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  • Favorites went 31-21-4 ATS (59%) in NCAA conference tournaments Thursday.

    Totals finished 32-23-1 O/U (58% Over).

    Comment


    • AAC Conference Tournament Quarterfinals betting preview and odds

      It's on to the quarterfinals for the final eight teams remaining in the AAC conference tournament in Orlando. The top four seeds - Cincinnati, Wichita St., Houston, and Tulsa - will be fresh off their opening round byes and ready to take on all challengers Friday at Amway Center.

      Tournament to be played at Amway Center in Orlando, Florida.

      Southern Methodist Mustangs vs Cincinnati Bearcats (-13.5, 127)

      Banged-up SMU put together a surprisingly effective offensive performance in its American Athletic Conference Tournament win over Connecticut on Wednesday. But the Mustangs will need to be even more prolific Thursday afternoon in Orlando as they take on No. 10 Cincinnati, the tournament's top seed and owner of the country's No. 2 scoring defense.

      With team scoring leader Shake Milton on the sidelines - likely for the entire AAC Tournament - with a hand injury, SMU leaned on a trio of scorers to build a big lead against the Huskies, then hold on for dear life after UConn closed to within four late. Ben Emelogu II had a team-best 23 points in the 80-73 victory, while Akoy Agau added a career-best 21 and Jahmal McMurray chipped in 19. Those three will have to be just as good - or better - Thursday.

      The Bearcats come in having allowed 57.3 points per game during the regular season, second only to Virginia (52.8) and well ahead of third-place Central Florida (61.3). Cincinnati also dominated the two-game series with the Mustangs, winning both games by a combined 41 points. The Bearcats are led by AAC MVP Gary Clark, who put together the most complete season of any player in the conference - averaging 12.7 points, 8.2 rebounds, 1.5 steals and 1.3 blocked shots while shooting 51.3 percent from the field and 44.2 percent from 3-point range.

      BETTING STATS:



      BETTING ACTION AND LINE MOVEMENT:

      Cincinnati opened as big 13-point favorites and that number clearly was not big enough for early bettors and books were forced to move to -13.5 on Thursday evening. The total hit betting boards at 127 and has been bet up a full point to 128.

      MATCHUP CHART:



      TRENDS:

      * Mustangs are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 Friday games.
      * Bearcats are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
      * Under is 4-1-1 in Mustangs' last 6 neutral site games.
      * Under is 5-0 in Bearcats' last 5 neutral site games.
      * Favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.




      Memphis Tigers vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane (-3.5, 140.5)

      Tulsa, one of the hottest teams in the American Athletic Conference, looks to keep it going in its first game in the league’s tournament Friday, facing Memphis in the quarterfinal round at the Amway Center in Orlando, Fla. The fourth-seeded Golden Hurricane have won eight of their last nine contests - with the one loss being at AAC champ Cincinnati - while the fifth-seeded Tigers have won two straight, including a two-point victory over South Florida in the opening round Thursday.

      Junior forward Kyvon Davenport was the star in the tournament opener for the Tigers, scoring a career-high 27 points and grabbing nine rebounds as he continues to adjust to his lead role with leading scorer Jeremiah Martin sidelined for the rest of the season. Junior Kareem Brewton Jr. is a big key with Martin out, as he takes over his role at the point and has averaged 13 points along with five assists over the last four contests.

      Forward Junior Etou leads the Tulsa attack, averaging 15.1 points and 7.7 rebounds, while the guard combo of Sterling Taplin (11.7 points, 4.4 assists) and Corey Henderson Jr. (10.2 points) provide scoring punch from the perimeter. Henderson can especially get hot from 3-point range, hitting five from beyond the arc during Tulsa’s opening 24-0 run in a win over Temple on Sunday. The Golden Hurricane doesn't have gaudy defensive numbers for the season, but over the past five games Tulsa has held opponents to 59.5 points in its four wins during that stretch. Coach Frank Haith's squad has also held three of those four opponents to under 38 percent shooting from the field, compared to the 41.8 percent teams have shot against the team all season.

      BETTING STATS:



      BETTING ACTION AND LINE MOVEMENT:

      Tulsa opened as 3-point favorites and money coming in the Golden Hurricanes has bumped that line up to 3.5. The total hit the board at 140.5 and has yet to move off the opening number.

      MATCHUP CHART:



      TRENDS:

      * Golden Hurricane are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
      * Over is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 games following a ATS loss.
      * Over is 4-0 in Golden Hurricane last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
      * Over is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings.




      Temple Owls vs Wichita St. Shockers (OFF)

      Wichita State has had its hands full with Temple this season, and now a third matchup will decide which team advances to the American Athletic Conference tournament semifinals. The Shockers, seeded second in this Orlando-based event, are aiming to bounce back against the seventh-seeded Owls after losing their regular-season finale to league champion Cincinnati. Wichita State and Temple met twice during the regular season with the Owls pulling an 81-79 upset in the first meeting thanks to Obi Enechionyia's two late free throws in overtime. In the second meeting, the Owls led 56-42 at halftime before the Shockers outscored them by 21 points after intermission en route to an 93-86 triumph.

      Temple advanced to this matchup with Wednesday's 82-77 victory against Tulane, fueled by Enechionyia's 19 points and Shizz Alston Jr.'s 17 points and eight assists. Enechionyia was 5-of-7 from 3-point range against Tulane after making 5-of-18 attempts over the previous four games. Alston added two 3-pointers on Thursday - his fourth straight game with multiple 3s - and notched his second-highest assist total of the season after failing to record any assists in the regular-season finale.

      Wichita State won seven straight down the stretch before falling to Cincinnati, 62-61, and now will attempt to avoid back-to-back losses for the second time this season. Landry Shamet (14.6 points) leads four players averaging double-digit points and also has 150 assists - more than twice as many as his next-closest teammate. Shaquille Morris contributes 14.2 points and 5.5 rebounds, while Darral Willis Jr. pitches in 10.6 points and 6.0 boards - and each shoots above 50 percent from the field. Both big men can make 3-pointers, as well, and in fact the top seven scorers for Wichita State all shoot at least 35 percent from long distance.

      BETTING STATS:



      MATCHUP CHART:



      TRENDS:

      * Owls are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win.
      * Shockers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 Friday games.
      * Over is 13-2-1 in Owls last 16 neutral site games.
      * Over is 13-3 in Shockers last 16 overall.




      Central Florida Knights vs Houston Cougars (OFF)

      Houston doesn't feel much pressure as it prepares to face Central Florida in Friday's quarterfinals of the American Athletic Conference Tournament. The No. 3-seeded Cougars have won 10 of their past 12 games and expect to be part of the NCAA Tournament for the first time since 2010.

      The sixth-seeded Knights, who lost their only meeting with Houston 69-65 at home a month ago, will depend on their defense to slow the high-scoring Cougars. UCF ranks third nationally in scoring defense (61.0 points) while holding opponents to a 39.5-percent clip from the floor. Junior guard B.J. Taylor, who missed 16 games with a foot injury, leads the Knights with 15.6 points and 3.3 assists. Senior forward A.J. Davis (12.4 points, 7.7 rebounds) has been hot lately, hitting 54.3 percent from 3-point range and averaging 18.3 points over the past eight games.

      Houston features one of the league's top scorers in senior guard Rob Gray and two of the league's best 3-point shooters. Gray, a first-team all-conference selection for the second year in a row, leads the Cougars with 18.1 points and 4.7 assists and has produced four 30-point performances this season. Junior Corey Davis Jr. (13.4 points) and sophomore Armoni Brooks (10.2) - the league's sixth man of the year - lead the league with 3.1 and 2.6 3-pointers made, respectively.

      BETTING STATS:



      MATCHUP CHART:



      TRENDS:

      * Knights are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
      * Cougars are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
      * Over is 4-0 in Knights last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
      * Over is 5-0-1 in Cougars last 6 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
      * Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

      Comment


      • Big East Conference Tournament Semifinals betting preview and odds

        It's semifinal Friday for the Big East from Madison Square Garden. The first semifinal tips off between the top seeded Xavier Musketeers taking on the Providence Friers and the late game will see the Villanova Wildcats squaring off against the Butler Bulldogs.

        Providence Friars vs Xavier Musketeers (-7.5, 151)

        After battling for five- and six-point victories over St. John's in regular-season conference play, the Musketeers looked like they were headed for another closely contested affair Thursday after leading by just four points at the break. But Xavier exploded for 55 second-half points to make it a rout. Look for the Musketeers to bring a similar passion to their semifinal showdown with a Providence team that handed the tournament's top seed one of its four regular-season losses. The fifth-seeded Friars pulled out a 72-68 win over fourth-seeded Creighton to keep its hopes for a fifth consecutive March Madness berth alive.

        Providence will look to channel the effort they showed in a stunning 81-72 home victory over the Musketeers on Jan. 6 as Kyron Cartwright recorded 19 points, nine assists and four steals in the upset win, and the senior point guard had five of his 13 points in extra time Thursday to help Providence upend the the Bluejays. The Friars have struggled from 3-point range all season, converting the second-fewest shots from long range in the Big East (208) while ranking eighth out of 10 teams in success rate from beyond the arc (34.2 percent).

        Musketeers leading scorer Trevon Bluiett has taken it upon himself to carry his team to a possible No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament, surpassing 20 points in three straight games - including a team-best 27 in the rout of the Red Storm.

        BETTING STATS:



        BETTING ACTION AND LINE MOVEMENT:

        Xavier opened as 7.5-point chalk and that number has yet to move as of Friday morning. The total hit the board at 151 and like the spread has yet to move off the opening number.

        MATCHUP CHART:



        TRENDS:

        * Friars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
        * Musketeers are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 neutral site games.
        * Under is 8-3 in Friars last 11 overall.
        * Under is 8-2-1 in Musketeers last 11 neutral site games.




        Butler Bulldogs vs Villanova Wildcats (-8.5, 153.5)

        In the first meeting between the teams this season on Dec. 30, Butler knocked off Villanova 101-93 - easily the most points scored against the Wildcats this season. Villanova got its revenge in the second meeting on Feb. 10, notching an 86-75 victory as Donte DiVincenzo scored a career-high 30 points and Jalen Brunson, the potential National Player of the Year, added 27.

        The Bulldogs on Thursday overcame a subpar outing by top scorer Kelan Martin, who missed 13 of his 20 shot attempts and went 1-of-8 beyond the arc, not to mention 2-of-5 from the foul line - uncharacteristic for an 85.8 percent foul shooter. Kamar Baldwin registered 32 points and shot 12-of-20 - a vast improvement for a player who had shot a combined 10-of-36 over the previous three outings.

        Villanova likely has locked up a No. 1 seed in next week's NCAA Tournament but can continue to solidify that position with more wins at this event. Mikal Bridges (25 points) and Brunson (21) led the way Thursday as the Wildcats shot well from the field (56.9 percent), the 3-point line (15-of-29) and the foul line (13-of-17). Four of the five starters made at least three 3-pointers, with Bridges making at least three for the sixth straight game.

        BETTING STATS:



        BETTING ACTION AND LINE MOVEMENT:

        The Wildcats opened as 8.5-point favorites and that number has held as of Friday morning. The total hit betting boards at 153.5 and has yet to budge.

        MATCHUP CHART:



        TRENDS:

        * Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
        * Wildcats are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.
        * Over is 4-1 in Bulldogs last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
        * Over is 7-1 in Wildcats last 8 games following a ATS win.
        * Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

        Comment


        • NCAAB
          Long Sheet

          Friday, March 9


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          SMU (17 - 15) vs. CINCINNATI (27 - 4) - 3/9/2018, 12:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          SMU is 18-36 ATS (-21.6 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
          SMU is 18-36 ATS (-21.6 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
          SMU is 19-34 ATS (-18.4 Units) in road games in all tournament games since 1997.
          SMU is 6-13 ATS (-8.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
          CINCINNATI is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when the total is 120 to 129.5 this season.
          CINCINNATI is 32-21 ATS (+8.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
          SMU is 34-22 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
          SMU is 34-22 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
          SMU is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
          CINCINNATI is 119-158 ATS (-54.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          CINCINNATI is 4-3 against the spread versus SMU over the last 3 seasons
          CINCINNATI is 4-3 straight up against SMU over the last 3 seasons
          3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          MEMPHIS (20 - 12) vs. TULSA (19 - 11) - 3/9/2018, 2:30 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          TULSA is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all games this season.
          TULSA is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
          TULSA is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
          MEMPHIS is 159-112 ATS (+35.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
          TULSA is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
          TULSA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          MEMPHIS is 4-2 against the spread versus TULSA over the last 3 seasons
          MEMPHIS is 4-2 straight up against TULSA over the last 3 seasons
          4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          TEMPLE (17 - 14) vs. WICHITA ST (24 - 6) - 3/9/2018, 7:00 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          TEMPLE is 2-0 against the spread versus WICHITA ST over the last 3 seasons
          WICHITA ST is 1-1 straight up against TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons
          2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          UCF (19 - 12) vs. HOUSTON (24 - 6) - 3/9/2018, 9:30 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          HOUSTON is 4-1 against the spread versus UCF over the last 3 seasons
          HOUSTON is 4-1 straight up against UCF over the last 3 seasons
          4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          VA COMMONWEALTH (18 - 14) vs. RHODE ISLAND (23 - 6) - 3/9/2018, 12:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          VA COMMONWEALTH is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
          VA COMMONWEALTH is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons.
          VA COMMONWEALTH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons.
          VA COMMONWEALTH is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1997.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          RHODE ISLAND is 3-1 against the spread versus VA COMMONWEALTH over the last 3 seasons
          RHODE ISLAND is 3-1 straight up against VA COMMONWEALTH over the last 3 seasons
          2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          GEORGE MASON (16 - 16) vs. ST JOSEPHS (15 - 15) - 3/9/2018, 2:30 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          ST JOSEPHS is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          GEORGE MASON is 3-1 against the spread versus ST JOSEPHS over the last 3 seasons
          GEORGE MASON is 3-1 straight up against ST JOSEPHS over the last 3 seasons
          4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          RICHMOND (12 - 19) vs. ST BONAVENTURE (24 - 6) - 3/9/2018, 6:00 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          RICHMOND is 2-1 against the spread versus ST BONAVENTURE over the last 3 seasons
          ST BONAVENTURE is 2-1 straight up against RICHMOND over the last 3 seasons
          2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          SAINT LOUIS (17 - 15) vs. DAVIDSON (18 - 11) - 3/9/2018, 8:30 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          SAINT LOUIS is 3-0 against the spread versus DAVIDSON over the last 3 seasons
          DAVIDSON is 2-1 straight up against SAINT LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
          2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          TEXAS ST (15 - 17) vs. LA-LAFAYETTE (26 - 5) - 3/9/2018, 12:30 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          LA-LAFAYETTE is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) against conference opponents this season.
          LA-LAFAYETTE is 70-44 ATS (+21.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
          TEXAS ST is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 3 seasons.
          TEXAS ST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents this season.
          TEXAS ST is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
          TEXAS ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games after a conference game this season.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          LA-LAFAYETTE is 4-2 against the spread versus TEXAS ST over the last 3 seasons
          LA-LAFAYETTE is 5-1 straight up against TEXAS ST over the last 3 seasons
          3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          APPALACHIAN ST (15 - 17) vs. TX-ARLINGTON (19 - 12) - 3/9/2018, 3:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          TX-ARLINGTON is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents this season.
          TX-ARLINGTON is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in road games after a conference game this season.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          TX-ARLINGTON is 3-2 against the spread versus APPALACHIAN ST over the last 3 seasons
          TX-ARLINGTON is 5-1 straight up against APPALACHIAN ST over the last 3 seasons
          3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          TROY (16 - 16) vs. GEORGIA ST (21 - 10) - 3/9/2018, 6:00 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          TROY is 6-1 against the spread versus GEORGIA ST over the last 3 seasons
          TROY is 5-2 straight up against GEORGIA ST over the last 3 seasons
          4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          LA-MONROE (16 - 14) vs. GA SOUTHERN (20 - 11) - 3/9/2018, 8:30 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          GA SOUTHERN is 41-21 ATS (+17.9 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1997.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          GA SOUTHERN is 3-2 against the spread versus LA-MONROE over the last 3 seasons
          GA SOUTHERN is 3-2 straight up against LA-MONROE over the last 3 seasons
          4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          ALABAMA (18 - 14) vs. AUBURN (25 - 6) - 3/9/2018, 1:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          AUBURN is 18-10 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games this season.
          AUBURN is 18-10 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
          AUBURN is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          AUBURN is 5-1 against the spread versus ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
          AUBURN is 4-2 straight up against ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
          4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          GEORGIA (18 - 14) vs. KENTUCKY (21 - 10) - 3/9/2018, 3:30 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          GEORGIA is 54-83 ATS (-37.3 Units) after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
          KENTUCKY is 86-60 ATS (+20.0 Units) in March games since 1997.
          GEORGIA is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
          GEORGIA is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
          GEORGIA is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
          GEORGIA is 30-19 ATS (+9.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
          GEORGIA is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
          KENTUCKY is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          GEORGIA is 4-2 against the spread versus KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
          KENTUCKY is 6-0 straight up against GEORGIA over the last 3 seasons
          3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          MISSISSIPPI ST (22 - 10) vs. TENNESSEE (23 - 7) - 3/9/2018, 7:00 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          TENNESSEE is 3-1 against the spread versus MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
          TENNESSEE is 3-1 straight up against MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
          3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          ARKANSAS (22 - 10) vs. FLORIDA (20 - 11) - 3/9/2018, 9:30 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          FLORIDA is 4-1 against the spread versus ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
          FLORIDA is 5-0 straight up against ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
          3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          SOUTHERN MISS (16 - 17) vs. MARSHALL (22 - 10) - 3/9/2018, 1:30 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          SOUTHERN MISS is 2-1 against the spread versus MARSHALL over the last 3 seasons
          MARSHALL is 2-1 straight up against SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
          2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          W KENTUCKY (23 - 9) vs. OLD DOMINION (25 - 6) - 3/9/2018, 4:00 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          OLD DOMINION is 4-3 against the spread versus W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
          OLD DOMINION is 5-2 straight up against W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
          4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          PROVIDENCE (20 - 12) vs. XAVIER (28 - 4) - 3/9/2018, 6:30 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          XAVIER is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all games this season.
          XAVIER is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
          XAVIER is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
          XAVIER is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 3 seasons.
          XAVIER is 73-50 ATS (+18.0 Units) in March games since 1997.
          XAVIER is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 3 seasons.
          XAVIER is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
          XAVIER is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons.
          XAVIER is 242-187 ATS (+36.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
          PROVIDENCE is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          XAVIER is 3-3 against the spread versus PROVIDENCE over the last 3 seasons
          XAVIER is 4-2 straight up against PROVIDENCE over the last 3 seasons
          3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          BUTLER (20 - 12) vs. VILLANOVA (28 - 4) - 3/9/2018, 9:00 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          BUTLER is 4-1 against the spread versus VILLANOVA over the last 3 seasons
          VILLANOVA is 3-3 straight up against BUTLER over the last 3 seasons
          4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          KENT ST (17 - 16) vs. BUFFALO (24 - 8) - 3/9/2018, 6:30 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          BUFFALO is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 3 seasons.
          BUFFALO is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
          BUFFALO is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 3 seasons.
          BUFFALO is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
          KENT ST is 121-91 ATS (+20.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
          KENT ST is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
          KENT ST is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          KENT ST is 4-3 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
          BUFFALO is 4-3 straight up against KENT ST over the last 3 seasons
          5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          E MICHIGAN (21 - 11) vs. TOLEDO (22 - 10) - 3/9/2018, 9:00 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          E MICHIGAN is 5-2 against the spread versus TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
          E MICHIGAN is 5-2 straight up against TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
          5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          CLEMSON (23 - 8) vs. VIRGINIA (29 - 2) - 3/9/2018, 7:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          CLEMSON is 76-111 ATS (-46.1 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
          CLEMSON is 34-54 ATS (-25.4 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
          CLEMSON is 16-33 ATS (-20.3 Units) in road games after allowing 80 points or more since 1997.
          VIRGINIA is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games this season.
          VIRGINIA is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
          VIRGINIA is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) as a favorite this season.
          VIRGINIA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents this season.
          VIRGINIA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons.
          VIRGINIA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games after a conference game this season.
          VIRGINIA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival this season.
          VIRGINIA is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
          VIRGINIA is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
          VIRGINIA is 38-58 ATS (-25.8 Units) in March games since 1997.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          VIRGINIA is 3-1 against the spread versus CLEMSON over the last 3 seasons
          VIRGINIA is 4-0 straight up against CLEMSON over the last 3 seasons
          2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          N CAROLINA (24 - 9) vs. DUKE (26 - 6) - 3/9/2018, 9:30 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          DUKE is 4-2 against the spread versus N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
          DUKE is 4-3 straight up against N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
          5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          KANSAS ST (22 - 10) vs. KANSAS (25 - 7) - 3/9/2018, 7:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          KANSAS is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in road games after scoring 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
          KANSAS is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          KANSAS is 5-2 against the spread versus KANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
          KANSAS is 7-0 straight up against KANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
          4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          W VIRGINIA (23 - 9) vs. TEXAS TECH (24 - 8) - 3/9/2018, 9:30 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          W VIRGINIA is 4-2 against the spread versus TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
          W VIRGINIA is 4-2 straight up against TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
          5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          SAN DIEGO ST (20 - 10) vs. NEVADA (27 - 6) - 3/9/2018, 9:00 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          NEVADA is 3-3 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO ST over the last 3 seasons
          SAN DIEGO ST is 4-2 straight up against NEVADA over the last 3 seasons
          4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          UTAH ST (17 - 16) vs. NEW MEXICO (18 - 14) - 3/9/2018, 11:30 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          NEW MEXICO is 3-3 against the spread versus UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
          NEW MEXICO is 3-3 straight up against UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
          3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          UCLA (21 - 10) vs. ARIZONA (25 - 7) - 3/9/2018, 9:00 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          UCLA is 4-2 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
          ARIZONA is 3-3 straight up against UCLA over the last 3 seasons
          4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          OREGON (22 - 11) vs. USC (22 - 10) - 3/9/2018, 11:30 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          OREGON is 5-1 against the spread versus USC over the last 3 seasons
          OREGON is 4-2 straight up against USC over the last 3 seasons
          4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          CS-FULLERTON (18 - 11) vs. CAL DAVIS (22 - 9) - 3/9/2018, 9:30 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          CS-FULLERTON is 4-2 against the spread versus CAL DAVIS over the last 3 seasons
          CS-FULLERTON is 4-3 straight up against CAL DAVIS over the last 3 seasons
          5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          UC-IRVINE (17 - 16) vs. UC-SANTA BARBARA (23 - 8) - 3/9/2018, 12:00 AM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          UC-SANTA BARBARA is 4-2 against the spread versus UC-IRVINE over the last 3 seasons
          UC-IRVINE is 4-2 straight up against UC-SANTA BARBARA over the last 3 seasons
          5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          N COLORADO (22 - 11) vs. MONTANA (24 - 7) - 3/9/2018, 8:30 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          MONTANA is 3-2 against the spread versus N COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
          MONTANA is 4-1 straight up against N COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
          4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          SOUTHERN UTAH (13 - 18) vs. E WASHINGTON (19 - 13) - 3/9/2018, 11:05 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          E WASHINGTON is 4-1 against the spread versus SOUTHERN UTAH over the last 3 seasons
          E WASHINGTON is 5-1 straight up against SOUTHERN UTAH over the last 3 seasons
          4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          SOUTHERN U (15 - 17) vs. ARK-PINE BLUFF (13 - 20) - 3/9/2018, 3:30 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          SOUTHERN U is 4-2 straight up against ARK-PINE BLUFF over the last 3 seasons




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          TEXAS SOUTHERN (13 - 19) vs. PRAIRIE VIEW A&M (16 - 18) - 3/9/2018, 9:30 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          TEXAS SOUTHERN is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1997.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          TEXAS SOUTHERN is 4-2 straight up against PRAIRIE VIEW A&M over the last 3 seasons




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          N CAROLINA A&T (20 - 13) vs. HAMPTON (18 - 14) - 3/9/2018, 6:00 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          HAMPTON is 2-1 straight up against N CAROLINA A&T over the last 3 seasons




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          MORGAN ST (13 - 18) vs. NC CENTRAL (17 - 15) - 3/9/2018, 8:30 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          NC CENTRAL is 3-0 straight up against MORGAN ST over the last 3 seasons




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          SAM HOUSTON ST (19 - 13) vs. SE LOUISIANA (21 - 10) - 3/9/2018, 6:00 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          SAM HOUSTON ST is 3-0 straight up against SE LOUISIANA over the last 3 seasons




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          SF AUSTIN ST (26 - 6) vs. NICHOLLS ST (21 - 10) - 3/9/2018, 8:30 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          SF AUSTIN ST is 3-0 straight up against NICHOLLS ST over the last 3 seasons




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          GRAND CANYON (21 - 10) vs. UTAH VALLEY ST (22 - 9) - 3/9/2018, 9:00 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          GRAND CANYON is 5-1 straight up against UTAH VALLEY ST over the last 3 seasons




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          SEATTLE (20 - 12) vs. NEW MEXICO ST (26 - 5) - 3/9/2018, 11:30 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          NEW MEXICO ST is 5-1 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons

          Comment


          • Pac-12 Conference Tournament semifinals betting preview and odds

            The Pac-12 conference tournament semifinals are set and while the Arizona Wildcats are the defending champs and the favorite to win it again this year, that's not stopping them from taking an "Us Against the World" mentality into their matchup with UCLA. Meanwhile USC prepares to do battle with Oregon in the other semi.

            Games to be played at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada

            UCLA Bruins vs. Arizona Wildcats (-4.5, 156.5)

            The stars will be out Friday as No. 17 Arizona and Deandre Ayton face UCLA and Aaron Holiday in the semifinals of the Pac-12 Tournament. Holiday is averaging 28.2 points over his last five games to lead No. 4 seed UCLA, which beat top-seeded Arizona 82-74 in the only regular-season meeting in Tucson on Feb. 8.

            Ayton was named Pac-12 player of the year after averaging 19.9 points, 11.4 rebounds and 1.9 blocks during the regular season, but the 7-1 freshman was held to 10 points on 4-of-14 shooting in Thursday’s 83-67 quarterfinal win over Colorado. With Ayton struggling offensively, junior guard and Pac-12 tourney MVP from last year, Allonzo Trier, stepped up with 22 points while shooting 10-of-10 from the foul line. All five starters scored in double figures for the Wildcats, including senior center Dusan Ristic, who averaged 11.9 points on 57 percent shooting during the regular season.

            Among Ayton’s top competitors for player of the year was Holiday, a junior point guard who registered 34 points, eight assists and seven rebounds while playing 40 minutes in UCLA’s 88-77 quarterfinal win over Stanford. The Bruins are likely bound for the Big Dance with the win, but can remove any doubt with a win over Arizona. Guard Kris Wilkes, named to the All-Pac-12 All-Freshman team, scored 14 points in last month’s contest and closed the regular season by scoring 22 points in the win over USC.

            BETTING STATS:



            BETTING ACTION AND MOVES:

            Arizona opened as 4.5-point favorites and that number has yet to move. The total hit betting boards at 156.5 and like the spread has yet to move off the opening number.

            MATCHUP CHART:



            TRENDS:

            * Bruins are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
            * Over is 4-0 in Bruins last 4 games following a ATS win.
            * Over is 4-0 in Wildcats last 4 Friday games.
            * Underdog is 14-2 ATS in the last 16 meetings.




            Oregon Ducks vs. USC Trojans (-3, 143.5)

            USC advanced to the semifinals of Pac-12 Tournament for the first time since 2011, and the second-seeded Trojans will face sixth-seeded Oregon at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas on Friday night. The Trojans moved on with a 61-48 victory against 10th-seeded Oregon State, a couple hours before Oregon held to to beat No. 3 seed Utah 68-66.

            USC was led on both ends of the floor by 6-11 junior center Chimezie Metu, who finished with 22 points and 11 rebounds. He scored 18 points in both meetings against Oregon this season, a 75-70 victory in Eugene on Jan. 18, and a 72-70 win in Los Angeles on Feb. 15. The Ducks have gotten used to playing the close games as their last eight have been decided by single digits, including three that went to overtime and a total of four settled by two points.

            Another good sign from the quarterfinal win was the play of USC sophomore shooting guard Jonah Mathews, who reached double figures in scoring for the second time in the past nine games. Matthews scored 13 points against Oregon State and was 3-for-5 from 3-point range, giving USC a third option from beyond the arc to go with point guard Jordan McLaughlin and shooting guard Elijah Stewart. The Ducks have done a terrific job making up for losses at the conference tournament. They beat Washington State in the first round after the Cougars defeated Oregon in the second-to-last regular-season game March 1, then knocked off the Utes, who had won in Eugene in the conference opener on Dec. 29.

            BETTING STATS:



            BETTING ACTION AND MOVES: The Trojans opened at 3 and has yet to move off the opening number as of Friday morning. The total hit the betting board at 142.5 and has been bet up a full point to 143.5.

            MATCHUP CHART:



            TRENDS:

            * Ducks are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.
            * Trojans are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games.
            * Under is 13-2-1 in Trojans last 16 overall.
            * Favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

            Comment


            • FRIDAY, MARCH 9
              GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


              VCU at URI 12:00 PM
              URI -9.0
              U 148.0

              SMU at CIN 12:00 PM
              CIN -16.5

              TXST at ULL 12:30 PM
              TXST +12.0

              ALA at AUB 01:00 PM
              ALA +6.5
              O 151.5


              USM at MRSH 01:30 PM
              O 154.0


              *****************

              MEM at TLSA 02:00 PM
              TLSA -4.5


              GMU at JOES 02:30 PM
              JOES -6.5

              APP at UTA 03:00 PM
              UTA -6.0
              O 154.5


              UGA at UK 03:25 PM
              UK -5.0

              SOU at ARPB 03:30 PM
              ARPB -1.0

              **************

              WKU at ODU 04:00 PM
              ODU -1.0
              O 140.5


              TROY at GSU 06:00 PM
              TROY +4.0
              O 145.5

              NCAT at HAMP 06:00 PM
              NCAT +5.0
              O 148.0


              SHSU at SELA 06:00 PM
              SHSU -1.0
              O 131.0


              RICH at SBON 06:00 PM
              SBON -8.0
              O 148.5


              KENT at BUFF 06:30 PM
              BUFF -11.0
              O 159.5


              PROV at XAV 06:30 PM
              XAV -7.5
              O 149.5



              GOOD LUCK !

              Comment


              • Evening Best Bets:


                KENT at BUFF 07:30 PM
                BUFF -11.0
                O 159.5


                KSU at KU 08:00 PM
                KSU +7.5

                TEM at WICH 08:00 PM
                WICH -11.0
                O 146.0

                CLEM at UVA 08:00 PM
                UVA -8.0
                O 116.5


                MSST at TENN 08:00 PM
                TENN -6.0

                ***************

                MORG at NCCU 09:00 PM
                NCCU -1.0

                SLU at DAV 09:30 PM
                SLU +7.0
                U 125.5


                ULM at GASO 09:30 PM
                GASO -3.5

                UNCO at MONT 09:30 PM
                UNCO +4.0
                O 147.0


                SFA at NICH 09:30 PM
                SFA -6.5

                **********************

                WVU at TTU 10:00 PM
                WVU -2.5

                EMU at TOL 10:00 PM
                EMU +2.0
                O 142.5


                BUT at VILL 10:00 PM
                BUT +8.0

                UCLA at ARIZ 10:00 PM
                ARIZ -6.0
                O 156.0

                UNC at DUKE 10:00 PM
                DUKE -4.5

                SDSU at NEV 10:00 PM
                SDSU +3.0

                GRC at UVU 10:00 PM
                GRC +2.0

                CSF at UCD 10:30 PM
                UCD -1.5

                ARK at FLA 10:30 PM
                ARK +4.0

                TXSO at PV 10:30 PM
                PV +3.0

                UCF at HOU 10:30 PM
                UCF +9.0


                SATURDAY, MARCH 10
                GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

                SUU at EWU 12:05 AM
                EWU -7.5
                U 145.5

                ORE at USC 12:30 AM
                USC -2.5

                USU at UNM 12:30 AM
                UNM -4.0
                U 153.5

                SEA at NMSU 12:30 AM
                NMSU -11.0

                UCI at UCSB 12:59 AM
                UCSB -2.5

                Comment


                • March CBB Record:

                  DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

                  03/10/2018 4-3-0 57.14% +3.50...........( 5 games that started after midnight eastern time )
                  03/09/2018 24-28-1 46.15% -34.00
                  03/08/2018 39-37-3 51.32% -8.50
                  03/07/2018 20-21-1 48.78% -15.50
                  03/06/2018 13-16-0 44.44% -23.00
                  03/05/2018 13-8-0 61.90% +16.00
                  03/04/2018 5-3-0 62.50% +8.50
                  03/03/2018 52-56-1 48.15% -48.00
                  03/02/2018 13-16-0 44.83% -23.00
                  03/01/2018 20-24-1 45.45% -32.00

                  Totals..........203 - 212 -2....48.91%.....-147.00

                  Comment


                  • Saturday’s 6-pack

                    — A’s signed free agent catcher Jonathan Lucroy; the cynic in me wonders which contender they’ll trade him to in July.

                    — Knicks are 24-42; this will be their 5th consecutive losing season.

                    — The NFL has gotten an incredibly good at staying in the news 365 days a year.

                    — Joe Tessitore is the new play-by-play guy on Monday Night Football.

                    — Buccaneers signed WR Mike Evans to a five-year, $82.5M contract extension.

                    — Cleveland Browns traded for WR Jarvis Landry, QB Tyrod Taylor and a CB in three separate trades Friday.

                    Quote of the Day
                    “If you’ve got somebody that wants the (Memphis) job and they’re controlling most of the talent in the city, I’m not casting aspersions. I’ll let you draw conclusions. It would only be speculation on my part on what’s going on there, but it’s the worst kept secret in America that (Hardaway) wanted the job and there may come a time when coach has exited that he’ll get the job.”
                    Ricky Leftt, who is Tubby Smith’a lawyer

                    Saturday’s quiz
                    Who was the Knicks’ head coach last time they had a winning record?

                    Friday’s quiz
                    Last time the Mountain West basketball tournament wasn’t held in Las Vegas, it was held in Denver.

                    Thursday’s quiz
                    Jimmy Carter is the US President who was once the governor of Georgia.

                    *******************

                    Saturday’s List of 13: Wrapping up a Friday of basketball

                    13) ACC— North Carolina 74, Duke 69— Carolina was the #6-seed in ACC tournament; must be a hell of a league. Tar Heels won nine of last 11 games overall; they’re 4-6 in last 10 games with Virginia, who they play for ACC title tonight.

                    Virginia 64, Clemson 58— Tigers have been in the ACC since the beginning; they’re 19-65 in the ACC tournament, with no titles, losing their only two finals appearances. In 65 years.

                    12) Big East— Providence 75, Xavier 72 OT— Musketeers led by 17 points but lost here and now every bubble team in America will be rooting against Providence in the Big East final Saturday, since a Friar win steals a bid from someone. Providence has won consecutive days in overtime; they used three players 41:00+ in this game.

                    11) San Diego State 90, Nevada 73— Wolf Pack has lot of injury issues, looked like a dead team here. Aztecs led this game 55-25 at halftime; they’ve won eight games in a row. Mountain West is going to get two teams in the NCAA’s, so another bubble team bites the dust.

                    10) Pac-12— Does anyone get the Pac-12 Network? I have DirecTV and they don’t carry it. What is the point of having all but two games of your conference tournament on a station that not so many people can watch?

                    Arizona 78, UCLA 67 OT— UCLA tied game in last 0:30; would’ve been nice to have been able to watch it. Bruins (+4.5) were a tough beat- they didn’t score in overtime.

                    9) AAC— Memphis 67, Tulsa 64— Memphis is 21-12, they’ve won seven of last eight games, amidst rumors that the school wants to fire Tubby Smith and hire Penny Hardaway.

                    Smith’s lawyer came out Friday and said Hardaway was keeping some of the city’s best recruits away from Memphis because he wants Smith’s job. Fightin’ words.

                    8) A-14— St Bonaventure 83, Richmond 77— Bonnies led by 17 with 6:25 left, hung on for dear life and move on to a Friday rematch with Davidson. On Feb 27, Bonnies beat Davidson 117-113 in triple OT, maybe the best college hoop game all season.

                    Davidson has walk-on guard named Cal Freundlich, who is the son of actress Julianne Moore.

                    7) Big Sky— Montana 91, Northern Colorado 89 OT— Top-seeded Griz survive and advance; not to assess blame, but a guy on Northern Colorado missed two FT’s with 0:01 left in regulation, when score was 80-80. The kid was 1-7 on the line for the night; he was a 62.1% shooter on the line coming into the game.

                    Eastern Washington has a player named Bogdan Bliznyuk who shoots 40.4% on the arc, 91.1% on the foul line. He is a 6-6 senior; will he make an NBA squad?

                    6) Big West— Cal-Fullerton 55, Cal-Davis 52— Davis missed three of four FT’s in last 0:05.7. Fullerton rallied back from down 12 with 13:00 left; they committed an incredibly stupid foul with 0:01.2 left when they led by 2, but got away with it.

                    Wee Willie Weber should’ve reffed this game, it was like the WWE: teams don’t like each other. Ton of chirping, refs had their hands full. Physical, chippy game.

                    5) C-USA— Marshall 85, Southern Miss 75— Mike D’Antoni’s brother coaches Marshall, so you know they play real fast. Thundering Herd was 12-28 on arc in this game.

                    4) MAC— Buffalo 78, Kent State 61— Bulls are looking for 3rd MAC title in last four years; lower seeded team won last two MAC finals.

                    Toledo 64, Eastern Michigan 63— Top two seeds will meet in MAC final. Toledo’s best player hurt his knee 30 seconds into this game, didn’t return.

                    3) Big X— I’ve got nothing interesting to add on this league, so I’ll point out that the Rockets lost 108-105 in Toronto Friday night, ending Houston’s 17-game winning streak.

                    2) SEC— Alabama 81, Auburn 63— PG Collin Sexton is making himself a lot of money this week; he went for 31 in this game. It would be a big upset if he isn’t in the NBA next season.

                    1— Sun Belt— Tex-Arlington 84, Appalachian State 68— Mavericks start five seniors; three of their six subs are seniors- they’re the most experienced team in America, but they’ll be an underdog to UL-Lafayette in the Sun Belt semi-finals. Ragin’ Cajuns beat Arlington twice in the regular season, by 12-21 points, but this is the one that matters most.

                    Comment


                    • NCAAB
                      Dunkel

                      Saturday, March 10


                      I'll update this reply after Dunkel runs the missing matchups....


                      TX-Arlington @ LA-Lafayette

                      Game 511-512
                      March 10, 2018 @ 12:30 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      TX-Arlington
                      54.895
                      LA-Lafayette
                      58.463
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      LA-Lafayette
                      by 3 1/2
                      164
                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      LA-Lafayette
                      by 6
                      159 1/2
                      Dunkel Pick:
                      TX-Arlington
                      (+6); Over

                      Georgia Southern @ Georgia State

                      Game 513-514
                      March 10, 2018 @ 3:00 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      Georgia Southern
                      00.000
                      Georgia State
                      00.000
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      Georgia Southern

                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      Georgia Southern

                      Dunkel Pick:
                      Georgia Southern
                      ( );

                      Memphis @ Cincinnati

                      Game 515-516
                      March 10, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      Memphis
                      54.327
                      Cincinnati
                      73.856
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      Cincinnati
                      by 19 1/2
                      125
                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      Cincinnati
                      by 16
                      131
                      Dunkel Pick:
                      Cincinnati
                      (-16); Under

                      Houston @ Wichita State

                      Game 517-518
                      March 10, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      Houston
                      00.000
                      Wichita State
                      00.000
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      Houston

                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      Houston

                      Dunkel Pick:
                      Houston
                      ( );

                      St Joseph's @ Rhode Island

                      Game 519-520
                      March 10, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      St Joseph's
                      61.435
                      Rhode Island
                      65.523
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      Rhode Island
                      by 4
                      149
                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      Rhode Island
                      by 7 1/2
                      142
                      Dunkel Pick:
                      St Joseph's
                      (+7 1/2); Over

                      Davidson @ St Bonaventure

                      Game 521-522
                      March 10, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      Davidson
                      00.000
                      St Bonaventure
                      00.000
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      Davidson

                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      Davidson

                      Dunkel Pick:
                      Davidson
                      ( );

                      Alabama @ Kentucky

                      Game 523-524
                      March 10, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      Alabama
                      66.298
                      Kentucky
                      72.311
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      Kentucky
                      by 6
                      137
                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      Kentucky
                      by 3 1/2
                      144 1/2
                      Dunkel Pick:
                      Kentucky
                      (-3 1/2); Under

                      Arkansas @ Tennessee

                      Game 525-526
                      March 10, 2018 @ 3:31 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      Arkansas
                      00.000
                      Tennessee
                      00.000
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      Arkansas

                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      Arkansas

                      Dunkel Pick:
                      Arkansas
                      ( );

                      Cornell @ Harvard

                      Game 527-528
                      March 10, 2018 @ 12:30 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      Cornell
                      49.762
                      Harvard
                      53.228
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      Harvard
                      by 3 1/2
                      146
                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      Harvard
                      by 6
                      141
                      Dunkel Pick:
                      Cornell
                      (+6); Over

                      Yale @ Pennsylvania

                      Game 529-530
                      March 10, 2018 @ 3:00 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      Yale
                      53.464
                      Pennsylvania
                      56.895
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      Pennsylvania
                      by 3 1/2
                      147
                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      Pennsylvania
                      by 7
                      142 1/2
                      Dunkel Pick:
                      Yale
                      (+7); Over

                      West Virginia @ Kansas

                      Game 531-532
                      March 10, 2018 @ 6:00 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      West Virginia
                      00.000
                      Kansas
                      00.000
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      West Virginia

                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      West Virginia

                      Dunkel Pick:
                      West Virginia
                      ( );

                      San Diego St @ New Mexico

                      Game 533-534
                      March 10, 2018 @ 6:00 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      San Diego St
                      00.000
                      New Mexico
                      00.000
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      San Diego St

                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      San Diego St

                      Dunkel Pick:
                      San Diego St
                      ( );

                      Providence @ Villanova

                      Game 535-536
                      March 10, 2018 @ 6:30 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      Providence
                      00.000
                      Villanova
                      00.000
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      Providence

                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      Providence

                      Dunkel Pick:
                      Providence
                      ( );

                      Toledo @ Buffalo

                      Game 537-538
                      March 10, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      Toledo
                      00.000
                      Buffalo
                      00.000
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      Toledo

                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      Toledo

                      Dunkel Pick:
                      Toledo
                      ( );

                      North Carolina @ Virginia

                      Game 539-540
                      March 10, 2018 @ 8:30 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      North Carolina
                      00.000
                      Virginia
                      00.000
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      North Carolina

                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      North Carolina

                      Dunkel Pick:
                      North Carolina
                      ( );

                      Marshall @ Western Kentucky

                      Game 541-542
                      March 10, 2018 @ 8:30 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      Marshall
                      00.000
                      Western Kentucky
                      00.000
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      Marshall

                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      Marshall

                      Dunkel Pick:
                      Marshall
                      ( );

                      Marshall @ Western Kentucky

                      Game 541-542
                      March 10, 2018 @ 8:30 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      Marshall
                      00.000
                      Western Kentucky
                      00.000
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      Marshall

                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      Marshall

                      Dunkel Pick:
                      Marshall
                      ( );

                      USC @ Arizona

                      Game 543-544
                      March 10, 2018 @ 10:00 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      USC
                      00.000
                      Arizona
                      00.000
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      USC

                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      USC

                      Dunkel Pick:
                      USC
                      ( );

                      CS-Fullerton @ UC-Irvine

                      Game 545-546
                      March 10, 2018 @ 12:00 am

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      CS-Fullerton
                      00.000
                      UC-Irvine
                      00.000
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      CS-Fullerton

                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      CS-Fullerton

                      Dunkel Pick:
                      CS-Fullerton
                      ( );

                      East Washington @ Montana

                      Game 547-548
                      March 10, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      East Washington
                      00.000
                      Montana
                      00.000
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      East Washington

                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      East Washington

                      Dunkel Pick:
                      East Washington
                      ( );

                      MD-Baltimore Co @ Vermont

                      Game 549-550
                      March 10, 2018 @ 11:00 am

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      MD-Baltimore Co
                      51.029
                      Vermont
                      64.125
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      Vermont
                      by 13
                      142
                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      Vermont
                      by 11
                      135
                      Dunkel Pick:
                      Vermont
                      (-11); Over

                      NC Central @ Hampton

                      Game 551-552
                      March 10, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      NC Central
                      00.000
                      Hampton
                      00.000
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      NC Central

                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      NC Central

                      Dunkel Pick:
                      NC Central
                      ( );

                      Texas Southern @ AR-Pine Bluff

                      Game 553-554
                      March 10, 2018 @ 5:00 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      Texas Southern
                      00.000
                      AR-Pine Bluff
                      00.000
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      Texas Southern

                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      Texas Southern

                      Dunkel Pick:
                      Texas Southern
                      ( );

                      Stephen F Austin @ SE Louisiana

                      Game 555-556
                      March 10, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      Stephen F Austin
                      00.000
                      SE Louisiana
                      00.000
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      Stephen F Austin

                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      Stephen F Austin

                      Dunkel Pick:
                      Stephen F Austin
                      ( );

                      Grand Canyon @ New Mexico St

                      Game 557-558
                      March 10, 2018 @ 10:00 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      Grand Canyon
                      00.000
                      New Mexico St
                      00.000
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      Grand Canyon

                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      Grand Canyon

                      Dunkel Pick:
                      Grand Canyon
                      ( );

                      Comment


                      • NCAAB
                        Long Sheet

                        Saturday, March 10


                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                        TX-ARLINGTON (20 - 12) vs. LA-LAFAYETTE (27 - 5) - 3/10/2018, 12:30 PM
                        Top Trends for this game.
                        TX-ARLINGTON is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents this season.
                        LA-LAFAYETTE is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) as a favorite this season.
                        LA-LAFAYETTE is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) against conference opponents this season.
                        LA-LAFAYETTE is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) in road games in March games since 1997.
                        LA-LAFAYETTE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) on Saturday games this season.
                        LA-LAFAYETTE is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) after a conference game this season.
                        LA-LAFAYETTE is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) in road games in all tournament games since 1997.
                        LA-LAFAYETTE is 30-12 ATS (+16.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
                        TX-ARLINGTON is 50-25 ATS (+22.5 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
                        TX-ARLINGTON is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.


                        Head-to-Head Series History
                        LA-LAFAYETTE is 4-1 against the spread versus TX-ARLINGTON over the last 3 seasons
                        LA-LAFAYETTE is 4-2 straight up against TX-ARLINGTON over the last 3 seasons
                        4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                        GA SOUTHERN (21 - 11) vs. GEORGIA ST (22 - 10) - 3/10/2018, 3:00 PM
                        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


                        Head-to-Head Series History
                        GA SOUTHERN is 5-1 against the spread versus GEORGIA ST over the last 3 seasons
                        GEORGIA ST is 3-3 straight up against GA SOUTHERN over the last 3 seasons
                        4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                        MEMPHIS (21 - 12) vs. CINCINNATI (28 - 4) - 3/10/2018, 1:00 PM
                        Top Trends for this game.
                        MEMPHIS is 160-112 ATS (+36.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
                        CINCINNATI is 119-159 ATS (-55.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.


                        Head-to-Head Series History
                        MEMPHIS is 3-2 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
                        CINCINNATI is 4-1 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
                        3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                        HOUSTON (25 - 6) vs. WICHITA ST (25 - 6) - 3/10/2018, 3:30 PM
                        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


                        Head-to-Head Series History
                        WICHITA ST is 1-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
                        WICHITA ST is 1-1 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
                        2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                        ST JOSEPHS (16 - 15) vs. RHODE ISLAND (24 - 6) - 3/10/2018, 1:00 PM
                        Top Trends for this game.
                        RHODE ISLAND is 31-20 ATS (+9.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
                        RHODE ISLAND is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
                        ST JOSEPHS is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
                        ST JOSEPHS is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.


                        Head-to-Head Series History
                        ST JOSEPHS is 3-2 against the spread versus RHODE ISLAND over the last 3 seasons
                        ST JOSEPHS is 3-2 straight up against RHODE ISLAND over the last 3 seasons
                        4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                        DAVIDSON (19 - 11) vs. ST BONAVENTURE (25 - 6) - 3/10/2018, 3:30 PM
                        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


                        Head-to-Head Series History
                        DAVIDSON is 3-2 against the spread versus ST BONAVENTURE over the last 3 seasons
                        DAVIDSON is 3-2 straight up against ST BONAVENTURE over the last 3 seasons
                        4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                        ALABAMA (19 - 14) vs. KENTUCKY (22 - 10) - 3/10/2018, 1:00 PM
                        Top Trends for this game.
                        KENTUCKY is 87-60 ATS (+21.0 Units) in March games since 1997.


                        Head-to-Head Series History
                        KENTUCKY is 5-1 against the spread versus ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
                        KENTUCKY is 6-0 straight up against ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
                        4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                        ARKANSAS (23 - 10) vs. TENNESSEE (24 - 7) - 3/10/2018, 3:30 PM
                        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


                        Head-to-Head Series History
                        ARKANSAS is 3-1 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
                        ARKANSAS is 4-0 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
                        2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                        CORNELL (12 - 15) vs. HARVARD (17 - 12) - 3/10/2018, 12:30 PM
                        Top Trends for this game.
                        HARVARD is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                        HARVARD is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
                        HARVARD is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) against conference opponents this season.
                        HARVARD is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.
                        HARVARD is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) after a conference game this season.
                        HARVARD is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.


                        Head-to-Head Series History
                        CORNELL is 3-2 against the spread versus HARVARD over the last 3 seasons
                        HARVARD is 5-1 straight up against CORNELL over the last 3 seasons
                        6 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                        YALE (16 - 14) at PENNSYLVANIA (22 - 8) - 3/10/2018, 3:00 PM
                        Top Trends for this game.
                        YALE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 3 seasons.
                        YALE is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season.
                        YALE is 136-98 ATS (+28.2 Units) in road games since 1997.
                        YALE is 136-98 ATS (+28.2 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
                        YALE is 88-63 ATS (+18.7 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
                        YALE is 92-61 ATS (+24.9 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
                        YALE is 86-61 ATS (+18.9 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
                        YALE is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) after allowing 80 points or more since 1997.
                        YALE is 47-26 ATS (+18.4 Units) after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.
                        PENNSYLVANIA is 97-136 ATS (-52.6 Units) in all home games since 1997.
                        PENNSYLVANIA is 97-136 ATS (-52.6 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
                        PENNSYLVANIA is 37-60 ATS (-29.0 Units) in home games on Saturday games since 1997.
                        PENNSYLVANIA is 56-80 ATS (-32.0 Units) in home games after a conference game since 1997.
                        PENNSYLVANIA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.


                        Head-to-Head Series History
                        YALE is 4-2 against the spread versus PENNSYLVANIA over the last 3 seasons
                        YALE is 4-2 straight up against PENNSYLVANIA over the last 3 seasons
                        3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                        W VIRGINIA (24 - 9) vs. KANSAS (26 - 7) - 3/10/2018, 6:00 PM
                        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


                        Head-to-Head Series History
                        KANSAS is 4-3 against the spread versus W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
                        KANSAS is 5-2 straight up against W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
                        5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                        SAN DIEGO ST (21 - 10) vs. NEW MEXICO (19 - 14) - 3/10/2018, 6:00 PM
                        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


                        Head-to-Head Series History
                        NEW MEXICO is 3-2 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO ST over the last 3 seasons
                        NEW MEXICO is 3-2 straight up against SAN DIEGO ST over the last 3 seasons
                        3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                        PROVIDENCE (21 - 12) vs. VILLANOVA (29 - 4) - 3/10/2018, 6:30 PM
                        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


                        Head-to-Head Series History
                        PROVIDENCE is 5-2 against the spread versus VILLANOVA over the last 3 seasons
                        VILLANOVA is 5-2 straight up against PROVIDENCE over the last 3 seasons
                        4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                        TOLEDO (23 - 10) vs. BUFFALO (25 - 8) - 3/10/2018, 7:00 PM
                        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


                        Head-to-Head Series History
                        BUFFALO is 2-2 against the spread versus TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
                        BUFFALO is 2-2 straight up against TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
                        3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                        N CAROLINA (25 - 9) vs. VIRGINIA (30 - 2) - 3/10/2018, 8:30 PM
                        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


                        Head-to-Head Series History
                        VIRGINIA is 3-2 against the spread versus N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
                        VIRGINIA is 3-2 straight up against N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
                        4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                        MARSHALL (23 - 10) vs. W KENTUCKY (24 - 9) - 3/10/2018, 8:30 PM
                        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


                        Head-to-Head Series History
                        MARSHALL is 4-2 against the spread versus W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
                        MARSHALL is 4-2 straight up against W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
                        4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                        USC (23 - 10) vs. ARIZONA (26 - 7) - 3/10/2018, 10:00 PM
                        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


                        Head-to-Head Series History
                        ARIZONA is 3-2 against the spread versus USC over the last 3 seasons
                        ARIZONA is 4-1 straight up against USC over the last 3 seasons
                        3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                        CS-FULLERTON (19 - 11) vs. UC-IRVINE (18 - 16) - 3/10/2018, 12:00 AM
                        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


                        Head-to-Head Series History
                        UC-IRVINE is 3-3 against the spread versus CS-FULLERTON over the last 3 seasons
                        UC-IRVINE is 4-2 straight up against CS-FULLERTON over the last 3 seasons
                        4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                        E WASHINGTON (20 - 13) vs. MONTANA (25 - 7) - 3/10/2018, 8:00 PM
                        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


                        Head-to-Head Series History
                        E WASHINGTON is 3-1 against the spread versus MONTANA over the last 3 seasons
                        MONTANA is 2-2 straight up against E WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
                        4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                        MD-BALT COUNTY (23 - 10) at VERMONT (27 - 6) - 3/10/2018, 11:00 AM
                        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


                        Head-to-Head Series History
                        VERMONT is 6-0 straight up against MD-BALT COUNTY over the last 3 seasons




                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                        NC CENTRAL (18 - 15) vs. HAMPTON (19 - 14) - 3/10/2018, 1:00 PM
                        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


                        Head-to-Head Series History
                        HAMPTON is 2-1 against the spread versus NC CENTRAL over the last 3 seasons
                        HAMPTON is 2-1 straight up against NC CENTRAL over the last 3 seasons
                        2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                        TEXAS SOUTHERN (14 - 19) vs. ARK-PINE BLUFF (14 - 20) - 3/10/2018, 5:00 PM
                        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


                        Head-to-Head Series History
                        TEXAS SOUTHERN is 4-2 straight up against ARK-PINE BLUFF over the last 3 seasons




                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                        SF AUSTIN ST (27 - 6) vs. SE LOUISIANA (22 - 10) - 3/10/2018, 9:00 PM
                        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


                        Head-to-Head Series History
                        SF AUSTIN ST is 2-1 straight up against SE LOUISIANA over the last 3 seasons




                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                        GRAND CANYON (22 - 10) vs. NEW MEXICO ST (27 - 5) - 3/10/2018, 10:00 PM
                        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


                        Head-to-Head Series History
                        NEW MEXICO ST is 4-2 straight up against GRAND CANYON over the last 3 seasons


                        Comment


                        • NCAAB
                          Armadillo's Write-Up

                          Saturday, March 10


                          Atlantic 14 tourney, Washington DC
                          St Joe’s ruined Rhode Island’s Senior Day with a 78-48 thrashing of the Rams Feb 27; URI was 3-29 on arc in game that was 35-16 at the half. Teams split last six meetings overall. St Joe’s won seven of its last eight games after starting season 9-14; Hawks outscored George Mason 42-24 in second half of 68-49 win yesterday- St Joe’s only played seven guys, three of them 32:00+. URI split its last six games overall; they beat VCU by 9 yesterday, outscoring VCU 18-8 over last 6:21 of game. Rams played two starters 38:00+- no one else played more than 30:00.

                          St Bonaventure outlasted Davidson 117-113 in triple OT in Olean Feb 27; they lost 83-73 in first meeting in Charlotte. Bonnies are 3-2 in this series- they lost 90-86 in OT to Davidson in this event two years ago. Bonnies won their last 13 games; they beat Richmond by 6 yesterday, after nearly squandering a 17-point lead with 6:25 left. Mobley/Adams played whole 40:00 yesterday; no other Bonnie played more than 30:00. Davidson won six of its last seven games, with only loss the 3OT game in Olean; they crushed St Louis Friday- four Wildcats played 33:00+.

                          AAC tournament, Orlando
                          Home side won both Wichita-Houston games this season; Shockers won first meeting 81-63 at home, then lost rematch 73-59 in Houston Jan 20. Wichita won eight of its last nine games, with only loss by point at Cincinnati; Shockers beat Temple 89-81 last nite- Shamet was only Shocker to play more than 30:00. Houston won nine of last ten games, with only loss at Memphis; Cougars shot 71% inside arc in rout of UCF last night- they last won their conference tourney in 2010, are 4-7 in this event since then. Wichita is 11-3 in last 14 conference tourney games.

                          Sun Belt tournament, New Orleans
                          UL-Lafayette beat Tex-Arlington twice this season, 77-65 in Arlington, then 100-79 at home in last meeting Feb 17. Ragin’ Cajuns are 8-3 vs UTA in Sun Belt meetings. ULL won 17 of its last 19 games; they made 14-25 on arc in easy win over Texas St yesterday- they led 37-15 at half. Ragin’ Cajuns are #51 experience team in country. Arlington starts five seniors, is most experienced team in country; Mavericks won four in row and seven of last nine games- they played two guys more than 30:00 in easy win over Appalachian State Friday.

                          ACC tournament, Brooklyn
                          Duke-North Carolina games are emotional; hard to play a real good team the next day. This is 4th game in four days for UNC. Virginia is 6-4 in its last ten games with Carolina- they lost to Tar Heels in two of last three ACC tourneys, both by 4 points. Carolina won seven of its last nine games overall; they beat Duke by 5 Friday, playing three guys 33:00+. UNC got smothered 61-49 at Virginia Jan 6- UNC was held to 21 2nd half points. Virginia won its last seven games overall; they won their last seven games. Three Cavaliers played 34:00+ in Friday’s win over Clemson.

                          Big X tournament, Kansas City
                          Kansas beat West Virginia twice this season, by 5-8 points; Jayhawks are 8-4 vs Mountaineers in Big X meetings. Kansas won six of its last seven games; they won last two days by 14-16 points. Jayhawks are 27-5 in last 32 Big X tourney games. Kansas played three guys 35:00+ last night vs K-State. West Virginia is 6-3 in its last nine games; they’re 13-6 vs top 50 teams this season, went WWL in last two Big X tourneys. Mountaineers had tough 66-63 win over Texas Tech last night- they made 10-20 on arc, played three guys 32:00+.

                          Big East tournament, NYC
                          Providence won four of its last five games, winning last two days in OT; they rallied back from down 17 to upset Xavier Friday- three Friars played 40:00+ Friday, after four played 40:00+ in Thursday’s OT win. Villanova won its last four games, winning last two days by 19-24 points. Providence/Villanova split pair of games this year; Wildcats won first meeting 89-69 at home, but lost rematch 76-71 on Feb 14. Villanova won 10 of last 12 series games; they beat Friars in two of last three Big East tourneys, by 2-8 points.

                          Big Sky tournament, Reno
                          Montana won its last five games; they needed OT to hold off Northern Colorado 91-89 last nite, after trailing by 6 with 1:06 left. Four Grizzlies played 31:00+; two played 40:00+. Eastern Washington won its last eight games, first of which was 74-65 home win over Montana Feb 15; Eagles shot 62.5% inside arc that night. Teams split last ten series games; EWU beat Montana 69-65 in this event three years ago. EWU shot 64% inside arc in win over Southern Utah Friday- only two Eagles played 32:00+. Montana is 10-4 in last 14 Big Sky tourney games.

                          Mountain West tournament, Thomas & Mack Center, Las Vegas
                          New Mexico made 13-29 on arc, rallied back from down 10 at half to beat San Diego State 79-75 in only meeting this season. Lobos won last three series games- since ’04, they’re 4-1 vs Aztecs in MW tourney. San Diego State won its last eight games; they were up 30 at half yesterday against Nevada. Only one Aztec played 30:00+ last nite. New Mexico won won its last seven games; they played eight guys 21:00+ last nite, no one more than 29:00 in workmanlike win over Utah State. San Diego State held five of its last seven opponents under 65 points.

                          Conference USA tournament, Frisco, TX
                          Western Kentucky beat Marshall twice this season, 112-87 in Huntington, then 85-74 in rematch Jan 27; Hilltoppers are 4-5 overall vs Marshall in C-USA games. WKU played four guys 32:00+ in 57-49 win over Old Dominion Friday- Hilltoppers won 17 of its last 21 games; they’re 9-7 vs teams ranked in top 125 this season. Marshall plays fast tempo; five of their last six games had 75+ possessions. Thundering Herd won nine of last 11 games; they played only seven guys last nite in fairly easy win over Southern Miss, with three of them playing 34:00+.

                          MAC tournament, Cleveland
                          Toledo star Fletcher got hurt last nite, is likely out here. Buffalo opened MAC play with a 104-94 home win over Toledo, just their 2nd win in last six series games. Toledo won its first two MAC tourney games by total of three points; they’re 4-3 in last seven games overall. Rockets played four starters 36:00+ last night in 64-63 win over EMU, making 12-22 on arc. Buffalo won its last five games, winning first two MAC tourney games by 15-17 points; Bulls have only one senior in their rotation- they played two guys 32:00+ in 78-61 win over Kent State last night.

                          Big West tournament, Anaheim
                          Road team won both Fullerton-Irvine games this season; Titans won first meeting 67-64, then lost rematch 63-58 at home Feb 3. Irvine won 11 of last 13 series games, but lost two of last three. Irvine won 10 of their last 12 games overall; they’re 11-4 in last 15 Big West tourney games; Anteaters won their first two tourney games by total of 4 points- they played only one guy more than 28:00 in ragged 61-58 win over UCSB. Fullerton won seven of its last nine games, winning first tourney games by 2-3 points. Three Titans played 32:00+ last night.

                          Pac-12 tournament, T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas
                          Arizona was +18 (40-22) on boards in 81-67 home win over USC in only meeting Feb 10; Wildcats won last four series games, and 10 of last 12. Arizona outscored UCLA 11-0 in OT win last nite; Wildcats played three starters 40:00+, a 4th starter 38:00. Wildcats won seven of their last eight games overall- three of their last six games went OT. USC won six of its last seven games; they won last two nights by 13-20 points, allowing 51 ppg. Trojans aren’t deep; they don’t have a backup PG right now- they used four starters 36:00+ last night, even in an easy win.

                          Comment


                          • NCAAB

                            Saturday, March 10


                            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                            Trend Report
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                            UMBC @ VERMONT
                            UMBC

                            No trends to report
                            VERMONT

                            No trends to report
                            CORNELL @ HARVARD
                            CORNELL

                            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cornell's last 5 games when playing Harvard
                            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cornell's last 6 games
                            HARVARD

                            Harvard is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cornell
                            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Harvard's last 5 games when playing Cornell
                            TEXAS-ARLINGTON @ LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE
                            TEXAS-ARLINGTON

                            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas-Arlington's last 6 games when playing Louisiana-Lafayette
                            Texas-Arlington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
                            LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE

                            Louisiana-Lafayette is 17-2 SU in its last 19 games
                            Louisiana-Lafayette is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Texas-Arlington
                            SAINT JOSEPH'S @ RHODE ISLAND
                            SAINT JOSEPH'S

                            Saint Joseph's is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
                            Saint Joseph's is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
                            RHODE ISLAND

                            Rhode Island is 19-3 SU in its last 22 games
                            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Rhode Island's last 5 games when playing Saint Joseph's
                            MEMPHIS @ CINCINNATI
                            MEMPHIS

                            Memphis is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
                            Memphis is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
                            CINCINNATI

                            Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
                            Cincinnati is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Memphis
                            ALABAMA @ KENTUCKY
                            ALABAMA

                            The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Alabama's last 19 games
                            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Alabama's last 7 games when playing Kentucky
                            KENTUCKY

                            Kentucky is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Alabama
                            Kentucky is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
                            NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL @ HAMPTON
                            NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL

                            No trends to report
                            HAMPTON

                            No trends to report
                            YALE @ PENNSYLVANIA
                            YALE

                            Yale is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
                            Yale is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
                            PENNSYLVANIA

                            Pennsylvania is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
                            Pennsylvania is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
                            GEORGIA SOUTHERN @ GEORGIA STATE
                            GEORGIA SOUTHERN

                            Georgia Southern is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Georgia State
                            Georgia Southern is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
                            GEORGIA STATE

                            The total has gone OVER in 8 of Georgia State's last 10 games
                            Georgia State is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games
                            ARKANSAS @ TENNESSEE
                            ARKANSAS

                            Arkansas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tennessee
                            Arkansas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tennessee
                            TENNESSEE

                            Tennessee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
                            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tennessee's last 5 games
                            DAVIDSON @ ST. BONAVENTURE
                            DAVIDSON

                            Davidson is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
                            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Davidson's last 5 games when playing St. Bonaventure
                            ST. BONAVENTURE

                            St. Bonaventure is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
                            The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Bonaventure's last 5 games when playing Davidson
                            HOUSTON @ WICHITA STATE
                            HOUSTON

                            Houston is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
                            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games
                            WICHITA STATE

                            The total has gone OVER in 11 of Wichita State's last 12 games
                            Wichita State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
                            TEXAS SOUTHERN @ ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF
                            TEXAS SOUTHERN

                            No trends to report
                            ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF

                            No trends to report
                            WEST VIRGINIA @ KANSAS
                            WEST VIRGINIA

                            West Virginia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
                            The total has gone OVER in 4 of West Virginia's last 5 games
                            KANSAS

                            Kansas is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
                            Kansas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing West Virginia
                            SAN DIEGO STATE @ NEW MEXICO
                            SAN DIEGO STATE

                            San Diego State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
                            San Diego State is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
                            NEW MEXICO

                            New Mexico is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
                            New Mexico is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
                            PROVIDENCE @ VILLANOVA
                            PROVIDENCE

                            Providence is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Villanova
                            Providence is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
                            VILLANOVA

                            Villanova is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
                            The total has gone OVER in 6 of Villanova's last 7 games
                            TOLEDO @ BUFFALO
                            TOLEDO

                            Toledo is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
                            The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toledo's last 8 games when playing Buffalo
                            BUFFALO

                            Buffalo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
                            Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
                            EASTERN WASHINGTON @ MONTANA
                            EASTERN WASHINGTON

                            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Eastern Washington's last 5 games when playing Montana
                            Eastern Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
                            MONTANA

                            Montana is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
                            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montana's last 5 games when playing Eastern Washington
                            MARSHALL @ WESTERN KENTUCKY
                            MARSHALL

                            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Marshall's last 6 games
                            Marshall is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
                            WESTERN KENTUCKY

                            Western Kentucky is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games
                            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Western Kentucky's last 5 games
                            NORTH CAROLINA @ VIRGINIA
                            NORTH CAROLINA

                            North Carolina is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
                            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of North Carolina's last 5 games
                            VIRGINIA

                            Virginia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
                            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Virginia's last 5 games when playing North Carolina
                            STEPHEN F. AUSTIN @ SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA
                            STEPHEN F. AUSTIN

                            No trends to report
                            SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA

                            No trends to report
                            USC @ ARIZONA
                            USC

                            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of USC's last 5 games
                            USC is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
                            ARIZONA

                            Arizona is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
                            Arizona is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing USC
                            GRAND CANYON @ NEW MEXICO STATE
                            GRAND CANYON

                            Grand Canyon is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
                            Grand Canyon is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Mexico State
                            NEW MEXICO STATE

                            New Mexico State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
                            New Mexico State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Grand Canyon

                            Comment


                            • Get to know your mid majors: Betting profiles for small conference teams in the NCAA Tournament
                              Ashton Grewal

                              The Spartans won outright as 8.5-point underdogs at NC State back in December.

                              The Gonzaga Bulldogs punched their ticket into the NCAA Tournament for a 20th consecutive season by winning the West Coast Conference in convincing fashion over BYU. From Dan Dickau to Adam Morrison to Kelly Olynyk – sports bettors are familiar with the Zags’ knack for making noise in March.

                              The program has grown too much under head coach Mark Few to be lumped in with the rest of the small conference teams filling out the field. The Bulldogs earned a No. 1 seed in the tournament a year ago and made it all the way to national championship game before bowing out to the Tar Heels.

                              Gonzaga is the exception not the rule when it comes to mid major teams. Most squads from the lesser conferences are unknown entities when they appear on the bracket.

                              Murray State Racers

                              Record: 26-5 SU, 17-11 ATS, 14-14 O/U
                              Conference: Ohio Valley champs

                              Best win: 17-point win against Belmont in the conference tournament championship game.

                              Worst loss: 14-point loss to the Saint Louis as a 3.5-point favorite.

                              What they do best: Murray State owns the 21st most efficient offense in the country and nets 1.119 points per offensive possession. The Racers aren’t a dominate 3-point shooting team but they are highly-effective when they do shoot from beyond the arc.

                              Weakness: They don’t devote many minutes to their big men and are better off when they’re playing small ball. A matchup against an opponent with a stacked frontcourt – like say Duke – in the first round would be less than ideal for Murray State supporters.

                              Radford Highlanders

                              Record: 22-12 SU, 5-4 ATS, 3-6 O/U
                              Conference: Big South champs

                              Best win: The Highlanders beat regular season Big South champs N.C. Asheville by 20 points at the start of conference play.

                              Worst loss: They lost by 12 points to Vanderbilt back in November. The Commodores finished with just 12 regular season wins and were the second worst team in the SEC.

                              What they do best: In a word – defend. The Highlanders allowed fewer than 54 points in each of their conference tournament games and only 17 other teams in college hoops surrendered fewer points per game during the regular season.

                              Weakness: They won’t be able to win in a shootout against an up-tempo team. Virginia Tech, for example, crushed Radford 95-68 in the first week of December.

                              Loyola-Chicago Ramblers

                              Record: 28-5 SU, 19-9-1 ATS, 12-17-1 O/U
                              Conference: Missouri Valley champs

                              Best win: They won 65-59 against Florida – a top contender to win the SEC tournament – in Gainesville.

                              Worst loss: Wisconsin-Milwaukee, a middle-of-the-pack MVC side, beat the Ramblers by 17 points in December.

                              What they do best: They don’t take bad shots and they run a balanced offense. Loyola-Chicago finished third in the country in field goal percentage (50.6) and it has five players averaging 10 or more points per game.

                              Weakness: The pace the Ramblers play will remind bettors of Virginia. They average just 66.9 possessions per game and aren’t comfortable playing a fast-break tempo. An effective pressing team like West Virginia wouldn’t suit Loyola-Chicago well.

                              Lipscomb Bison

                              Record: 23-9 SU, 4-2 ATS, 3-3 O/U
                              Conference: Atlantic Sun champs

                              Best win: They played preseason Atlantic Sun favorites three times with the last coming in the conference tournament final where they beat Florida Gulf Coast 108-96.

                              Worst loss: The Bison lost at home to New Jersey Tech at the beginning of February. That was the last game they lost.

                              What they do best: They find a way to get to the charity stripe. Made free throws account for 22.3 percent of the Bison’s points (28th highest in the country) and they draw the sixth most fouls per game at 21.6.

                              Weakness: This is Lipscomb’s first appearance in the Big Dance in the school history. Will nerves be a factor? They played well in their conference but Texas and Alabama destroyed them during non-conference play.

                              Iona Gaels

                              Record: 20-13 SU, 15-14 ATS, 16-12 O/U
                              Conference: MAAC champs

                              Best win: They beat conference regular season champion Rider by 27 points back in January.

                              Worst loss: The Gaels lost by 22 points at home to a Monmouth-NJ team that finished the season with just 11 wins.

                              What they do best: Shoot from deep. Iona averages 9.7 made threes per game and three of its main rotation players shoot 38.5 percent or better from beyond the arc.

                              Weakness: Don’t expect the Gaels to get many second chance points. They rank 303rd in the nation in offensive rebounding rate. They don’t want to play a team that defends the perimeter well and closes out hard on 3-point shooters. Kentucky and Virginia are two teams that could cause big problems for Iona.

                              NC-Greensboro Spartans

                              Record: 27-7 SU, 17-9-1 ATS, 11-16-1 O/U
                              Conference: Southern champs

                              Best win: The Spartans won outright as 8.5-point underdogs at NC State back in December.

                              Worst loss: They lost to East Tennessee State despite being listed as 8.5-point road chalk.

                              What they do best: Control the paint. The UNCG is tops in the Southern conference in offensive rebounding, rebounding margin and blocks per game.

                              Weakness: Their offense was middle in the pack in the conference and the Spartans don’t draw many fouls. They rank 331st in the nation in free throw attempts per game (15.5).

                              Wright State Raiders

                              Record: 25-9 SU, 18-13-1 ATS, 12-20-1 O/U
                              Conference: Horizon champs

                              Best win: The Raiders took down Georgia Tech on the road as 8.5-point underdogs.

                              Worst loss: They lost by 19 points at home against eventual Ohio Valley champion Murray State back in November.

                              What they do best: This is another team that hangs its hat on defense. The Raiders led the Horizon league in most key defensive statistics but the thing they do best is cause turnovers. Their opponents turned the ball over 20.7 percent per offensive possession which is the 32nd highest rate in all of college hoops.

                              Weakness: There’s not much flash to the Raiders’ offense and those turnovers they create gives them needed extra offensive possessions. They don’t want to face a team with multiple, strong ball handlers.

                              Charleston Cougars

                              Record: 26-7 SU, 15-14-1 ATS, 17-13-1 O/U
                              Conference: Colonial Athletic champs

                              Best win: The Cougars won outright as 3.5-point road underdogs against Northeastern at the beginning of February.

                              Worst loss: Cal Poly, the third worst team from the Big West, won just nine games this season. One of those came courtesy of Charleston.

                              What they do best: Execute down the stretch. The Cougars own the 18th best, second-half scoring margin at +5.2.

                              Weakness: They don’t own the boards as well as you’d hope particularly against weak competition in the CAA conference. They grabbed just 72.3 percent of their defensive rebounds and averaged only 8.4 offensive boards per game.

                              LIU Brooklyn Blackbirds

                              Record: 18-16 SU, 3-4 ATS, 2-4 O/U
                              Conference: Northeast champs

                              Best win: They beat conference regular season champ Wagner in the tournament final 71-61 as 9.5-point road underdogs.

                              Worst loss: Take your pick. The Blackbirds won their conference despite losing 16 of their 34 games.

                              What they do best: Defend the 3-point line. Their opponents shot a conference-low 32.5 percent from deep.

                              Weakness: LIU Brooklyn will likely be one of the smallest teams in the field. Two of its main contributors stand less than six feet tall and the lone big man in the rotation (Zach Coleman) only plays 22 minutes per game.

                              South Dakota State Jackrabbits

                              Conference: Summit League champs
                              Record: 28-6 SU, 19-9 ATS, 15-13 O/U

                              Best win: The Jackrabbits hopped past Iowa as 7.5-point underdogs on a neutral court.

                              Worst loss: They lost to Missouri State, a middle of the road team in the Missouri Valley conference, by 20 points.

                              What they do best: Shoot from deep. South Dakota State is ninth in the country in made 3’s per game (10.4), and hit 40.3 percent of its shots from beyond the arc during conference play.

                              Weakness: No team averaged more fouls per game (19.3 in conference games) in the Summit League than South Dakota State. A team that draws a lot of fouls and shoots a high percentage at the line – like Xavier – would be a tough draw for the Jackrabbits.

                              Comment


                              • Don't let bad NCAA tournament betting trends drive you mad this March
                                Jason Logan

                                Trends are as much a part of March Madness as a stack of blank brackets and that CBS college basketball theme song. You know the one: Da-da, Da-da, Da, Da-dum, Da-da, Dum!

                                Wrangling NCAA tournament trends is more difficult than any other major sport, mainly because player turnover in college hoops is pretty significant, especially in power conferences. The year-to-year makeup and talent level of programs fluctuate more than stock prices following a Trump tweet, and sports bettors should really watch it when it comes to putting any weight into these long-running stats.

                                Oh, you’ll hear some real doozies as it pertains to particular conferences and their ATS success in the national tournament over the last 20 years or betting trends tied to specific seedings (especially useless since they’ve changed the way they seed teams and added play-in games). And we are among the guilty purveyors of such hollow facts, as a lot of these trends – while completely f-ing worthless - are fun topics to discuss and weigh against matchups that qualify for debate.

                                I’ve always viewed historical trends as a slight nudge in direction (not saying it’s the right direction), like a trail of bread crumbs or moss growing on the north side of a tree. They’re a first step in the process and some are worthy of deeper exploration. But trends are very much just a single cog in the handicapping machine.

                                Things like recent form and current trends based on this season’s output should hold importance over the fact that No. 11 seeds set between +6 and +9.5 are covering at a 61 percent clip since 1998 (they’re not by the way. I just made up a ridiculous trend as an example. For God’s sake, don’t place a bet based on that).

                                How books treat trends

                                Perhaps the best way to measure the validity of historic NCAA tournament betting trends is to ask the guys who set the odds on each and every game: the bookmakers. And what you’ll get back from the bookies when it comes to their use of historic trends when setting their spreads and totals is an echoing “Nahhhhhhhhh”.

                                “Trends are generally ignored by oddsmakers. Historical trends with large samplings may carry some weight, but still it would be very minimal,” says Scott Cooley, an odds consultant for online book BetDSI. “In all, trends are something the public loves to point to, but they have almost no bearing on how oddsmakers proceed with their side of the business.”

                                In fact, some sportsbooks pointed to historical trends as their biggest weapon against the betting public. And it makes sense.

                                College basketball is a sharp market all the way through non-conference, conference, and Championship Week play, with the action about a 70/30 split in terms of wiseguys to public bets. Then Selection Sunday happens and suddenly everyone and their dog is a damn NCAA expert and talking about Loyola Chicago as a sleeper team they’ve been watching all season. I’m calling bullshit.

                                That same guy clucking away about RPI is advancing a team in his bracket or placing a wager solely based on some whack-ass trend he saw on Twitter about SEC schools struggling when giving double digits in the Round of 32 (again, just a made-up trend). And it’s not just game-by-game betting, it also lures unsuspecting bettors into the NCAA futures waters as well.

                                “One of the most beneficial trends to the books is that myth that any team can win March Madness,” says Matthew Holt, COO at CG Analytics which provides odds to multiple books in Las Vegas. “This myth normally creates a massive hold for the books in the futures market for college hoops. In fact, the college basketball futures market is the most lucrative to the books.”

                                A long-time oddsmaking contact always reminds me that lines are set to the public’s perception, and if the bettors are factoring in historic trends into their capping, the books will as well. As one bookmaker pointed out, a trend like a No. 1 seed never losing to a No. 16 may prompt a few extra cents on the moneyline for the top-seeded team knowing plenty of public players will tie those lofty moneylines to other wagers just to get a bit more bang for their buck.

                                Not all trends are bad

                                OK, we’ve said some terrible things about historic NCAA trends, many of which we can’t take back. That doesn’t mean ALL HISTORIC TRENDS should be thrown in the trash and/or sorted for recycling.

                                Leave it to long-time handicapper and gatekeeper of one of the biggest betting databases in the business, Marc Lawrence, to school me on the value of historic trends using this famous Winston Churchill quote, “Those who fail to learn from history are doomed to repeat it.”

                                Who am I to argue with the Prime Minister? But I’m pretty sure he didn’t have a bunch of dudes yelling “What the hell kind of shot was that?!” at a TV in mind when he said that.

                                Lawrence says by relying on past patterns we can better anticipate expectancy and by applying them to current form, we become better, well-rounded handicappers. He specifically points to trends as they pertain to head coaches, stating “Their personalities and traits are reflective on a team’s measure of success on the court.”

                                And it makes sense. Players come and go in the college ranks, but head coaches remain the same, as do their game plans, offensive playbook, and defensive philosophies. They recruit players that will fit their system, so those results are more stable and reliable than other historic NCAA trends.

                                “The coaches have a little more time to get their team ready for this first game than most games in the season, and the ones who have proven successful at this stage should be trusted,” says Covers Experts’ Brandon Shively. “New coaches are a wild card and I try to pass on them.”

                                Another trend used by not only handicappers but also showing up on the radar of bookmakers is a team’s defensive efficiency ranking. OK, OK. That’s not so much of a trend as it is a stat, but when you apply it to past Final Four teams, there’s an absolute trend bleeding through the bracket.

                                Looking back at the past six NCAA tournaments (2012 to 2017), no Final Four team has ranked outside of the Top 40 in defensive efficiency (points allowed per 100 possessions). Twelve of those 24 national semifinal programs have placed inside the Top 10 in that stat column (including seven in the Top 3) and the average defensive efficiency rating for Final Four teams is 13.6 since 2012 - a year in which the four semifinalists ranked No. 1, No. 3, No. 4, and No. 7 in that category.

                                “Few saw South Carolina's Final Four run coming last year. However, the Gamecocks ranked No. 3 in the country in defensive efficiency going into the tourney,” says Covers Experts Brian Power. “Gonzaga was No. 1 and, of course, made it all the way to the final. For the record, this year's top teams in defensive efficiency are Virginia, Cincinnati, Texas Tech and Tennessee. Make note of this.”

                                That means whether you’re filling out your bracket, taking a flyer on the futures, or betting game-to-game, you should really take a hard look at teams ranked Nos. 1-14 in defensive efficiency. It’s something oddsmakers admittedly look at when setting their outright odds for the Big Dance.

                                “Historic offensive and defensive efficiency data of past champions and Final Four teams are used to set the futures odds on the NCAA tournament,” says Greg R., a lines manager for online book GTBets. “It also helps if they play at a fast tempo.”

                                Mixing offensive pace into the NCAA sauce, along with defensive efficiency, you have a select number of qualifying teams this year: Duke, Michigan State and Gonzaga. Those power programs sit around +500, +600 and +2,500 respectively on the NCAA futures board.

                                Infamous 12 over 5

                                We couldn’t end this bad boy without mentioning the most notorious NCAA tournament trend of them all: No. 12 seed over a No. 5 seed.

                                Yes, this is a trend that shows up most times in March but is far from a given. Going back to 2012, all four No. 5 seeds have advanced past the Round of 64 just once in that span – in 2015 – and before that 2007 was the last time we saw this trend come up short. In that six-season span, No. 5 seeds are just 11-13 SU versus No. 12 seeds in the opening round.

                                When you throw a pointspread into this matchup, the No. 5 seeds have been a money pit, going just 8-16 ATS since 2012. They failed to cover in three of four matchups last March and were also 1-3 ATS in 2016. That said, the No. 5 seed is also 5-3 SU in those last two tournaments.

                                “I’m not a trends guy but from an observation stand point I’d say the No. 12 versus No. 5 matchup has been drawn out,” says Covers Experts Zack Cimini. “There was a time that the No. 12 seed teams warranted upset potential. Nowadays, the No. 5 seed has become more dangerous. These teams usually had their moments in-season and are rounding back into form.”

                                As a historical trend, I’m so weary of seed-based betting, but there’s no denying that the No. 12 over No. 5 trend has teeth - big nasty sand shark-looking ones – when you level the playing field with a spread.

                                Of course, as Mr. Lawrence proclaimed, trends like these allow bettors to “anticipate expectancy” and when measured against current form, you can pinpoint the value – or in this case the No. 5 least likely to cover the spread against the No. 12 seed.

                                Comment

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