only two of nine times away from Littlejohn Coliseum, while losing three straight road games.

          Boston College 81
          Clemson 85

          No. 10 Notre Dame
          Overall: 20-13 SU, 13-16 ATS
          Totals: 14-14 O/U

          No. 2 Duke
          Overall: 25-6 SU, 19-10 ATS
          Totals: 16-13 O/U

          No. 10 Notre Dame vs. No. 2 Duke (ESPN, 7:00 p.m. ET)

          The Blue Devils closed the season strong with a 6-1 SU/ATS record with the only defeat coming in the final seconds at Virginia Tech. Duke is riding a six-game UNDER streak, while allowing each opponent during this run to 64 points or fewer. The Blue Devils are seeking their second consecutive ACC tournament title, as Duke topped Notre Dame in last season's championship game, 75-69.

          The Fighting Irish rallied past Virginia Tech on Wednesday, 71-65 to advance to the ACC quarterfinals for the fourth straight season. Since an 0-5 ATS run in late January, the Irish have covered six of their last 10 games, while winning four of their past five overall.

          Notre Dame 65
          Duke 77

          No. 6 North Carolina
          Overall: 23-9 SU, 17-13-1 ATS
          Totals: 18-13 O/U

          No. 3 Miami
          Overall: 22-8 SU, 11-14 ATS
          Totals: 13-12 O/U

          No. 6 North Carolina vs. No. 3 Miami (ESPN, 9:30 p.m. ET)

          The Tar Heels look to avenge a buzzer-beating loss to Miami last week in Chapel Hill as UNC advanced to the quarterfinals by blowing out Syracuse on Wednesday. North Carolina ended a three-game ATS skid by covering as 7.5-point favorites in a 78-59 rout of the Orange, while facing Miami in the ACC tournament for the second straight year. Last season, the Tar Heels ripped up the Hurricanes, 78-53 by outscoring Miami in the second half, 44-24.

          The Hurricanes are coming off three straight close victories over Boston College, North Carolina, and Virginia Tech in the final seconds to vault to the third seed in the ACC tournament. In fact, each of Miami's last four wins have come by three points or less, as the 'Canes are 3-9 ATS the last 12 games overall. In spite of being listed as an underdog in this contest, the 'Canes will be looking to end an 0-7 ATS run in their previous seven ACC tournament games.

          North Carolina 80
          Miami 68


          • Big East Trends and Angles
            March 7, 2018

            Venue: Madison Square Garden - New York City

            Overall Betting Results
            Favorites/Underdogs: 2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS
            Over/Under: 1-1

            Thursday, March 8
            Matchup Records Skinny Projection

            No. 9 St. John's
            Overall: 16-16 SU, 15-14-1 ATS
            Totals: 14-16

            No. 1 Xavier
            Overall: 27-4 SU, 20-11 ATS
            Totals: 18-13 O/U

            #9 St. John's vs. No. 1 Xavier (FS1, 12:00 p.m. ET)

            The Musketeers have never owned the top seed in the Big East tournament in their previous four seasons in the conference. Xavier edged incumbent Villanova for the number one position in the league, in spite of getting swept by the Wildcats in the regular season. The Musketeers won 12 of their final 13 games, including six road victories in this stretch. Xavier failed to cover in four opportunities as a double-digit conference favorite, but it has won each of its four Big East tournament opening games since joining the conference.

            The Red Storm stayed alive by beating Georgetown for the first time in three tries in Wednesday's 88-78 come-from-behind victory. St. John's has covered three consecutive games, while bringing in a 4-1 ATS mark to Thursday's action in its last five opportunities as an underdog. The Red Storm hung with Xavier in two meetings this season, losing by six points on the road and five points at home.

            St. John's 72
            Xavier 81

            No. 5 Providence
            Overall: 19-12 SU, 11-18 ATS
            Totals: 15-15 O/U

            No. 4 Creighton
            Overall: 21-10 SU, 14-15 ATS
            Totals: 16-13 O/U

            No. 5 Providence vs. No. 4 Creighton (FS1, 2:30 p.m. ET)

            Both the Friars and Bluejays ended Big East play at 10-8 as the two squads split their season series. Creighton blew out Providence on New Year's Eve, 83-64, while the Friars returned the favor at home in January with an 85-71 rout as short favorites. Last March, the Bluejays eliminated the Friars from the Big East tournament, 70-58, while Providence won the 2014 tourney at Madison Square Garden by beating Creighton in the championship.

            The Friars split their last six games of the season, as Providence posted a 4-1 ATS mark down the stretch as an underdog. The Bluejays also put together an uneven finish to the campaign by going 5-5 SU and 3-7 ATS in the last 10 games of conference action. The biggest victory by far came in overtime against Villanova on February 24, but their other four wins since late January came against DePaul (twice), Georgetown, and St. John's.

            Providence 74
            Creighton 73

            No. 7 Marquette
            Overall: 18-12 SU, 15-14 ATS
            Totals: 18-11 O/U

            No. 2 Villanova
            Overall: 27-4 SU, 20-11 ATS
            Totals: 21-10 O/U

            #7 Marquette vs. No. 2 Villanova (FS1, 7:00 p.m. ET)

            The Wildcats had never lost more than three conference games in a season in their first four years of the restructured Big East. However, Villanova finished second in the league at 14-4 behind Xavier, which included close road losses at Creighton and Providence in the final month. As a single-digit favorite in Big East play, the Wildcats went 2-5 ATS, but 'Nova compiled a 9-3 ATS mark when laying at least 10 points inside the conference.

            Marquette held off a feisty DePaul squad in Wednesday's opening round, but fell to 1-8 ATS in the last nine Big East tournament games dating back to 2012. The Golden Eagles remain alive as they improved to 6-2 in the last eight games, while avenging a late-season loss at DePaul. Now, Marquette faces a Villanova team it has lost to twice this season, but the Golden Eagles covered as an underdog each time.

            Marquette 81
            Villanova 89

            No. 6 Butler
            Overall: 19-12 SU, 15-15 ATS
            Totals: 17-13 O/U

            No. 3 Seton Hall
            Overall: 21-10 SU, 15-16 ATS
            Totals: 18-12 O/U

            No. 6 Butler vs. No. 3 Seton Hall (FS1, 9:30 p.m. ET)

            The Pirates swept the season series from the Bulldogs, including a 77-70 home victory last Saturday. Seton Hall overcame a four-game skid to start February by winning four of its final five contests to finish in third place of the Big East. The Pirates have been a tough out in the Big East tournament the last two years by compiling a 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS record, including capturing the title in 2016.

            The Bulldogs struggled down the stretch by losing four of their final six games, including road defeats at Villanova, St. John's, and Seton Hall. Butler also lost as a favorite to Xavier and Georgetown in February, but the Bulldogs also pulled out blowout wins over Creighton, Providence, and Marquette. The Bulldogs have been tough to figure out through Big East play, while seeking their first conference tournament win since joining the league in 2013 (0-4).

            Butler 75
            Seton Hall 80


            • Pac-12 Trends and Angles
              March 8, 2018

              Venue: T-Mobile Arena - Las Vegas

              Overall Betting Results
              Favorites/Underdogs: 3-1 SU, 2-2 ATS
              Over/Under: 1-3

              Thursday, March 8
              Matchup Records Skinny Projection

              No. 8 Colorado
              Overall: 17-14 SU, 14-16-1 ATS
              Totals: 14-17 O/U

              No. 1 Arizona
              Overall: 20-10 SU, 13-14-3 ATS
              Totals: 16-14 O/U

              No. 8 Colorado vs. No. 1 Arizona (Pac-12, 3:00 p.m. ET)

              The Buffs were impressive in taking down Arizona State 97-85 in the first round, potentially dooming the slumping Sun Devils to the NIT. Colorado hit 13 of 21 3-point attempts and got a huge game from freshman point guard McKinley Wright (20 points, 8 rebounds, 11 assists), who proved the increased intensity level wouldn't be a problem. Head coach Tad Boyle was injured coming on to the court to break up a skirmish and has had a lot of success in this tournament, winning it in 2012 and owning an 11-5 all-time record.

              Unless more allegations surface, it's expected that the 'Cats will have Sean Miller coaching and stars DeAndre Ayton and Allonzo Trier available for the rest of the postseason. Trier is the reigning Pac-12 Tournament MVP, helping Arizona defeat Oregon 83-80 in last year's final. He averaged 20.7 points per game and led the team in minutes in last year's tourney. Miller has won a pair of Pac-12 Tournament championships and is 14-6 in the event, which means he could surpass legendary Lute Olson in Pac-12 Tourney victories by winning another championship here, but his teams have never won as a top seed.

              Arizona 80
              Colorado 68

              No. 5 Stanford
              Overall: 18-14 SU, 17-15 ATS
              Totals: 13-17-2 O/U

              No. 4 UCLA
              Overall: 20-10 SU, 14-15-1 ATS
              Totals: 17-12-1 O/U

              No. 5 Stanford vs. No. 4 UCLA (Pac-12, 5:30 p.m. ET)

              The Cardinal have won five of six after cruising past rival Cal in the first round and looks to continue a late surge against a Bruins squad it bat 107-99 in 2OTs on Jan. 4 in Palo Alto. The Bruins won the most recent meeting at Pauley on Jan. 27 but should struggle to contain junior forward Reid Travis, who got the Cardinal started fast on Wednesday and will be the focal point here. He shot 7-for-11 against Cal and helped contribute to a 30-18 edge in points in the paint. It's no secret Stanford will look to pound it inside in an effort to wear down UCLA and capitalize on its lack of depth.

              Defeating USC to close out the season with their 20th win relieved some pressure for Steve Alford's team, which has an at-large resume good enough to land in the field despite the Pac-12's down season due to 3-0 mark against Arizona and USC in addition to a non-conference win over Kentucky. Alford is just 5-3 in this event and hasn't won much since claiming the 2014 title in his first season at the helm. He'll need G Justin Holiday to continue an excellent season as the team's driving force to have a shot to win here, especially with backcourt mate Jaylen Hands nursing a banged-up ankle.

              Stanford 74
              UCLA 73

              No. 10 Oregon State
              Overall: 16-15 SU, 13-17-1 ATS
              Totals: 15-16 O/U

              No. 2 USC
              Overall: 21-10 SU, 19-12 ATS
              Totals: 10-19-2 O/U

              No. 10 Oregon State vs. No. 2 USC (Pac-12, 9:00 p.m. ET)

              The Beavers followed up dropping Arizona State in their home finale by exterminating Washington's NCAA Tournament hopes thanks to Wednesday's OT win. The Beavers did a nice job demonstrating patience against the Huskies zone and patiently played through Tres Tinkle and Drew Eubanks in the post. Oregon State won despite a scoreless stretch of more than six minutes and a poor shooting game from the perimeter. OSU matched its Pac-12 Tournament win total under head coach Wayne Tinkle, who is now 2-3 in the event. The Beavers have never won the tournament and only reached the final way back in 1988. Tres came down on someone's foot and limped the rest of the way against Washington, but is expected to play here. Oregon State lost to USC twice this season, failing to cover each time.

              I's been a tumultuous season for the Trojans, who can't afford a loss here unless they want to go into Selection Sunday with little confidence in their inclusion in the field. A team expected to compete for a Pac-12 title lost two of their most talented pieces, deeming guard De'Anthony Melton ineligible in a move that was railed against by his teammates, then losing talented forward Bennie Boatwright to a knee injury in mid-February. Point guard Jordan McLaughlin and center Chimezie Metu are still among the best at their positions, helping secure a second-place finish by winning four of the last five. USC has only won one Pac-12 Tournament, doing so in '09 behind DeMar DeRozan. Andy Enfield has won a game in this tourney in three straight years, but hasn't led the Trojans past the quarters.

              USC 74
              Oregon State 66

              No. 6 Oregon
              Overall: 21-11 SU, 16-15 ATS
              Totals: 14-17 O/U

              No. 3 Utah
              Overall 19-10 SU, 15-10-2 ATS
              Totals: 10-17 O/U

              No. 6 Oregon vs. No. 3 Utah (FS1, 11:30 p.m. ET)

              The Ducks trailed for most of the game against Washington State, playing right into the upset-minded Cougs' hands by not speeding the game up and allowing a deliberate pace to prevail as they trailed 24-17 at the break. WSU sent the game to OT on a Malachi Flynn 3-pointer with under 20 seconds remaining and led in the extra session until a Payton Pritchard layup with 19 seconds left gave Oregon back the lead. Although avenging a regular-season loss in a bubble battle against the Utes would be helpful, the Ducks are in a position where they have to win this tournament to feel confident about their NCAA chances.

              The Utes are on the bubble despite wins in six of seven down the stretch, including a home win over UCLA. The availability of senior center David Collette is a major variable here, but the efficient veteran big man is considered doubtful due to an ankle issue. Utah beat Oregon in Eugene 66-56 in the only regular-season meeting between these schools. The Utes have covered in eight of 11 and have seen the under prevail in six of their last eight games. Head coach Larry Krystkowiak is 6-6 in the Pac-12 Tournament and has been at helm for every Utah appearance, which includes a runner-up finish in 2016. Oregon beat them in that title game.

              Oregon 70
              Utah 66


              • SEC Trends and Angles
                March 8, 2018

                Venue: Scottrade Center - St. Louis, Missouri

                Overall Betting Results
                Favorites/Underdogs: 2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS
                Over/Under: 2-0

                Thursday, March 8
                SECOND ROUND
                Matchup Records Skinny Projection

                No. 8 Texas A&M
                Overall: 20-11 SU, 13-15 ATS
                Totals: 14-14 O/U

                No. 9 Alabama
                Overall: 17-14 SU, 15-14-1 ATS
                Totals: 10-20 O/U

                No. 8 Texas A&M vs. No. 9 Alabama (SEC, 1:00 p.m. ET)

                The Aggies split the season series with Tide, winning the regular-season finale by a 68-66 score. A&M spent plenty of time in the Top 25, particularly early in the season, but a sound beating from Alabama on Dec. 30 really seemed to knock them off the rails. It was only recently that they recovered, winning three games in a row. Of course, those three wins came against the No. 9, No. 12 and No. 13 seeds in the SEC Tournament, so is it that impressive?

                The impressive freshmen on Alabama will pay dividends one day, and if they stay in school long enough this team is going to be a force to be reckoned with. Bama throttled A&M earlier this season by a 79-57 score in perhaps their most impressive victory of the season. It's been mostly downhill since, including a five-game losing skid to close out the regular season. This team had a shot at an NCAA Tournament at-large bid with a few wins down the stretch, but that ship has likely sailed. This is their tournament to make noise, but will they?

                Texas A&M 73
                Alabama 69

                No. 5 Missouri
                Overall: 20-11 SU, 16-14 ATS
                Totals: 12-18 O/U

                No. 12 Georgia
                Overall: 17-14 SU, 15-13 ATS
                Totals: 11-17 O/U

                No. 5 Missouri vs. No. 12 Georgia (SEC, 3:25 p.m. ET)

                The Tigers managed to get to the 20-win mark this season, perhaps more quietly than any other team in the nation. They have had a couple of three-game losing streaks this season, but there aren't many bad losses that stand out on their resume outside of a neutral-site setback to Illinois on Dec. 23. They were just 2-2 SU in neutral-site games this season, but they're 3-1 ATS in the four outings.

                UGA tangled with Mizzou just once this season, suffering a 68-56 loss against the Tigers on Jan. 10 in Columbia. The Bulldogs extended their season another day by spanking Vanderbilt in Day One action, but their ride is expected to end in this one. They have posted a 5-9 SU record over the past 14 dating back to Jan. 20, and they're 7-7 ATS during the span. In neutral-site action, they're 2-1 SU/ATS in three tries, including a quality win against St. Mary's (CA) back on Nov. 26 in Fullerton, Calif.

                Missouri 70
                Georgia 63

                No. 7 Mississippi State
                Overall: 21-10 SU, 12-14 ATS
                Totals: 11-15 O/U

                No. 10 Louisiana State
                Overall: 17-13 SU, 14-12-1 ATS
                Totals: 14-13 O/U

                No. 7 Mississippi State vs. No. 10 Louisiana State (SEC, 7:00 p.m. ET)

                Mississippi State and Louisiana State met just once during the regular season, and that came in the finale on Saturday. So of course they'd draw each other in the SEC Quarterfinals. Mississippi State would probably rather see anyone else, as they were hammered in Baton Rouge by a 78-57 score as one-point underdogs. The Bulldogs enter this game on an 0-3 ATS skid, although they were 8-0 ATS in the previous eight before that. MSU played just one neutral-site game this season, nipping Southern Miss on Dec. 23, but failing to cover.

                The Tigers spanked the Bulldogs in the finale, and they might be playing their best basketball of the season. LSU topped 20-win Mizzou on Feb. 17, and they also have quality victories with a two-game sweep of Arkansas and a sweep ofTexas A&M, too. This team has plenty of talent, it's a matter of consistency. They're 1-2 SU/ATS in three neutral-site battles, but that lone win was against Big Ten Tournament champion Michigan.

                Mississippi State 73
                LSU 79

                No. 6 Arkansas
                Overall: 21-10 SU, 16-15 ATS
                Totals: 16-14 O/U

                No. 11 South Carolina
                Overall: 17-15 SU, 16-14-1 ATS
                Totals: 14-17 O/U

                No. 6 Arkansas vs. No. 11 South Carolina (SEC, 9:25 p.m. ET)

                The Razorbacks roughed up the Gamecocks in the only meeting of the season on Feb. 6, winning by a 81-65 score. Arkansas has spent some time in the Top 25, and they have talent to be a Sweet Sixteen team. They enter the tournament on a 6-2 SU/ATS stretch over their past eight outings, and they're 2-1 SU/ATS in three neutral-site battles.

                The Gamecocks made an improbable run to the Final Four last season, but they were forced to play on Day One of the SEC Tournament this season. It will take a miracle for them to go dancing again, but it's all about survive and advance for South Carolina at this point. They're 4-2 SU over their past six games, and 6-1 ATS across their past seven outings. In five neutral-site outings they're 3-2 SU/2-3 ATS this season. If they're going to live on and make noise in the SEC, they will need to do better than they did in the first meeting in Fayetteville when they were paddled by a 16 points.

                Arkansas 74
                South Carolina 62


                • THURSDAY, MARCH 8
                  GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

                  DAY at VCU 12:00 PM
                  DAY +1.0
                  U 147.0

                  SJU at XAV 12:00 PM
                  SJU +6.5
                  U 151.5

                  CMU at BUFF 12:00 PM
                  CMU +8.5
                  U 160.0

                  SMU at UCONN 12:00 PM
                  UCONN +2.0

                  LOU at UVA 12:00 PM
                  LOU +7.0
                  U 123.0

                  TCU at KSU 12:30 PM
                  TCU -2.5

                  ALA at TAM 01:00 PM
                  ALA +3.0

                  USF at MEM 02:00 PM
                  MEM -8.5

                  BC at CLEM 02:00 PM
                  CLEM -5.0
                  O 139.0

                  MASS at GMU 02:30 PM
                  GMU -1.0

                  OKST at KU 02:30 PM
                  KU -4.0
                  O 149.0

                  KENT at BALL 02:30 PM
                  O 146.0

                  PROV at CRE 02:30 PM
                  PROV +4.0
                  O 148.5

                  COLO at ARIZ 03:00 PM
                  COLO +10.5
                  O 142.5

                  UGA at MIZZ 03:00 PM
                  MIZZ -4.0

                  UCRV at UCD 03:00 PM
                  UCD -7.0
                  O 130.0

                  UMKC at GRC 03:00 PM
                  GRC -12.0
                  O 140.0

                  UNLV at NEV 03:00 PM
                  NEV -5.5
                  U 163.5

                  UND at MONT 03:05 PM
                  UND +13.5


                  LBSU at CSF 05:30 PM
                  O 152.5

                  STAN at UCLA 05:30 PM
                  STAN +3.5

                  SDSU at FRES 05:30 PM
                  FRES +4.0

                  CSB at UVU 05:30 PM
                  CSB +9.0

                  UNCO at WEB 05:35 PM
                  UNCO -2.5
                  O 150.0


                  DUQ at RICH 06:00 PM
                  RICH -2.0
                  O 144.0

                  UNO at SHSU 06:00 PM
                  SHSU -4.0

                  NCCU at SAV 06:00 PM
                  NCCU -2.0

                  M-OH at TOL 06:30 PM
                  M-OH +6.0
                  O 144.5


                  • Evening Best Bets:

                    TEX at TTU 07:00 PM
                    TTU -6.5

                    TULN at TEM 07:00 PM
                    TULN +6.0
                    O 143.0

                    USM at MTU 07:00 PM
                    USM +13.5
                    U 135.5

                    MARQ at VILL 07:00 PM
                    VILL -11.0
                    O 161.0

                    ND at DUKE 07:00 PM
                    DUKE -8.5

                    LSU at MSST 07:00 PM
                    MSST -2.5
                    O 142.0

                    UTSA at MRSH 07:30 PM
                    UTSA +6.5
                    U 163.0


                    NORF at NCAT 08:30 PM
                    NCAT +2.5

                    GW at SLU 08:30 PM
                    SLU -2.0

                    CARK at SFA 08:30 PM
                    SFA -7.0

                    SUU at IDHO 08:35 PM
                    IDHO -8.5
                    U 146.5

                    BAY at WVU 09:00 PM
                    BAY +6.0

                    AKR at EMU 09:00 PM
                    EMU -6.0
                    O 131.5

                    HAW at UCI 09:00 PM
                    UCI -4.0

                    ORST at USC 09:00 PM
                    ORST +6.0

                    UNC at MIA 09:00 PM
                    MIA +6.0
                    O 151.5

                    SCAR at ARK 09:00 PM
                    SCAR +5.0

                    ECU at UCF 09:00 PM
                    UCF -12.5

                    USU at BSU 09:00 PM
                    BSU -8.0

                    CHS at NMSU 09:00 PM
                    NMSU -23.5

                    LT at ODU 09:30 PM
                    ODU -8.0

                    BUT at HALL 09:30 PM
                    HALL +1.0


                    UAB at WKU 10:00 PM
                    O 147.5

                    PRST at EWU 11:05 PM
                    EWU -3.5

                    CP at UCSB 11:30 PM
                    UCSB -10.0

                    ORE at UTAH 11:30 PM
                    UTAH +2.0

                    WYO at UNM 11:30 PM
                    UNM -3.0
                    O 166.5

                    UTRGV at SEA 11:30 PM
                    SEA -3.5
                    O 147.5


                    • March CBB Record:

                      DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

                      03/08/2018 39-37-3 51.32% -8.50
                      03/07/2018 20-21-1 48.78% -15.50
                      03/06/2018 13-16-0 44.44% -23.00
                      03/05/2018 13-8-0 61.90% +16.00
                      03/04/2018 5-3-0 62.50% +8.50
                      03/03/2018 52-56-1 48.15% -48.00
                      03/02/2018 13-16-0 44.83% -23.00
                      03/01/2018 20-24-1 45.45% -32.00



                      Friday’s 6-pack

                      — Pitt fired basketball coach Kevin Stallings after only two seasons.

                      — Amazon founder Jeff Bezos is worth $112B; he is the richest guy in the world.

                      — Houston Rockets are 51-13, only 15-10 if either Harden or Paul sit out

                      — Aaron Judge hit .228 after the All-Star break LY; no more HR Derbies for him.

                      — Tampa Bay Rays will use a 4-man rotation early this season; when a 5th starter is needed, they’ll just have a bullpen game.

                      — Dodgers starting pitchers threw 100+ pitches only 24 times last year. Surprising.

                      Quote of the Day

                      “Kids kept on talking to our guys. You know, we pushed our guys away, man. It’s not right. You know, I’m really proud of our group because everybody’s been telling us, including some guys on FS1 last night, that with our attention to detail and not being ready to play, I thought our guys were ready.”
                      Xavier coach Chris Mack, about a brief ruckus after Xavier-St John’s game Thursday

                      Friday’s quiz
                      Last time the Mountain West basketball tournament wasn’t held in Las Vegas, where was it held?

                      Thursday’s quiz

                      Jimmy Carter is the US President who was once the governor of Georgia.

                      Wednesday’s quiz
                      Phillies have their spring training in Clearwater, FL.


                      Friday’s List of 13; Wrapping up a full day of hoop

                      13) C-USA— Southern Miss 71, Middle Tennessee 68 OT— Potentially bad news for bubble teams all over the country; Blue Raiders are 24-7; they lost to USC by 5, to Miami by 3- they don’t have any really great non-conference wins. the next 48-72 hours will be very long for them.

                      12) ACC— Virginia 75, Louisville 58— Cavaliers are 29-2 and they’re underrated; they don’t have any big stars for ESPN to over-hype, and they fly under the radar. Excellent team.

                      Duke 88, Notre Dame 70— Have the Irish done enough to make the NCAA’s? They’re 20-14, but Bonzie Colson missed 15 games; lot of teams have injuries, though. Duke won seven of its last eight games.

                      North Carolina xx— Miami started game on a 14-0 run, but trailed 32-31 at the half.

                      11) A-14— George Mason 80, UMass 75— Patriots beat UMass three times this year, twice in overtime. Mason won six of its last eight games; an improving young team.

                      Saint Louis 70, George Washington 63— Billikens were down 11 at the half; they’re 17-15 and getting better under Travis Ford.

                      10) Big X— Kansas State 66, TCU 64 OT— Kid on TCU hit a 3 at the buzzer to force OT, but a shaky instant replay reversal gave K-State the last possession in overtime, and they cashed it in.

                      Kansas 82, Oklahoma State 68— Jayhawks are 26-5 in last 31 Big X tourney games. Cowboys are on the bubble, and most people don’t think they should be.

                      9) Big East— Butler 75, Seton Hall 74— Bulldogs get first Big East tourney win in five tries, scoring with 0:03.6 left in a wild final 0:30. Butler-Villanova in the semis tomorrow night.

                      Providence 72, Creighton 68 OT— You wonder how these teams from the midwest like trudging to Manhattan every March for their conference tournament. Long trip after a long season, especially when Bluejays already have their NCAA bid in order, despite going 3-6 in their last nine D-I games.

                      8) Big Sky— Southern Utah 92, Idaho 78— 10th-seed Thunderbirds are in Big Sky semis; they eliminated an Idaho team here that is the 2nd-most experienced team in country.

                      Montana 84, North Dakota 76— Top-seed has won last seven Big Sky tournaments, but Griz trailed by 6 with 15:48 left, before restoring order down the stretch. Montana will play Northern Colorado in the semis; the Bears crushed Weber State 80-55.

                      7) Sounds like Mike Moustakas will return to the Royals and Carlos Gonzalez will go back to Colorado, which is bad news for my fantasy team, and bad news for those two guys’ wallets. Not a lot of appetite for teams to spend big money on 30-ish free agents.

                      6) Big West— Fullerton 76, Long Beach 74— Tough game to ref; very physical. Allman played whole game for the Titans- they need to win next two days to win the tournament. He’ll need some rest eventually.

                      Fullerton-Davis play in semis Friday; Titans won both meetings during season. Head coaches had words after the first meeting; Fullerton coach Taylor is a Cal-Davis alum.

                      5) AAC— None of the eight AAC teams who played today will make the NCAA’s unless they win this AAC tournament. Scanning Twitter this week, it is amazing how many people put up their fields of 68 online, as if any of that means anything. Only thing that matters is what we see at 6:00 Sunday on TBS.

                      Memphis has quietly won six of its last seven games, as rumors about Penny Hardaway being the next Tigers’ coach float around. Memphis is 20-12 and plays Tulsa on Friday.

                      4) MAC— Buffalo signed coach Nate Oats to a 5-year contract extension; good for him. Bulls are 61-38 under Oats, 36-18 in conference games.

                      Toledo 71, Miami 69— Rockets avoid an upset here, surviving 4-23 shooting on the arc.

                      3) Mountain West— Utah State 78, Boise State 75— Big upset puts Broncos on the bubble and maybe in the NIT. Boise does have a win at Oregon, but not much else on its resume.

                      Nevada 79, UNLV 74— Wolf Pack have lot of injury issues, but they shot 12-25 on arc in this game and came back from 12 down in second half. UNLV PG Johnson got his 4th foul early in second half and Wolf Pack went on a run after that.

                      2) Pac-12— Arizona-UCLA play in Pac-12 semis Friday; teams met only once this season, with Bruins winning 82-74 in Tucson. Does UCLA need a win to make the NCAA’s?

                      1) SEC— Alabama 71, Texas A&M 70— Collin Sexton went length of court and hit a runner at the buzzer for the walk-off game-winner. Back in December, Aggies were thought to be Final Four caliber; they were 11-1 at Christmas, but finish 20-12. Could they be going to Dayton? Aggies’ last three games were decided by total of four points.

                      Georgia 62, Missouri 60— Star freshman Michael Porter Jr played in this game, after missing the whole season except for the first 2:00. Porter was 5-17 from floor in 23:00, which is an awful lot of shots for a kid who hasn’t played since November. You wonder how his presence affected team chemistry.


                      • Championship Week Results
                        March 9, 2018
                        By VI News

                        Venue: Barclays Center
                        Location: Brooklyn, N.Y.

                        ACC TOURNAMENT BETTING RESULTS
                        First round – Tuesday, March 6 ATS Results
                        Boston College (-3) 87 vs. Georgia Tech 77 Favorite-Over (140.5)
                        Notre Dame (-17) 67 vs. Pittsburgh 64 Underdog-Under (135.5)
                        Syracuse (-3.5) 73 vs. Wake Forest 64 Favorite-Over (127)

                        Second round - Wednesday, March 8 ATS Results
                        Florida State 74 vs. Louisville (+2, ML +120) 82 Underdog-Over (149.5)
                        N.C. State 87 vs. Boston College (+3.5, ML +145) 92 Underdog-Over (155.5)
                        Virginia Tech 65 vs. Notre Dame (-2.5) 71 Favorite-Under (141.5)
                        North Carolina (-7.5) 78 vs. Syracuse 59 Favorite-Under (141.5)

                        Quarterfinals - Thursday, March 9 ATS Results
                        Virginia (-7) 75 vs. Louisville 58 Favorite-Over (123.5)
                        Clemson (-5) 90 vs. Boston College 82 Favorite-Over (140)
                        Duke (-8.5) 88 vs. Notre Dame 70 Favorite-Over (143.5)
                        North Carolina (-6) 82 vs. Miami 65 Favorite-Under (151.5)

                        Semifinals – Friday, March 10 ATS Results
                        Virginia vs. Clemson -
                        Duke vs. North Carolina -

                        Championship – Saturday, March 11 ATS Results
                        TBD vs. TBD -

                        Venue: MGM Grand Garden Arena
                        Location: Las Vegas, Nevada

                        PAC-12 TOURNAMENT BETTING RESULTS
                        First round – Wednesday, March 8 ATS Results
                        Colorado (+7, ML +245) 97 vs. Arizona State 85 Underdog-Over (145.5)
                        No. 5 Stanford (-9) 76 vs. No. 12 California 58 Favorite-Under (141.5)
                        No. 7 Washington 66 vs. No. 10 Oregon State (-2.5) 69 Favorite-Under (140.5)
                        No. 6 Oregon (-12) 64 vs. No. 11 Washington State 62 Underdog-Under (149)

                        Quarterfinals – Thursday, March 9 ATS Results
                        Arizona (-11) 83 vs. Colorado 63 Favorite-Over (140.5)
                        UCLA (-4) 88 vs. Stanford 77 Favorite-Over (155)
                        USC (-6) 61 vs. Oregon State 48 Favorite-Under (142)
                        No. 3 Utah vs. No. 6 Oregon -

                        Semifinals – Friday, March 10 ATS Results
                        Arizona vs. UCLA -
                        USC vs. TBD -

                        Championship – Saturday, March 11 ATS Results
                        TBD vs. TBD -

                        Big 12
                        Venue: Sprint Center
                        Location: Kansas City, Missouri

                        BIG 12 TOURNAMENT BETTING RESULTS
                        First round – Wednesday, March 7 ATS Results
                        Oklahoma State (+1.5, +115) 71 vs. Oklahoma 60 Underdog-Under (160)
                        Texas (-5.5) 68 vs. Iowa State 64 Underdog-Under (138.5)

                        Quarterfinals – Thursday, March 8 ATS Results
                        Kansas (-6) 82 vs. Oklahoma State 68 Favorite-Under (151)
                        Texas Tech (-6.5) 73 vs. Texas 69 Underdog-Over (129.5)
                        West Virginia (-5.5) 78 vs. Baylor 65 Favorite-Over (139.5)
                        Kansas State (+2.5, ML +120) 66 vs. Texas Christian 64 Underdog-Under (143)

                        Semifinals – Friday, March 9 ATS Results
                        Kansas State vs. Kansas -
                        Texas Tech vs. West Virginia -

                        Championship – Saturday, March 10 ATS Results
                        TBD vs. TBD -

                        Big East
                        Venue: Madison Square Garden
                        Location: New York City, New York

                        First round – Wednesday, March 7 ATS Results
                        Georgetown 77 vs. St. John's (-3) 88 Favorite-Over (144.5)
                        Marquette (-5.5) 72 vs. DePaul 69 Underdog-Under (149)

                        Quarterfinals – Thursday, March 8 ATS Results
                        Xavier (-7) 88 vs. St. John's 60 Favorite-Under (153.5)
                        Villanova (-11.5) 94 vs. Marquette 70 Favorite-Over (161.5)
                        Butler (-1.5) 75 vs. Seton Hall 74 Underdog-Over (147.5)
                        Creighton 68 vs. Providence (+3.5, ML +155) 72 Underdog-Under (149)

                        Semifinals – Friday, March 9 ATS Results
                        Xavier vs. Providence -
                        Villanova vs. Butler -

                        Championship – Saturday, March 10 ATS Results
                        TBD vs. TBD -

                        Venue: Scottrade Center
                        Location: St. Louis, Missouri

                        SEC TOURNAMENT BETTING RESULTS
                        First round – Wednesday, March 7 ATS Results
                        South Carolina (-3) 85 vs. Mississippi 84 Underdog-Over (141)
                        Georgia (-2.5) 78 vs. Vanderbilt 62 Favorite-Over (130.5)

                        Second round – Thursday, March 8 ATS Results
                        Missouri 60 vs. Georgia (+3.5, ML +150) 62 Underdog-Under (131.5)
                        Arkansas (-5) 69 vs. South Carolina 64 Push-Under (144.5)
                        Mississippi State (-3) 80 vs. LSU 77 Push-Over (142.5)
                        Texas A&M 70 vs. Alabama (+3, ML +145) 71 Underdog-Over (138)

                        Quarterfinals – Friday, March 9 ATS Results
                        Auburn vs. Alabama -
                        Tennessee vs. Mississippi State -
                        No. 3 Florida vs. Arkansas -
                        No. 4 Kentucky vs. Georgia -

                        Semifinals – Saturday, March 10 ATS Results
                        TBD vs. TBD -
                        TBD vs. TBD -

                        Championship – Sunday, March 12 ATS Results
                        TBD vs. TBD -

                        Big Ten
                        Venue: Madison Square Garden
                        Location: New York, NY

                        First round – Wednesday, February 28 ATS Results
                        Illinois 87 vs. Iowa (+1, ML +105) 96 Underdog-Over (158.5)
                        Rutgers (+1, ML +105) 65 vs. Minnesota 54 Underdog-Under (133.5)

                        Second round – Thursday, March 9 ATS Results
                        Wisconsin (+2.5, ML +125) 59 vs. Maryland 54 Undedog-Under (130.5)
                        Michigan (-9) 77 vs. Iowa 71 Underdog-Over (148)
                        Northwestern 57 vs. Penn State (-5.5) 65 Favorite-Under (132)
                        Rutgers (+7.5, ML +280) 76 vs. Indiana 69 Underdog-Over (126.5)

                        Quarterfinals – Friday, March 10 ATS Results
                        Wisconsin 60 Michigan State (-12) 63 Favorite-Over (130.5)
                        Nebraska 58 Michigan (-5) 77 Favorite-Over (134)
                        Penn State (+5.5, ML +220) 69 Ohio State 68 Underdog-Under (140)
                        Rutgers 75 Purdue (-15.5) 82 Underdog-Over (132.5)

                        Semifinals – Saturday, March 11 ATS Results
                        Penn State 70 vs. Purdue (-8.5) 78 Underdog-Over (141)
                        Michigan (+5, ML +200) 75 vs. Michigan State 64 Underdog-Under (135.5)

                        Championship – Sunday, March 12 ATS Results
                        Michigan (+4, +170) 75 vs. Purdue 66 Underdog-Push (141)


                        • ACC Trends and Angles
                          March 9, 2018

                          Venue: Barclays Center - Brooklyn, New York

                          Overall Betting Results
                          Favorites/Underdogs: 9-2 SU, 8-3 ATS
                          Over/Under: 7-4

                          Friday, March 9
                          Matchup Records Skinny Projection

                          No. 4 Clemson
                          Overall: 23-8 SU, 16-12 ATS
                          Totals: 14-14 O/U

                          No. 1 Virginia
                          Overall: 29-2 SU, 19-8-1 ATS
                          Totals: 8-20 O/U

                          No. 4 Clemson vs. No. 1 Virginia (ESPN, 7:00 p.m. ET)

                          The Cavaliers pulled away from Louisville on Thursday, 75-58 to easily cash as seven-point favorites. Virginia has reached the ACC semifinals for the first time since 2016, when the Cavaliers eventually lost to North Carolina in the championship. UVA is seeking its first ACC tournament title since 2014, as the Wahoos have won this tournament only twice in school history.

                          The Tigers have won three of their last four games following a three-game skid, capped off by Thursday's 90-82 shootout victory over Boston College. Clemson looks for a better performance this time around against Virginia as the Tigers were whipped by the Cavaliers in Charlottesville in late January, 61-36. Virginia has captured seven straight meetings with Clemson since 2013, while these teams are meeting in the conference tournament for the first time since 2004.

                          Clemson 56
                          Virginia 65

                          No. 6 North Carolina
                          Overall: 24-9 SU, 18-13-1 ATS
                          Totals: 18-14 O/U

                          No. 2 Duke
                          Overall: 26-6 SU, 20-10 ATS
                          Totals: 16-13 O/U

                          No. 6 North Carolina vs. No. 2 Duke (ESPN, 9:30 p.m. ET)

                          These two teams know each other fairly well as they look to break a 1-1 series tie this season. North Carolina rallied past Duke in Chapel Hill, 82-78 in February, while the Blue Devils bounced the Tar Heels last Saturday, 74-64 as 7.5-point home favorites. Duke outlasted North Carolina in last season's ACC tournament as four-point 'dogs, 93-83 in the semifinals, as the Blue Devils have covered five straight conference tournament contests.

                          The Tar Heels and Blue Devils both rolled to victories on Thursday. North Carolina overcame an early 14-0 deficit to rout Miami, 82-65, while Duke had no problems with Notre Dame in an 88-70 blowout. The Blue Devils had their six-game UNDER streak snapped on Thursday, but have allowed 70 points or less in eight consecutive games since yielding 82 points to UNC on February 8.

                          North Carolina 81
                          Duke 78


                          Big 12 Trends and Angles
                          March 9, 2018

                          Venue: Sprint Center - Kansas City, Missouri

                          Overall Betting Results
                          Favorites/Underdogs: 4-2 SU,2-4 ATS
                          Over/Under: 2-3-1

                          Friday, March 9
                          Matchup Records Skinny Projection

                          No. 4 Kansas State
                          Overall: 22-10 SU,14-15 ATS
                          Totals: 10-18 O/U

                          No. 1 Kansas
                          Overall: 25-7 SU, 16-14-1 ATS
                          Totals: 14-16 O/U

                          No. 4 Kansas State vs. No. 1 Kansas (ESPN, 7:00 p.m. ET)

                          The Wildcats slipped up in the two regular-season matchups, as Kansas won both meetings with the teams going 1-1 ATS. The 'under' connected in each of the meetings. K-State came up with the 66-64 win over TCU on Thursday, covering for the fifth time in seven outings.

                          The Jayhawks covered in their 82-68 win against Oklahoma State, exorcising demons from earlier in the season. Kansas beat K-State in their two regular season meetings, splitting covers. Each rival won and covered on each other's floor. Kansas is stilll 4-5-1 over their past 10 outings.

                          Kansas State 68
                          Kansas 76

                          No. 3 West Virginia
                          Overall: 23-9 SU, 14-14 ATS
                          Totals: 14-14 O/U

                          No. 2 Texas Tech
                          Overall: 19-13 SU, 10-20 ATS
                          Totals: 18-12 O/U

                          No. 3 West Virginia vs. No. 2 Texas Tech (ESPN2, 9:15 p.m. ET)

                          The Mountaineers split with the Red Raiders this season, with West Virginia covering both matchups. TTU won in their opening-round game against Texas, although they're just 0-5-1 ATS over the past six outings. West Virginia is just 3-7-1 ATS in their past 11 neutral-site games, but just 2-6 ATS in their past eight vs. the Red Raiders.

                          Texas Tech enters just 0-5-1 ATS over the past six outings, while going 20 ATS across the past 27 neutral-site games. The 'over' has cashed in five in a row, including five of the past six against teams with a winning overall record.

                          Kansas 83
                          Oklahoma State 79


                          Big East Trends and Angles
                          March 9, 2018

                          Venue: Madison Square Garden - New York City

                          Overall Betting Results
                          Favorites/Underdogs: 5-1 SU, 3-3 ATS
                          Over/Under: 3-3

                          Friday, March 9
                          Matchup Records Skinny Projection

                          No. 5 Providence
                          Overall: 20-12 SU, 12-18 ATS
                          Totals: 15-16 O/U

                          No. 1 Xavier
                          Overall: 28-4 SU, 21-11 ATS
                          Totals: 18-14 O/U

                          No. 5 Providence vs. No. 1 Xavier (FS1, 6:30 p.m. ET)

                          The Musketeers proved worthy of the Big East top seed by blowing out St. John's in Thursday's quarterfinals, 88-60 as 6.5-point favorites. Xavier lost three conference games this season with two of those defeats coming to Villanova and the other to Providence. The Friars tripped up the Musketeers, 81-72 as 5.5-point home underdogs in January, but Xavier rebounded in late February with an 84-74 home triumph over Providence.

                          The Friars outlasted Creighton in overtime on Thursday, 72-68 to cash as 3.5-point underdogs. PC improved to 5-1 ATS the last six games as an underdog, while covering in three straight meetings with Xavier. Providence last won the Big East tournament in 2014, while Xavier is looking to reach its first tournament championship since 2015, when the Musketeers fell to Villanova.

                          Providence 68
                          Xavier 77

                          No. 6 Butler
                          Overall: 20-12 SU, 15-16 ATS
                          Totals: 18-13 O/U

                          No. 2 Villanova
                          Overall: 28-4 SU, 21-11 ATS
                          Totals: 22-10 O/U

                          No. 6 Butler vs. No. 2 Villanova (FS1, 9:00 p.m. ET)

                          The first loss suffered by Villanova this season following a 13-0 start came at the hands of Butler on December 30 in a 101-93 setback as 5.5-point favorites. Butler became the only team to top the 100-point mark against Villanova this season, but the Wildcats picked up revenge at home in February with an 86-75 triumph as 9.5-point favorites.

                          The Wildcats cruised past Marquette in the quarterfinals, 94-70 to easily cash as 11.5-point favorites. Meanwhile, Butler beat Seton Hall for the first time in three matchups this season by rallying for a 75-74 victory in Thursday's late game at Madison Square Garden. The Bulldogs picked up their first ever win at the Big East tournament while facing Villanova in this tourney for the first time.

                          Butler 67
                          Villanova 73


                          Pac-12 Trends and Angles
                          March 9, 2018

                          Venue: T-Mobile Arena - Las Vegas

                          Overall Betting Results
                          Favorites/Underdogs: 7-1 SU, 5-2-1 ATS
                          Over/Under: 3-5

                          Friday, March 9
                          Matchup Records Skinny Projection

                          No. 4 UCLA
                          Overall: 21-10 SU, 15-15-1 ATS
                          Totals: 18-12-1 O/U

                          No. 1 Arizona
                          Overall: 21-10 SU, 14-14-3 ATS
                          Totals: 17-14 O/U

                          No. 4 UCLA vs. No. 1 Arizona (Pac-12, 9:00 p.m. ET)

                          Any concerns the Bruins had about being left out of the NCAA Tournament were realistically eliminated as they staved off a Stanford upset bid to advance to their fourth semifinal appearance in five years. Arizona advanced past this round against the Bruins in '15 and '17. Aaron Holiday never left the floor against the Cardinal, scoring 34 points for the second straight game, helping make up for backcourt mate Jaylen Adams playing only 10 minutes. He's played all 40 minutes in four of his last five outings and is averaging 28.2 points, 5.4 boards and 6.8 assists in that span. Thomas Welsh added 18 points and 11 rebounds as UCLA never trailed Stanford. It defeated Arizona 82-74 in Tucson on Feb. 8, shooting 55 percent as all five starters scored in double-figures.

                          The Wildcats left all of their off-court problems behind and used a big second half to win and cover against pesky Colorado. Reigning Pac-12 Tournament MVP Allonzo Trier picked up where he left off by scoring 22 points, ensuring no backdoor cover would be had by hitting 10-for-10 from the free-throw line. He averaged 20.7 points per game and led the team in minutes in last year's tourney. Center Dusan Ristic added 16 points and 11 rebounds against Colorado, helping make up for an off game from star freshman DeAndre Ayton, who shot just 4-for-14, picked up a technical for arguing with refs and ultimately fouled out. Ayton had a rough time against the Bruins the first time around, shooting 7-for-19. Beleaguered head coach Sean Miller would tie 'Zona legend Lute Olson with 16 Pac-12 Tourney victories by advancing to the championship game.

                          Arizona 78
                          UCLA 71

                          No. 6 Oregon
                          Overall: 22-11 SU, 16-15 ATS
                          Totals: 14-18 O/U

                          No. 2 USC
                          Overall: 22-10 SU, 20-12 ATS
                          Totals: 10-20-2 O/U

                          No. 6 Oregon vs. No. 2 USC (FS1, 11:30 p.m. ET)

                          The Ducks have now followed the same blueprint in both Pac-12 Tournament wins, trailing for most of both games rallying down the stretch. A MiKyle McIntosh 3-point play on the Ducks' final possession and Kenny Wooten's second game-preserving block in as many nights helped them survive Utah 68-66. Elijah Brown was the offense for most of the night, connecting on 7-for-12 from 3-point range. Leading scorer Payton Pritchard has had a rough tournament, so Oregon needs his best game to advance here. Pritchard led the team with 18 points and seven assists in Eugene and added 17 points in L.A. two weeks later. USC won both regular-season meetings, 75-70 and 72-70, on Jan. 18 and Feb. 15. Dana Altman has the highest winning percentage in Pac-12 tournament history with a 78.9 clip, improving to 15-4 with two wins in this year's event.

                          While Oregon is in need of a Pac-12 Tourney title in order to reach the NCAAs, getting past this point almost certainly punches the Trojans' ticket. Andy Enfield has USC in a semifinal for the first time since 2011, but needs to reach the school's first championship game in '09 to avoid a nervous Selection Sunday. Despite a shaky offensive performance that featured a number of lulls, USC locked down defensively and allowed the fewest points since an 84-42 season-opening win over Cal State Fullerton. The under has an 11-1-1 mark in the Trojans' last 13 games, including both meetings with Oregon, where the total was 152 and 146.5, respectively. Bennie Boatwright, now out for the season, played in both wins over the Ducks, keying the first but going scoreless in the second. Point guard Jordan McLaughing averaged 11.5 points, 6.5 rebounds and 9 assists in the meetings.

                          USC 70
                          Oregon 68


                          SEC WILL BE POSTED LATER


                          • Seed Projections
                            March 9, 2018

                            We’re at the end of the road for our “Bracketology” updates this season, as Selection Sunday looms this weekend. Thursday action provided the latest opportunity to update our projected field, with several developments.

                            Boise State was at the top of the list of teams that hurt themselves on Thursday; the Broncos are now NIT-bound after the Mountain West quartefinal loss to Utah State. Middle Tennessee has put its bid in serious jeopardy by getting KO’d in the Conference USA quarters.

                            The likes of Baylor, Oklahoma State, Texas, Notre Dame, Louisville, and Marquette had chances at big wins, and while losses to their power team foes don’t necessarily hurt their profiles, given the timing they were huge opportunities missed.

                            The biggest winner of Thursday was probably Alabama, which actually notched a road/neutral quality win over Texas A&M (in thrilling fashion) at the SEC Tourney to stay on the cut-line.

                            Providence was not in as much risk as 'Bama but nonetheless should have cemented its place in the field of 68 with a Big East Tourney win over Creighton.

                            Meanwhile, UCLA and Southern Cal avoided potential damaging losses in the Pac-12 Tourney, which was as good as either side could have done on Thursday.

                            Potential bid thieves are still alive in many remaining tourneys save the ACC, Big East, and Big 12, and any ongoing low-major tourneys. But into Friday, bid thieves still lurk in the Pac-12, SEC, A-10, American, Conference USA, and the Mountain West.

                            To finish our ongoing Big Dance projections, one final look at how we believe the eventual seeds are going to sort out, as we see them on the evening of March 8. Teams with auto-bids as of Thursday night are noted by an *.

                            Seed Projections 1-16

                            1) Virginia, Xavier, Villanova, Duke

                            2) Kansas, Michigan State, Cincinnati, Michigan*

                            3) North Carolina, Purdue, Tennessee, Gonzaga*

                            4) Arizona, Texas Tech, Auburn, Wichita State

                            5) Florida, Clemson, Ohio State, West Virginia

                            6) Nevada, Kentucky, Miami-Florida, Houston

                            7) Butler, Kansas State, Arkansas, Rhode Island

                            8) TCU, Seton Hall, Texas A&M, St. Bonaventure

                            9) Saint Mary’s, Creighton, Virginia Tech, Providence

                            10) Notre Dame, NC State, Missouri, UCLA

                            11) USC, Louisville, Alabama, Oklahoma, Florida State, Middle Tennessee

                            12) Western Kentucky, Loyola-Chicago*, South Dakota State*, Charleston*

                            13) UL-Lafayette, Buffalo, Vermont, Bucknell*

                            14) Murray State*, NC-Greensboro*, New Mexico State, Iona*

                            15) Wright State*, Montana, UCSB, Lipscomb*

                            16) Harvard, LIU-Brooklyn*, Radford*, Texas Southern, Nicholls, North Carolina A&T

                            Last four byes...Notre Dame, UCLA, Louisville, USC

                            Last four in...Oklahoma, Florida State, Alabama, Middle Tennessee

                            First Four Out...Oklahoma State, Texas, Penn State, Arizona State

                            Next Four Out...Marquette, Baylor, Syracuse, Mississippi State


                            • NCAAB
                              Armadillo's Write-Up

                              Friday, March 9

                              SEC tournament, St Louis
                              Florida beat Arkansas 88-73 at home Jan 17, going 13-25 on arc; Gators won last eight series games, beating Hogs 68-61 in this event two years ago. Since ’03, Florida is 4-0 vs Arkansas in SEC tourney. Florida won its last three games overall, by 6-21-13 points; they’re just 2-3 in last three SEC tourneys. Arkansas held off South Carolina by 5 last nite, outscoring Gamecocks 23-10 on foul line; senior G Beard was only Hog to play more than 30:00. Last four times Arkansas won their first SEC tournament game, they also won their second game.

                              Conference USA tournament, Frisco, TX
                              Western Kentucky beat Old Dominion twice this season, winning by 7-22 points; before this season, Hilltoppers had lost six games in row to ODU. WKU is 16-4 in its last 20 games after routing UAB last nite, avenging an earlier loss to the Blazers- despite the lopsided 98-70 final, Hilltoppers played four guys 33:00+, with Thompson playing all 40:00. Monarchs won nine of their last ten games after outlasting La Tech 62-58 last nite in low-possession (60) game where ODU played three starters 33:00+.

                              Big East tournament, NYC
                              Providence won three of last four games after its OT win over Creighton yesterday, when four starters played 40:00+. Friars split pair with Xavier this year, beating Musketeers by 9 at home, losing by 10 in Cintas Center 10 days ago- they’re 6-9 vs top 50 teams this season. Xavier is 6-4 vs Providence in Big East games; this is first time they’ve met in this event. Xavier pulled away from St John’s Thursday, winning 88-60, but it was 33-29 at half; only two Xavier guys played more than 29:00. Musketeers won 13 of their last 14 games overall.

                              Butler lost five of its last eight games, coming from behind (down 8 at half) to beat Seton Hall in dramatic fashion last nite, after Pirates has beaten them twice during season. Bulldogs scored winning hoop with 0:03.6 left to play. Butler beat Villanova 101-93 at home this year (they were 15-22 on arc), then lost rematch by 11 in Philly (they were 12-29 on arc and led by 13 early). Wildcats are 7-3 in Big East play vs Butler; Bulldogs won three of last four meetings. Villanova made 15-29 on arc last nite; one Wildcat played more than 29:00 in easy win over Marquette.

                              ACC tournament, Brooklyn
                              Virginia won its last six games overall- they pounded Clemson 61-36 at home Jan 23, holding Tigers to 13 second half points. Cavaliers won last seven series games. Virginia scored 1.29 ppp in 75-58 win over Louisville yesterday; three Virginia guys played 36:00+. UVa shot 58.5% inside the arc. Clemson played three starters 38:00+ in Thursday’s hard-earned 90-82 win over BC; Tigers won three of last four games, are 8-6 vs top 50 teams this season. Clemson won last seven times they scored 70+ points; they lost last five times they scored less than 70.

                              North Carolina/Duke split two meetings this year; Duke outscored UNC 49-29 in 2nd half of Saturday’s 74-64 home win over the Heels, after UNC led by 10 at half. Duke is 9-4 in last 13 series games; they beat Tar Heels in last two ACC tourney meetings. Duke won six of its last seven games, with only loss by point at Virginia Tech; Blue Devils beat Notre Dame 88-70 last nite, playing four starters 34:00+. Carolina fell behind 14-0 to Miami last nite, won going away by 17. All five Tar Heel starters played between 30-35:00. UNC won six of its last eight games.

                              Big X tournament, Kansas City
                              Kansas C Azubuike is out this week with an injury; Jayhawks’ bench had been playing 3rd-least minutes in country (played 33:00 yesterday). Kansas won six of its last seven games; they waxed Okla State by 14 yesterday, avenging pair of losses to Cowboys during season- they played four starters 34:00+. Jayhawks are 26-5 in last 31 Big X tourney games. Kansas beat K-State twice this year, by 1-14 points; they’ve won last seven games in this lopsided rivalry (30-5 in last 35 meetings). K-State played three guys 41:00+ in OT win over TCU yesterday.

                              West Virginia is 5-3 in its last eight games; they’re 12-6 vs top 50 teams this season, went WWL in last two Big X tourneys. WVU beat Baylor by 13 last nite after struggling to score for first 12:00- they used three starters 33:00+. Mountaineers split pair with Texas Tech this year, losing by 1 in Lubbock, winning the rematch by 10 at home 11 days ago. WVU won eight of last ten series games overall. Tech held on to beat Texas by 4 last nite after leading by 14 early- only Tech kids played more than 28:00. Last night was Tech’s first Big X tourney win in five years.

                              Mountain West tournament, Thomas & Mack Center, Las Vegas
                              Nevada won seven of its last eight games; they split pair with San Diego State this year, beating Aztecs 83-58 at home Feb 10 (game was tied at half), lost by 5 in Viejas Center six nites ago. San Diego St is 9-2 in MW games vs Nevada; 2-2 the last two years. Nevada made 12-25 on arc in a tough win over UNLV Thursday- Wolf Pack was down 12 in 2nd half- they played four starters 31:00+. Aztecs won last seven games, are peaking at right time; they spanked Fresno by 12 last nite, avenging pair of regular season losses to FSU. Three Aztecs played 31:00+ last nite.

                              Pac-12 tournament, T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas
                              UCLA won 82-74 at Arizona Feb 8, in teams only meeting this season; Bruins made 11-24 on arc in a game they led by 10 at half. Over last six years, Arizona is 3-2 vs UCLA in Pac-12 tourney; teams split their last 14 meetings overall. Wildcats won six of their last seven games; they whipped Colorado by 16 yesterday, going 26-38 on foul line- three Arizona kids played 34:00+. Bruins are 4-3 in its last seven games overall; they’re 4-6 in Pac-12 road games this season. UCLA made 12-27 on arc in 88-77 win over Stanford- Holiday played all 40:00, Welsh 34:00.

                              Oregon needed OT to beat Washington St Wednesday, then hung on to beat Utah by hoop last nite; Ducks are 13-3 in last 16 Pac-12 tournament games, but they lost twice to USC this year in games decided by total of 7 points. Before this year, Ducks had beaten USC 14 games in a row. Trojans stifled Oregon St 61-48 last nite, but Thornton didn’t play- USC played only seven guys and has only one PG, but they’ve won five of last six games overall. Three Trojans played 36:00+ last nite.

                              Big West tournament, Anaheim
                              Cal-Fullerton beat Cal-Davis twice this season, by 15 at home, by 2 in rematch; head coaches had words after first meeting (Fullerton coach Taylor is Davis alum). Teams split last ten meetings; Davis ousted Fullerton from this event in OT LY. Titans edged Long Beach by hoop yesterday, despite giving up 16 offensive boards and going just 2-8 on arc- their best three guys all played 35:00+. Aggies won their last six games; they struggled with lowly Riverside yesterday, winning by 4 while playing three guys 35:00+. Davis won this tournament for first time last season.

                              Irvine won nine of their last 11 games overall; they’re 10-4 in last 14 Big West tourney games; Anteaters split pair with Santa Barbara this season, losing by 12 in Thunderdome in January, winning rematch by 20 at home 15 days ago. Irvine won five of last seven series games; they survived Hawai’i by point last nite (68-67), rallying from down 10 with 4:08 left. Four Anteaters played 30:00+. Gauchos crushed a dismal Cal Poly team last nite; UCSB split its last six games overall- they are 9-6 this season vs teams ranked in top 200.


                              • NCAAB

                                Friday, March 9

                                Trend Report

                                VCU @ RHODE ISLAND


                                The total has gone OVER in 4 of VCU's last 5 games
                                The total has gone UNDER in 4 of VCU's last 6 games when playing Rhode Island

                                RHODE ISLAND

                                Rhode Island is 18-3 SU in its last 21 games
                                The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Rhode Island's last 6 games when playing VCU

                                SOUTHERN METHODIST @ CINCINNATI

                                SOUTHERN METHODIST

                                The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Southern Methodist's last 6 games
                                Southern Methodist is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Cincinnati


                                Cincinnati is 20-2 SU in its last 22 games
                                Cincinnati is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games

                                TEXAS STATE @ LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE

                                TEXAS STATE

                                The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas State's last 5 games
                                Texas State is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Louisiana-Lafayette


                                Louisiana-Lafayette is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Texas State
                                Louisiana-Lafayette is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games

                                ALABAMA @ AUBURN


                                The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Alabama's last 18 games
                                The total has gone OVER in 5 of Alabama's last 7 games when playing Auburn


                                Auburn is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Alabama
                                Auburn is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games

                                SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI @ MARSHALL

                                SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI

                                The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Southern Mississippi's last 9 games
                                Southern Mississippi is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Marshall


                                Marshall is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
                                The total has gone OVER in 4 of Marshall's last 5 games

                                MEMPHIS @ TULSA


                                Memphis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
                                The total has gone OVER in 9 of Memphis's last 11 games


                                Tulsa is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
                                Tulsa is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

                                GEORGE MASON @ SAINT JOSEPH'S

                                GEORGE MASON

                                The total has gone OVER in 5 of George Mason's last 5 games
                                The total has gone OVER in 5 of George Mason's last 6 games when playing Saint Joseph's

                                SAINT JOSEPH'S

                                Saint Joseph's is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
                                The total has gone OVER in 5 of Saint Joseph's's last 6 games when playing George Mason

                                APPALACHIAN STATE @ TEXAS-ARLINGTON

                                APPALACHIAN STATE

                                Appalachian State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
                                The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Appalachian State's last 6 games


                                The total has gone OVER in 7 of Texas-Arlington's last 8 games
                                Texas-Arlington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Appalachian State

                                GEORGIA @ KENTUCKY


                                Georgia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
                                The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Georgia's last 6 games


                                Kentucky is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Georgia
                                The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kentucky's last 5 games

                                SOUTHERN @ ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF


                                No trends to report

                                ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF

                                No trends to report

                                WESTERN KENTUCKY @ OLD DOMINION

                                WESTERN KENTUCKY

                                The total has gone OVER in 7 of Western Kentucky's last 8 games
                                The total has gone OVER in 4 of Western Kentucky's last 5 games when playing Old Dominion

                                OLD DOMINION

                                Old Dominion is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
                                The total has gone OVER in 4 of Old Dominion's last 5 games when playing Western Kentucky

                                TROY @ GEORGIA STATE


                                Troy is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Georgia State
                                Troy is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Georgia State

                                GEORGIA STATE

                                The total has gone OVER in 8 of Georgia State's last 9 games
                                Georgia State is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games

                                RICHMOND @ ST. BONAVENTURE


                                The total has gone OVER in 9 of Richmond's last 10 games
                                Richmond is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing St. Bonaventure

                                ST. BONAVENTURE

                                St. Bonaventure is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
                                St. Bonaventure is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

                                SAM HOUSTON STATE @ SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA

                                SAM HOUSTON STATE

                                No trends to report

                                SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA

                                No trends to report

                                NORTH CAROLINA A&T @ HAMPTON

                                NORTH CAROLINA A&T

                                No trends to report


                                No trends to report

                                KENT STATE @ BUFFALO

                                KENT STATE

                                Kent State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
                                The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kent State's last 5 games when playing Buffalo


                                Buffalo is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
                                The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games

                                PROVIDENCE @ XAVIER


                                The total has gone OVER in 4 of Providence's last 5 games when playing Xavier
                                The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Providence's last 11 games


                                Xavier is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games
                                The total has gone OVER in 4 of Xavier's last 5 games when playing Providence

                                CLEMSON @ VIRGINIA


                                Clemson is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games
                                The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Clemson's last 6 games


                                Virginia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Clemson
                                Virginia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

                                KANSAS STATE @ KANSAS

                                KANSAS STATE

                                Kansas State is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
                                Kansas State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games


                                Kansas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas State
                                Kansas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

                                MISSISSIPPI STATE @ TENNESSEE

                                MISSISSIPPI STATE

                                Mississippi State is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games
                                The total has gone OVER in 9 of Mississippi State's last 13 games


                                Tennessee is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
                                The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games

                                TEMPLE @ WICHITA STATE


                                Temple is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
                                Temple is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

                                WICHITA STATE

                                The total has gone OVER in 10 of Wichita State's last 11 games
                                Wichita State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

                                MORGAN STATE @ NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL

                                MORGAN STATE

                                No trends to report

                                NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL

                                No trends to report

                                LOUISIANA-MONROE @ GEORGIA SOUTHERN


                                The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 6 games when playing Georgia Southern
                                The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 5 games

                                GEORGIA SOUTHERN

                                The total has gone OVER in 5 of Georgia Southern's last 6 games
                                The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Georgia Southern's last 6 games when playing Louisiana-Monroe

                                SAINT LOUIS @ DAVIDSON

                                SAINT LOUIS

                                Saint Louis is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
                                The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Saint Louis's last 10 games


                                Davidson is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
                                Davidson is 12-4 ATS in its last 16 games

                                STEPHEN F. AUSTIN @ NICHOLLS STATE

                                STEPHEN F. AUSTIN

                                No trends to report

                                NICHOLLS STATE

                                No trends to report

                                NORTHERN COLORADO @ MONTANA

                                NORTHERN COLORADO

                                Northern Colorado is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
                                Northern Colorado is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games


                                Montana is 17-2 SU in its last 19 games
                                Montana is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Northern Colorado

                                UCLA @ ARIZONA


                                The total has gone OVER in 4 of UCLA's last 5 games
                                UCLA is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Arizona


                                Arizona is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
                                The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona's last 8 games

                                SAN DIEGO STATE @ NEVADA

                                SAN DIEGO STATE

                                San Diego State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
                                The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego State's last 5 games


                                Nevada is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
                                The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Nevada's last 7 games when playing San Diego State

                                GRAND CANYON @ UTAH VALLEY

                                GRAND CANYON

                                Grand Canyon is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Utah Valley
                                Grand Canyon is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

                                UTAH VALLEY

                                Utah Valley is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
                                Utah Valley is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Grand Canyon

                                EASTERN MICHIGAN @ TOLEDO

                                EASTERN MICHIGAN

                                Eastern Michigan is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
                                Eastern Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games


                                The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toledo's last 6 games when playing Eastern Michigan
                                Toledo is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games

                                NORTH CAROLINA @ DUKE

                                NORTH CAROLINA

                                North Carolina is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
                                North Carolina is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games


                                Duke is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
                                Duke is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

                                BUTLER @ VILLANOVA


                                Butler is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Villanova
                                The total has gone OVER in 4 of Butler's last 5 games when playing Villanova


                                The total has gone OVER in 11 of Villanova's last 13 games
                                Villanova is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games

                                CENTRAL FLORIDA @ HOUSTON

                                CENTRAL FLORIDA

                                The total has gone OVER in 4 of Central Florida's last 5 games when playing Houston
                                Central Florida is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games


                                Houston is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
                                Houston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Central Florida

                                WEST VIRGINIA @ TEXAS TECH

                                WEST VIRGINIA

                                The total has gone OVER in 5 of West Virginia's last 6 games when playing Texas Tech
                                West Virginia is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Texas Tech

                                TEXAS TECH

                                The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas Tech's last 5 games
                                The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas Tech's last 6 games when playing West Virginia

                                ARKANSAS @ FLORIDA


                                Arkansas is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
                                Arkansas is 6-2-1 ATS in its last 9 games


                                Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arkansas
                                Florida is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Arkansas

                                TEXAS SOUTHERN @ PRAIRIE VIEW A&M

                                TEXAS SOUTHERN

                                No trends to report

                                PRAIRIE VIEW A&M

                                No trends to report

                                CAL STATE-FULLERTON @ UC DAVIS

                                CAL STATE-FULLERTON

                                The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Cal State-Fullerton's last 11 games
                                Cal State-Fullerton is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games

                                UC DAVIS

                                UC Davis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
                                The total has gone UNDER in 5 of UC Davis's last 7 games when playing Cal State-Fullerton

                                SOUTHERN UTAH @ EASTERN WASHINGTON

                                SOUTHERN UTAH

                                The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Southern Utah's last 5 games when playing Eastern Washington
                                The total has gone OVER in 5 of Southern Utah's last 7 games

                                EASTERN WASHINGTON

                                Eastern Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
                                Eastern Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

                                OREGON @ USC


                                Oregon is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games when playing USC
                                Oregon is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing USC


                                The total has gone UNDER in 5 of USC's last 5 games
                                USC is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

                                UTAH STATE @ NEW MEXICO

                                UTAH STATE

                                The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah State's last 5 games

                                NEW MEXICO

                                New Mexico is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
                                New Mexico is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

                                SEATTLE @ NEW MEXICO STATE


                                Seattle is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
                                Seattle is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing New Mexico State

                                NEW MEXICO STATE

                                New Mexico State is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games
                                New Mexico State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Seattle