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Cnotes 2017 NBA Best Bets-Trends-News Thru Playoffs !

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  • NBA

    Wednesday, December 6



    NBA's Best ATS Teams:

    1. Celtics 19-5-1 ATS
    2. Pistons 15-7-1
    t3. Sixers 15-8
    t3. Nets 15-8
    5. Pacers 15-9
    6. Jazz 15-10
    7. Rockets 13-9
    8. Knicks 13-10

    Comment


    • NBA notebook: Warriors' Curry out at least two weeks
      December 5, 2017


      Golden State Warriors star point guard Stephen Curry will be sidelined at least two weeks with a sprained right ankle, the team announced Tuesday.

      An MRI exam performed in Charlotte, N.C., displayed no structural damage and the Warriors said Curry will be re-evaluated in two weeks.

      The Warriors are in Charlotte for Wednesday's game against the Hornets.

      Curry injured the right ankle late in Monday's 125-115 win over the New Orleans Pelicans. Postgame X-rays were negative.

      --New York Knicks guard Tim Hardaway Jr., the team's second-leading scorer, will be sidelined for at least two weeks because of a "stress injury" in his lower left leg, the team announced.

      A stress injury means Hardaway has either a stress reaction or a stress fracture, with the latter being more serious. Based on information received from medical experts, the New York Post reported that a stress reaction could sidelined a player for two to six weeks, while a stress fracture could keep a player out for two months.

      Hardaway, who is averaging 17.8 points, has already missed two games because of the injury and he has begun the rehabilitation process.

      --San Antonio Spurs
      All-Star small forward Kawhi Leonard still doesn't know when he will make his season debut. But it could occur later this week.

      The soft-spoken Leonard has missed the team's first 24 games due to a quadriceps injury and said he is feeling good during his first interaction with reporters since Sept. 25.

      "I'm feeling pretty healthy right now," Leonard said. "I think they told you guys (reporters) that I've been playing five-on-five. So that's where I'm at right now. It's been good. Just still, just gotta go through a few more processes of doing that. I should be back soon."

      Speculation persists that Leonard could see action in Friday's home game against the Boston Celtics. But Leonard said there isn't a return date picked out.

      Comment


      • Hoop Trends - Wednesday
        December 6, 2017


        ATS TREND OF THE DAY:


        -- The Nuggets are 11-0 ATS (15.68 ppg) with less than two days rest off a loss in which they scored at least 30% of their points from threes.

        OU TREND OF THE DAY:

        -- The Magic are 0-15 OU (-13.13 ppg) at home off a double-digit loss as a dog in which they had at least five turnovers more than their season-to-date average.

        PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:


        -- The Cavaliers are 0-11 ATS (-14.64 ppg) at home after Kevin Love had a double double last game.

        CHOICE TREND:


        -- The Celtics are 0-11 ATS (-12.95 ppg) with rest off a doubledigit win in which they shot over 55% from the field.

        ACTIVE TRENDS:

        -- The Hornets are 0-10 ATS (-7.80 ppg) at home with rest when they are off two consecutive games in which they had six-plus double digit scorers.

        -- The Warriors are 9-0 OU (14.06 ppg) off a win in which Kevin Durant took more than 20 shots.

        Comment


        • Wednesday's Tip Sheet
          December 6, 2017


          Game of the Night: Wolves at Clippers – 10:35 PM EST


          These two Western Conference foes are hooking up for the second time in four days as Minnesota edged Los Angeles on Sunday night, 112-106. The Wolves failed to cover as hefty 12-point home favorites, while shooting 43% from the floor. Jimmy Butler led Minnesota with 33 points, while the Clippers’ starting backcourt of Lou Williams and Austin Rivers combined to score 53 points in the loss. Since dropping of six of seven to the Clippers since 2015, Minnesota has won three consecutive meetings against Los Angeles.

          The Wolves (14-11 SU, 10-13-2 ATS) have been pointspread poison in the favorite role recently by posting an 0-6-1 ATS record in the past seven opportunities when laying points. The latest pointspread defeat came in Monday’s 95-92 setback at Memphis as three-point favorites, helping the Grizzlies snap an 11-game losing streak. Minnesota has done a solid job of rebounding off a road loss this season by going 5-1 SU, but 2-4 ATS in this situation.

          The Clippers (8-14 SU, 9-13 ATS) return to Staples Center following the six-point setback at Minnesota, wrapping up an 0-2 road swing that included a 26-point defeat at Dallas last Saturday. Since beginning the season at 2-0 on their home court, Doc Rivers’ squad has slipped to 2-6 in the past eight home contests, while compiling only four ATS wins in the past 18 games since a 4-0 ATS start to the season.

          Sitting Steph

          The Warriors (19-6 SU, 12-13 ATS) picked up their fourth straight victory on their six-game road trip by erasing a 22-point deficit in Monday’s 125-115 triumph at New Orleans to barely cash as nine-point favorites. However, Golden State will be without MVP guard Stephen Curry for the next two weeks after he suffered a sprained ankle in the win. Curry will be unable to face the team he grew up watching, the Hornets, as Golden State seeks its seventh consecutive victory against Charlotte since 2014.

          The Hornets (9-13 SU, 10-11-1 ATS) continue to be a terrific home team after grabbing their eighth victory in 11 tries at Spectrum Center this season in Monday’s 104-94 victory over Orlando. Charlotte snapped a four-game losing streak, while improving to 7-1 SU/ATS as a home favorite. However, the Hornets have slumped to a 3-8-1 ATS record overall in the underdog role, while putting together a 1-2 SU/ATS mark as a home ‘dog.

          King vs. Kings

          Cleveland (17-7 SU, 9-14-1 ATS) is hitting its stride as the Cavaliers have run off 12 consecutive victories. LeBron James helped lead the Cavs to a 113-91 blowout over the rebuilding Bulls on Monday with 23 points, while Kevin Love and Dwyane Wade each put up 24 points to help Cleveland easily cash as nine-point favorites. Cleveland returns to Quicken Loans Arena to host Sacramento, as the Cavs try to improve on a dreadful 1-10-1 ATS home mark, which includes an 0-7 ATS ledger as a double-digit favorite.

          Sacramento (7-16 SU, 9-11-3 ATS) has performed well of late against the number by posting a 4-1-1 ATS record the last six games. The Kings rallied late against the Bucks on Saturday but fell short in a 109-104 defeat, as Sacramento covered 13-point underdogs, while eclipsing the OVER for the fourth straight game. Sacramento went into Cleveland last season as 10 ½-point ‘dogs and upset the Cavaliers in overtime, 116-112 to snap a four-game skid to the Eastern Conference champs dating back to 2015.

          Central Command


          The Bucks and Pistons are each coming off road losses on Monday as the two Central division rivals meet up in Milwaukee. Detroit captured the first matchup this season at home, 105-96 as 1 ½-point favorites, but Milwaukee rebounded with a 99-95 home triumph less than two weeks later as each game finished UNDER the total.

          Milwaukee (12-10 SU, 9-11-2 ATS) returns home after dropping a 111-100 decision at Boston on Monday, as the Bucks have won four of their past five games at BMO Harris Bradley Center. The Pistons (14-9 SU, 15-7-1 ATS) look to close out their four-game road swing with a victory after losing the first three games at Washington, Philadelphia, and San Antonio. In spite of the defeat to the Spurs on Monday, Detroit improved to 8-2 ATS this season in the role of a road underdog.

          Mav Plenty

          Following a 1-10 SU and 2-9 ATS start to the season, Dallas (7-17 SU, 10-14 ATS) has stepped up its play of late by covering in seven of the last 10 contests. The Mavericks are coming off a wire-to-wire 122-105 blowout of the Nuggets on Monday, as Rick Carlisle’s team picked up back-to-back wins for only the second time this season. The task doesn’t get easier on Wednesday with a trip to Boston as the Mavericks attempt to avenge a 110-102 overtime loss to the Celtics on November 20 as 6 ½-point underdogs.

          The Celtics (21-4 SU, 19-5-1 ATS) finish off a five-game homestand after coming off three straight wins over the 76ers, Suns, and Bucks. Boston has won all seven games against Western Conference foes this season, while the C’s are currently on an 8-1 OVER run overall.

          Head-to-Head Matchups

          -- The Pacers destroyed the Bulls in their first matchup at the United Center, 105-87 on November 10. The two Central division rivals hook up in Indianapolis as the Pacers have captured three of the past four home meetings with the Bulls. Chicago is riding a nine-game losing streak, while Indiana owns a perfect 5-0 SU/ATS record as a home favorite this season.

          -- The Magic and Hawks meet for the first time this season as the two Southeast division squads split four games last season. Atlanta has dropped seven of its last 10 games, while Orlando has lost 11 of its past 13 contests since an impressive 8-4 start.

          -- Since December 2013, the Grizzlies have captured seven of the past eight meetings with the Knicks, as New York’s only win in this stretch came last season at Madison Square Garden. Memphis ended an 11-game losing streak in Monday’s home victory over Minnesota, while New York has lost five of its past six contests.

          -- Denver ripped up New Orleans in its last matchup at Pepsi Center last month, 146-114, marking the Nuggets’ third straight win over the Pelicans since last April. New Orleans is riding a 1-4 run following Monday’s home setback to Golden State, while Denver has dropped six of its previous seven road contests.

          -- The Spurs have owned the Heat since Game 3 of the 2014 NBA Finals by winning 10 straight matchups. San Antonio cruised past Miami in its first meeting this season, 117-100, as the Spurs are 9-1 ATS in this stretch. The Spurs are rolling of late by winning five of their past six contests, while the Heat have lost three of their last four games.

          Comment


          • WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 6
            GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

            CHI at IND 07:00 PM
            IND -9.5
            U 207.5

            SAC at CLE 07:00 PM
            CLE -12.0
            O 209.5

            ATL at ORL 07:00 PM
            ATL +6.5
            U 217.0

            DAL at BOS 07:30 PM
            BOS -8.0
            O 201.5

            MEM at NY 07:30 PM
            NY -2.0
            O 196.0

            DEN at NO 08:00 PM
            NO -5.0
            O 222.0

            GS at CHA 08:00 PM
            GS -5.0
            O 214.5

            DET at MIL 08:00 PM
            DET +4.0
            U 204.0

            MIA at SA 08:30 PM
            MIA +8.0
            O 197.5

            MIN at LAC 10:30 PM
            MIN -5.0
            O 211.0

            Comment


            • NBA roundup: Cavs tie team record with 13th straight win
              December 7, 2017


              CLEVELAND -- LeBron James scored 32 points, and the Cleveland Cavaliers beat the Sacramento Kings 101-95 on Wednesday to tie a team record for consecutive wins.

              The Cavs won their 13th straight, and they can set a franchise record Friday against the Indiana Pacers. Cleveland previously won 13 in a row in March 2009 and in January-February 2010.

              Kevin Love scored 18 points with 13 rebounds for the Cavs, while Jeff Green scored 17 off the bench. Kyle Korver added 15 points as Cleveland rallied from a 14-point deficit in the third quarter.

              Zach Randolph paced the Kings with 18 points, and JaKarr Sampson set a career high with 16 rebounds.

              Warriors 101, Hornets 87

              CHARLOTTE, N.C. -- Kevin Durant totaled 35 points, 11 rebounds and 10 assists as Golden State beat Charlotte without Stephen Curry and Draymond Green.

              Durant finished 13 of 28 from the field and recorded his ninth career triple-double as the Warriors won while Curry sat with a sprained ankle and Green was out with a shoulder injury. Klay Thompson added 22 for the Warriors, who won their fifth straight and seventh in eight games.

              Kemba Walker led Charlotte with 24 points. Nicolas Batum added 15 and Dwight Howard finished with 14.

              Celtics 97, Mavericks 90


              BOSTON -- Kyrie Irving scored nine of his 23 points in the fourth quarter as Boston beat Dallas.

              Irving scored seven points in a span of 3:05 and then added another basket down the stretch to help Boston win its fourth straight. Al Horford had 17 points, eight rebounds, eight assists, three blocks and two steals. Rookie Jayson Tatum also scored 17 and grabbed 10 rebounds.

              Harrison Barnes led the Mavericks with 19 points and seven rebounds while Dirk Nowitzki had 16 points.

              Spurs 117, Heat 105

              SAN ANTONIO -- LaMarcus Aldridge scored 18 points to lead a parade of teammates in double figures as San Antonio Spurs beat Miami.

              Eight of the 11 players who saw the court for San Antonio scored in double figures as Bryn Forbes hit for 17 points, Rudy Gay scored 16 and Patty Mills had 13 points.

              Tyler Johnson led Miami with 25 points off the bench, while Dion Waiters scored 22 and Josh Richardson added 19.

              Pelicans 123, Nuggets 114

              NEW ORLEANS -- DeMarcus Cousins had 40 points and 22 rebounds, and Jrue Holiday was right behind with 27 points and seven assists to lift New Orleans over Denver.

              Playing without forward Anthony Davis, who missed his third consecutive game with a strained adductor, the Pelicans erased an early 10-point deficit by pounding the ball inside to Cousins.

              The Nuggets were led by Gary Harris with 24 points, but they dropped to 3-9 on the road.

              Knicks 99, Grizzlies 88

              NEW YORK -- Courtney Lee scored half of his 24 points in the second quarter as New York beat Memphis.

              Kristaps Porzingis returned from missing two games with an ankle injury to added 18 points on 8-of-19 shooting. Enes Kanter added 12 points and 12 rebounds for the Knicks, who won for the second time in seven games.

              Marc Gasol scored 17 points, and Tyreke Evans added 15 to lead the Grizzlies, who lost for the 11th time in 12 games.

              Bucks 104, Pistons 100

              MILWAUKEE -- Andre Drummond scored 27 points and grabbed 20 rebounds, but it was not enough for the Detroit in a loss to Milwaukee.

              Drummond hit 12 of 15 shots but Detroit shot just 41.9 percent as a team and went 10-for-30 from beyond the 3-point arc in its season-high fourth straight loss. Tobias Harris added 21 and Avery Bradley finished with 20 for the Pistons.

              Giannis Antetokounmpo scored 25 points and grabbed 10 rebounds for Milwaukee, which also got 22 points from Eric Bledsoe and 21 from Khris Middleton.

              Magic 110, Hawks 106 (OT)

              ORLANDO, Fla -- Evan Fournier led all scorers with 27 points but left Orlando's win over Atlanta early in the extra period with a badly sprained right ankle.

              Fournier hit 12 of 21 shots and scored the first basket in overtime before limping off the court after landing on Nikola Vucevic's foot during the follow-through of his running floater.

              Aaron Gordon had 24 points and a season-high 15 rebounds for Orlando (11-15) while Vucevic added 22 and a season-best 16 rebounds.

              Dennis Schroder led the Hawks (5-19) with 26 points and seven assists.

              Pacers 98, Bulls 96

              INDIANAPOLIS -- Victor Oladipo scored 11 of his 27 points in the fourth quarter, including a 3-pointer with 31.1 seconds left as Indiana rallied from a 16-point deficit in the final 9 1/2 minutes to beat Chicago.

              Oladipo made his shot after stealing the ball from Chicago's Denzel Valentine and was among five in double figures for Indiana. Bojan Bogdanovic added 17 points and Darren Collison contributed 14.

              Kris Dunn scored 19 points for Chicago, which dropped its 10th straight by getting outscored 29-13 and shooting 5 of 18 in the fourth quarter.

              Timberwolves 113, Clippers 107

              LOS ANGELES -- Karl-Anthony Towns totaled 21 points and 12 rebounds as Minnesota beat Los Angeles.

              Jimmy Butler and Jeff Teague added 19 points apiece for Minnesota, which shot 55 percent. Andrew Wiggins contributed 16 points as did Taj Gibson, who also grabbed 14 rebounds.

              Reserve Lou Williams and Austin Rivers led the Clippers with 23 points. DeAndre Jordan collected 18 points and 21 rebounds as Los Angeles fell to 0-4 since losing Blake Griffin for two months to a left knee injury.

              Comment


              • Hornets coach Clifford out indefinitely with 'health issue'
                December 6, 2017


                CHARLOTTE, N.C. (AP) Hornets coach Steve Clifford will be away from the team for an undetermined period of time to deal with a ''health issue.''

                The team made the announcement Wednesday in a release.

                The 56-year-old Clifford missed Monday night's game against Orlando because he was not feeling well. Associate head coach Stephen Silas filled in for Clifford against the Magic.

                Clifford has battled heart problems in the past, but a person familiar with the situation told The Associated Press the issue was not a heart-related. The person spoke to the AP on condition of anonymity because the team has not released details of Clifford's health issue.

                The team said there is no timetable for Clifford's return and that officials would have no further comment.

                Silas will continue to coach the team with Clifford out. The Hornets host Golden State Wednesday night.

                ''I just want to send him my best wishes,'' Warriors coach Steve Kerr said. ''Obviously I have been through some issues, and I don't know what his health issues are, but it's no fun. I'm wishing him well and I hope he gets back on the sideline soon. But more importantly I hope that he's healthy.''

                If the players know what is wrong with Clifford, they aren't saying.

                ''I feel like Cliff is one of those guys, no matter what is going on his life, he's always going to be here,'' Hornets forward Marvin Williams said. ''So for him to not be here now is a little bit concerning. I have texted back and forth with him a couple of times and he's texted back every time. He seems in good spirits. Whatever is going on with him I'm sure he's fine. If he has to step away to make sure he's OK, that's what is most important.''

                Williams said the team has confidence in Silas.

                ''We will continue to follow his lead,'' Williams said.

                Clifford underwent a procedure in 2013 - his first year as Charlotte's head coach - to have two stents placed in his heart, but returned to coaching just three days later. The procedure came after Clifford began experiencing chest pain while eating at a Charlotte restaurant and had to be taken by ambulance to the hospital.

                Clifford has since changed his diet and has been eating healthier.

                The Hornets were playing well at home under Clifford, but are just 9-13 overall heading into Wednesday night's game. They have struggled on the road, where they are 1-10 this season despite the play of All-Star Kemba Walker. The point guard is turning in another impressive season, averaging 22.7 points and 6.3 assists per game.

                Comment


                • SCHEDULE FOR THURSDAY DECEMBER 7, 2017
                  Time (ET) Away Home Site
                  8:00 PM Los Angeles Lakers Philadelphia 76ers Wells Fargo Center
                  9:00 PM Washington Wizards Phoenix Suns Talking Stick Resort Arena
                  10:00 PM Oklahoma City Thunder Brooklyn Nets Mexico City Arena
                  10:30 PM Houston Rockets Utah Jazz Vivint Smart Home Arena

                  ***********************

                  DECEMBER NBA BEST BETS & OPINIONS (BASED ON 5 UNITS )

                  DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

                  12/06/2017 10-8-2 55.55% +6.00
                  12/05/2017 5-1-0 83.33% +19.50
                  12/04/2017 6-10-0 37.50% -25.00
                  12/03/2017 5-5-0 50.00% -2.50
                  12/02/2017 7-8-1 46.66% -9.00
                  12/01/2017 4-12-0 30.00% -46.00

                  Totals.........27 - 36 - 1......42.85%.......63.00

                  BEST BETS:.......................ATS................... ......UNITS...........................O/U............................UNITS

                  12/06/2017..................2 - 2 - 1.........................-1.00..........................4 - 1 - 1......................+14.50
                  12/05/2017....................2 - 1...........................+4.50................. ..........3 - 0.........................+15.00
                  12/04/2017....................4 - 4...........................-2.00.............................1 - 3..........................-11.50
                  12/03/2017....................2 - 2...........................-1.00............................ 2 - 1..........................+4.50
                  12/02/2017....................1 - 3 - 1......................-11.50...........................4 - 3..........................+3.50
                  12/01/2017....................2 - 5 - 1......................-17.50...........................1 - 3..........................-11.50

                  Totals.......................13 - 17 - 3........................-28.50......................15 - 11 - 1.......................+14.50

                  Comment


                  • NBA
                    Dunkel

                    Thursday, December 7


                    LA Lakers @ Philadelphia

                    Game 701-702
                    December 7, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

                    Dunkel Rating:
                    LA Lakers
                    114.786
                    Philadelphia
                    118.865
                    Dunkel Team:
                    Dunkel Line:
                    Dunkel Total:
                    Philadelphia
                    by 4
                    226
                    Vegas Team:
                    Vegas Line:
                    Vegas Total:
                    Philadelphia
                    by 8
                    221
                    Dunkel Pick:
                    LA Lakers
                    (+8); Over

                    Washington @ Phoenix


                    Game 703-704
                    December 7, 2017 @ 9:05 pm

                    Dunkel Rating:
                    Washington
                    118.443
                    Phoenix
                    113.012
                    Dunkel Team:
                    Dunkel Line:
                    Dunkel Total:
                    Washington
                    by 5 1/2
                    224
                    Vegas Team:
                    Vegas Line:
                    Vegas Total:
                    Washington
                    by 7 1/2
                    215 1/2
                    Dunkel Pick:
                    Phoenix
                    (+7 1/2); Over

                    Oklahoma City @ Brooklyn


                    Game 705-706
                    December 7, 2017 @ 10:05 pm

                    Dunkel Rating:
                    Oklahoma City
                    122.310
                    Brooklyn
                    113.422
                    Dunkel Team:
                    Dunkel Line:
                    Dunkel Total:
                    Oklahoma City
                    by 9
                    207
                    Vegas Team:
                    Vegas Line:
                    Vegas Total:
                    Oklahoma City
                    by 7
                    215 1/2
                    Dunkel Pick:
                    Oklahoma City
                    (-7); Under

                    Houston @ Utah


                    Game 707-708
                    December 7, 2017 @ 10:35 pm

                    Dunkel Rating:
                    Houston
                    126.786
                    Utah
                    117.424
                    Dunkel Team:
                    Dunkel Line:
                    Dunkel Total:
                    Houston
                    by 9 1/2
                    203
                    Vegas Team:
                    Vegas Line:
                    Vegas Total:
                    Houston
                    by 5
                    208 1/2
                    Dunkel Pick:
                    Houston
                    (-5); Under





                    NBA
                    Armadillo's Write-Up

                    Thursday, December 7


                    Lakers are 5-3 in last eight games with Philly; road team won seven of last ten series games. Six of their last nine games stayed under total. Lakers lost their last five games; they’re 3-5 vs spread as road underdogs. Six of their last nine games went over the total. 76ers are 7-4 in their last 11 games; they’re 5-4 as home favorites (0-3 in last three). Five of their last seven games stayed under the total.

                    Wizards won four of last five games with Phoenix; they’re 0-3 vs spread in last three visits to the desert. Under is 7-2-1 in last ten series games. Devin Booker is out for Suns, a big blow. Washington is 4-6 in its last ten games; they’re 1-1 road favorites. Four of their last five games stayed under total. Phoenix lost six of its last eight games; they’re 3-6 as home underdogs. over is 8-3 in their last 11 games.

                    Thunder won three of last four games with Brooklyn; they’re 3-2 vs spread in last five visits here. Over is 4-2-1 in last seven series games. Thunder won last three games, by 4-3-6 points; they’re 0-6 vs spread in last six tries as a home favorite. Five of their last seven games stayed under total. Brooklyn is 4-7 in its last 11 games, 4-2 vs spread as home underdogs. Four of their last five games stayed under total.

                    Jazz won four of last six games with Houston; over is 8-2 in last ten series games. Rockets are 1-3 vs spread in last four visits to Salt Lake City. Houston won its last seven games (5-2 vs spread); they’re 7-2 as road favorites. Five of their last six games stayed under the total. Utah won six of its last seven games; they’re 3-1 as home underdogs. Under is 5-3 in their last eight games.




                    NBA

                    Thursday, December 7


                    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                    Trend Report
                    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    LA LAKERS @ PHILADELPHIA
                    LA Lakers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
                    LA Lakers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
                    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
                    Philadelphia is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games at home

                    WASHINGTON @ PHOENIX
                    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
                    The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Washington's last 16 games
                    Phoenix is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Washington
                    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing at home against Washington

                    OKLAHOMA CITY @ BROOKLYN
                    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
                    Oklahoma City is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
                    Brooklyn is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
                    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games

                    HOUSTON @ UTAH
                    Houston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
                    Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
                    Utah is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
                    Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home


                    ---------------------------------------------------------

                    NBA
                    Long Sheet

                    Thursday, December 7


                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    LA LAKERS (8 - 15) at PHILADELPHIA (13 - 10) - 12/7/2017, 8:05 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    LA LAKERS are 37-54 ATS (-22.4 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
                    PHILADELPHIA is 64-40 ATS (+20.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                    PHILADELPHIA is 33-19 ATS (+12.1 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
                    PHILADELPHIA is 140-107 ATS (+22.3 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
                    PHILADELPHIA is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) against Pacific division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
                    PHILADELPHIA is 29-11 ATS (+16.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
                    PHILADELPHIA is 29-13 ATS (+14.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
                    PHILADELPHIA is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
                    PHILADELPHIA is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
                    PHILADELPHIA is 39-70 ATS (-38.0 Units) in home games in December games since 1996.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    PHILADELPHIA is 3-2 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
                    PHILADELPHIA is 3-2 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
                    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    WASHINGTON (13 - 11) at PHOENIX (9 - 17) - 12/7/2017, 9:05 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    WASHINGTON is 18-36 ATS (-21.6 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game since 1996.
                    PHOENIX is 160-116 ATS (+32.4 Units) after allowing 115 points or more since 1996.
                    PHOENIX is 44-27 ATS (+14.3 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
                    WASHINGTON is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
                    WASHINGTON is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
                    WASHINGTON is 56-36 ATS (+16.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    PHOENIX is 4-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
                    WASHINGTON is 4-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
                    3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    OKLAHOMA CITY (11 - 12) vs. BROOKLYN (9 - 14) - 12/7/2017, 10:05 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) in all games this season.
                    OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) as a favorite this season.
                    OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) in the first half of the season this season.
                    OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    BROOKLYN is 2-2 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
                    OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-1 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
                    2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    HOUSTON (18 - 4) at UTAH (13 - 12) - 12/7/2017, 10:35 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    HOUSTON is 36-20 ATS (+14.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
                    HOUSTON is 36-21 ATS (+12.9 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
                    HOUSTON is 112-83 ATS (+20.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    UTAH is 4-4 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
                    UTAH is 4-4 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
                    6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                    Comment


                    • NBA Betting Roadmap: Is Rudy Gobert's return good for the Jazz?
                      Al McMordie

                      There has been a lot of belly-aching about the non-competitiveness of the NBA, with the Golden State Warriors being far and away the league's best team. But that seemingly hasn't put a lid on fan interest. Nationally televised games are up 32 percent this season, and viewership is at the highest level since LeBron James' first season with the Miami Heat.

                      Of course, it's also possible that the numbers would be even higher if there were teams that could threaten Golden State's supremacy. The NBA, though, never seems to lack storylines, so let's check out what's happening in the Association.

                      Spread Watch

                      Necessity is sometimes the mother of invention. Would Golden State have been so quick to realize the talent of Draymond Green had David Lee not gotten injured? Likewise, in Utah, it took an injury to star center Rudy Gobert for coach Quin Snyder to move to a spread offense.
                      When Gobert was healthy, Snyder played him alongside Derrick Favors and had another non-shooter (Ricky Rubio) at the point. So with a dearth of shooting, the opposing defense could easily guard the paint. When Gobert went down, Snyder moved Favors to the center position, and inserted Jonas Jerebko as a stretch four and the Jazz offense went thru the roof.

                      Gobert recently came back but in the 11 games that he missed Utah went 7-4 SU/ATS, including 5-0 SU/ATS in the last five games before he returned. The Jazz also outscored their foes by 19.85 ppg in those last five games. Since Gobert's return, the Jazz have gone 1-1 straight-up, but 2-0 ATS. And Utah's pointspread win streak is now at seven games!

                      Will it continue? I'm not overly-optimistic. Coach Snyder has returned to starting Gobert, Favors and Rubio together, which means the defenses can go back to clogging the paint. And the other issue is that, when one really scrutinizes Utah's schedule, it becomes obvious that the offensive success can be partially attributed to the opponents played. Indeed, in Utah's last 13 games, it only played two teams currently ranked among the Top 15 in adjusted defensive efficiency (76ers, Thunder). And in those two games against the 76ers and Thunder, the Jazz had their two worst offensive games throughout this 13-game stretch, and scored 86 and 94 points, respectively. In the 11 games vs. the teams that currently rank among the 15 worst defensive teams, the Jazz averaged 112.54 ppg.

                      This week, Utah will face Houston at home, on Thursday, and Milwaukee on the road, on Saturday. Given that the Rockets currently rank No. 5 in adjusted defensive efficiency, don't be surprised if Utah's seven-game ATS win streak gets snapped by James Harden & Co.

                      Total Watch

                      The Washington Wizards have missed point guard John Wall, who is recovering from a knee injury, for the last six games, and seven of the last nine. Over this stretch Washington has gone 3-4 straight-up, and has also gone 5-2 Under the total. For the season, the Wizards are 16-8 Under the total, including 13-3 their last 16.

                      This week, the Wizards will continue to play without their floor leader, and will take on the Phoenix Suns on Thursday, and the Los Angeles Clippers, on Saturday. I look for another relatively low-scoring game vs. the Suns, as 13 of the last 18 meetings between these two clubs have gone Under the number.

                      Injury Watch

                      The San Antonio Spurs have played the entire season minus their best player, Kawhi Leonard, yet the Spurs are 16-8 straight-up and 12-11-1 ATS. Last season, at this juncture, the Spurs were 19-5 straight-up, and 11-12-1 ATS. So, the fact that they are just three games off last year's pace has to be considered a huge victory for Gregg Popovich's crew.

                      The good news is that Leonard should be back this week, as he's been engaged in 5-on-5 drills, which is the final stage of the Spurs' rehabilitation schedule.

                      San Antonio has home dates on deck vs. Miami (Wednesday) and Boston (Friday), before traveling to Phoenix, on Saturday, to take on the Suns. Of these games, the match with the Eastern Conference-leading Celtics is the most interesting from a betting standpoint, given that Boston already blew out the Spurs earlier this year, 108-94, in Beantown. So, look for the Spurs to avenge that defeat (with or without Leonard), as San Antonio is 40-26 ATS in the regular season when playing with revenge from a 14-point (or worse) defeat earlier in the year to its opponent.

                      Schedule Watch

                      Earlier this season, the Dallas Mavericks handed the Milwaukee Bucks a 32-point defeat - Milwaukee's worst loss of the past two seasons. But you know what they say about "Paybacks!"

                      Look for the Bucks to avenge that loss this upcoming Friday, in Milwaukee. That's because .633 (or worse) NBA teams, playing with revenge from a 19-point (or worse) upset loss, have gone 86-47-3 ATS as favorites since 2000. Additionally, the Bucks are 11-4-1 ATS at home vs. Dallas since 2000. Take Milwaukee on Friday.

                      Comment


                      • How the return of Kawhi Leonard impacts the Spurs and NBA bettors
                        Ashton Grewal

                        Kawhi Leonard, the preseason co-favorite to win this year's MVP award, could make his season debut Friday night for the San Antonio Spurs with the East-leading Boston Celtics in town.

                        It was Game 5 of the 2013 NBA Finals, with about two minutes left in the first half, and LeBron James - then with the Miami Heat - was at the free throw line. He missed the first and the horn buzzed signaling a player substitution for the San Antonio Spurs. Kawhi Leonard was checking in for Danny Green and James was not happy to see it.

                        That's how the rest of the NBA, outside of Spurs backers, are feeling right now with Leonard expected to make his season debut on Friday when San Antonio hosts the Boston Celtics in the late game of the ESPN NBA doubleheader. Ashton Grewal breaks down what the impact of his return means to the betting landscape.

                        Refresher

                        The last time bettors saw the corn-rowed one on the floor he was ripping the Warriors to pieces in Game 1 of the Western Conference finals, until Golden State center Zaza Pachulia slid under his feet on a closeout and injured Leonard’s ankle in the process.

                        The Spurs were winning by 21-points at the time of the injury and Leonard already had 24 points and eight rebounds in the game. San Antonio ended up losing Game 1 by two points and never came close to competing with the Warriors the rest of the series with Leonard out the lineup.

                        Gregg Popovich’s team is 16-8 straight up and 12-11 against the spread on the year without Leonard and went 13-6 SU and 8-11 ATS without him the previous two seasons.

                        Adjusted Odds

                        We received varying opinions on what the spread would look like in Friday’s marquee matchup between the Spurs and Celtics. Jeff Stoneback, director of trading for MGM Resorts sportsbooks, predicted the Spurs would be 3-point chalk without Leonard and 9-point faves with him. Jason Simbal, CG Technology vice president of risk, forecasted the Spurs would be favored by two points with Leonard and 1-point home underdogs if they faced the C’s without Kawhi.

                        Stoneback thinks Leonard is worth about six points to the spread for the Spurs while Simbal had it at three points.

                        As for the NBA futures market, nothing changes here – barring a further setback to Leonard’s health. Vegas knew Leonard would return and priced the Spurs odds to win the NBA championship as if he would be 100 percent by the time the postseason rolled around.

                        Last May, the Westgate SuperBook opened San Antonio at +1,000 to win the 2018 NBA championship and the club is now listed at +1,200. That puts the Spurs behind the Golden State Warriors (-250), the Cleveland Cavaliers (+500) and the Houston Rockets (+800).

                        If you had told a San Antonio Spurs backer that Kawhi Leonard was going to miss at least the first 25 games of the regular season, that person probably would have thought twice before betting the Over on the Spurs’ season win total. But here we are at the quarter pole of the campaign, the Spurs are on pace to win 55 games (a half game more than their 54.5 season win total) and Leonard hasn’t played a minute yet.

                        MVP Chances

                        Big things were expected from the 2014 NBA Finals MVP. He was coming off his second All-NBA First Team season and oddsmakers installed him as the preseason, co-favorite with LeBron James to win the 2018 MVP at +400.

                        Bad luck for anyone who did take Leonard at that price. His MVP odds have dropped to +2,000, and rightly so. Bill Walton is the only player to miss 20 or more games and still be named regular season MVP of the league. He won the MVP despite playing only 58 regular season games for the 1977-78 Portland Trail Blazers.

                        Spurs new rotation

                        Leonard’s return would mean a return to the pine for Kyle Anderson, which would be good news for Spurs backers. Anderson has improved as a pro but he’s rotation player at best in the league. San Antonio defense is 4.3 points lower per 100 possessions when Anderson isn’t on the floor. Leonard's on/off court defensive statistics weren't great last year but we all know what the guy can do when defending. Just ask Ben McLemore.

                        San Antonio runs post-up action with about 11 percent of its offensive possessions - which is tops in the league. Last year the Spurs were fourth in the league in most frequent post ups with about nine percent of their sets dumping it down on the block. Don't expect more isolation plays with Leonard back in the fold. Popovich's teams over the years are normally always close to the bottom in iso actions per game.

                        The Spurs' offensive efficiency should improve as soon as Leonard shakes off the rust. San Antonio averaged 105.3 points per game last year and is at 101.3 per game this season. It might be a wise move to play the Over in the first couple games with Leonard back in the mix.

                        Comment


                        • NBA

                          Thursday, December 7



                          NBA's Top OVER Teams:

                          1. Suns 16-10
                          2. Pelicans 14-11
                          t3. Warriors 14-12
                          t3. Magic 14-12
                          5. Hawks 13-10-1

                          NBA's Top UNDER Teams:

                          1. Blazers 17-7
                          2. Grizzlies 16-7-1
                          3. Wizards 16-8
                          4. Thunder 15-8
                          5. Heat 15-9

                          Comment


                          • Inside the Paint - Thursday
                            December 7, 2017


                            Favorites went 10-0 straight up in the NBA last night and that’s been the theme of this week’s action with the ‘chalk’ going 25-4 since Sunday.

                            Fortunately there’s a point-spread and that’s where the underdogs have remained somewhat competitive. The ‘dogs went 5-4-1 against the spread last night and they’re 13-15-1 ATS in the last 29 games. Total players have seen the ‘under’ go 19-9-1 since the start of the week.

                            Thursday’s card has four games and below is my quick handicap.

                            L.A. Lakers (8-15 SU, 10-13 ATS) at Philadelphia (13-10 SU, 15-8 ATS)

                            These teams squared off on Nov. 15 from the Staples Center and the 76ers captured a 115-109 win over the Lakers as four-point road favorites. Even though Los Angeles couldn’t buy a shot (38.5%) all night, this was a tight game and the 76ers outscored the Lakers 32-25 in the final 12 minutes to secure the win. Philadelphia center Joel Embiid had arguably his best game of his career, finishing with 46 points, 15 rebounds and seven assists.

                            The oddsmakers are expecting Philadelphia to complete the season sweep on Thursday, opening the club as an eight-point favorite. The 76ers have been installed as home favorites 10 times this season and they’ve been a profitable 7-3 SU and 6-4 ATS. However, they did just surrender a 115-101 setback at home to the Suns on Monday as 10-point favorites. That loss dropped the team to 2-3 SU and 1-4 ATS over its last five games, which has been the worst stretch this season for the club at the betting counter.

                            Los Angeles enters this game with a five-game losing skid (1-4 ATS) and three of the setbacks came by double digits. Away from home, L.A. has been much worse (2-8 SU, 3-7 ATS) this season and the two wins came against the Phoenix Suns.

                            Since neither team has been in great form, my next look is at the statistics for both teams and the Lakers are at a clear-cut disadvantage to the 76ers in almost every category. From a situational standpoint, the 76ers have gone 6-1 off a loss since they started the season 0-3 and I would expect them to keep that trend rolling along. Sticking with that thought, I would probably lay the points too knowing Los Angeles has only been able to cover two of its 15 losses and 10 of the defeats were by eight-plus points.

                            TNT will provide national coverage of this game at 8:05 p.m. ET.

                            Washington (13-11 SU, 13-11 ATS) at Phoenix (9-17 SU, 12-13-1 ATS)

                            This isn’t an easy game to handicap since both teams won’t have their best players on the court. Washington point guard John Wall (knee) is still nursing an injury and Phoenix just lost Devin Booker (groin) for a couple weeks.

                            Washington opened as a 7 ½-point road favorite and it’s coming off a solid 106-92 win at Portland on Tuesday. You could be hesitant to lay the points tonight when you realize the Wizards haven’t won back-to-back games since mid-November. They have been solid on the road (7-6 SU, 9-4 ATS) and will be facing a Suns team that has been worse in the desert (4-9 SU, 4-9 ATS) this season.

                            Also, Phoenix is playing its first game back from a six-game road trip and those situations are never easy plus the injury to Booker is a major factor. With healthy rosters, the Suns ran past the Wizards 122-116 on Nov. 1 as 11-point road underdogs. Prior to that setback, Phoenix had dropped four straight to Washington but it has managed to go 4-1 ATS over this span.

                            Total bettors could be scratching their heads for this matchup knowing the Wizards (16-8) have been a great ‘under’ lean this season but Phoenix owns the best ‘over’ (16-10) mark in the NBA. The total (215 ½) for the rematch is 13 points lower (228 ½) than the aforementioned meeting and that should put the injuries into perspective.

                            Oklahoma City (11-12 SU, 7-15-1 ATS) at Brooklyn (9-14 SU, 15-8 ATS) from Mexico City

                            The NBA heads ‘South of the Border’ for this matchup and the Thunder (-7 ½) are expected to leave Mexico City with the win. Oklahoma City swept the season series between the pair last season and both games were decided by double digits (18, 19).

                            Despite lacking talent and playing with a short-handed roster due to injuries, the Nets have been much more competitive this season. They’ve covered eight of their last nine games and the lone ATS loss came when they were favored. Meanwhile, Oklahoma City has been a nightmare for bettors, especially on the road (2-9 SU, 2-9 ATS).

                            The Thunder do enter this game with a three-game winning streak but the wins came by four, three and six points. Another win would get the club back to .500 and it should be noted that OKC has gone 5-3 versus the Eastern Conference this season.

                            Brooklyn has seen its totals mark (11-11-1) produce back-and-forth results all season but Oklahoma City has clearly identified itself as a solid ‘under’ (15-8) bet and that includes a 7-1 record in games versus foes from the East.

                            Houston (18-4 SU, 13-9 ATS) at Utah (13-12 SU, 15-10 ATS)

                            TNT will provide cover of this late-night tip at 10:35 p.m. ET and it features a pair of hot teams on the hardwood and at the betting counter. Houston has won seven straight and 13 of its last 14 games after starting the season 5-3. They’ve been an impressive 10-4 ATS during the run and they’ve been laying some healthy prices during this stretch as well.

                            The offseason acquisition of PG Chris Paul from the Clippers didn’t seem like the right fit and he missed 14 straight game due to knee soreness. However, he returned on Nov. 16 and while his numbers haven’t been off the charts (12.4 PPG, 9.8 APG), you can’t dismiss the fact that Houston remains undefeated (8-0) this season when plays.

                            Keeping that record intact on Thursday won’t be easy against Utah. The Jazz just had their six-game winning streak snapped on Tuesday as they dropped a 100-94 decision at Oklahoma City. Utah managed to earn the cover (+8) and that pushed its ATS streak to 7-0.

                            The 94-point effort against the Thunder was the lowest offensive output for the Jazz during this span and what’s surprising is that Utah’s leading scorer Rodney Hood (ankle) has missed the last five games. He’s listed as ‘questionable’ on Thursday but they could certainly use him knowing they’ll be playing their third game over a four-day span.

                            The Rockets blasted the Jazz 137-110 on Nov. 5 as 6 ½-point home favorites as James Harden went off for a season-high 56 points. The ‘over’ easily cashed (204) and that’s been a solid wager in this series lately with the high side connecting in four straight and eight of the last 10. The Jazz have picked up their pace and scoring lately but still remain a solid defensive team (98.8 PPG) and the recent return of Rudy Gobert solidifies the unit more.

                            Houston owns the best road record (10-1 SU, 8-3 ATS) in the league and it opened as a five-point favorite for this contest. Even though the Rockets have been lights out this season, Utah should still have confidence considering it has won four of the last six meetings against Houston and the Rockets are just 2-4 in their last six trips to Salt Lake City.

                            Comment


                            • Hoop Trends - Thursday
                              December 7, 2017



                              ATS TREND OF THE DAY:


                              -- The 76ers are 11-0 ATS (11.32 ppg) with more than one day of rest.

                              OU TREND OF THE DAY:


                              -- The Jazz are 15-0 OU (11.93 ppg) as a dog after a loss in which they led by double-digits.

                              PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

                              -- The Thunder are 0-10 ATS (-11.25 ppg) as a favorite after Russell Westbrook had at least half of the teams assists

                              CHOICE TREND:

                              -- The Suns are 11-0 ATS (8.14 ppg) as a home dog off a doubledigit loss in a road game.

                              ACTIVE TRENDS:

                              -- The Thunder are 0-7 ATS (-9.29 ppg) after Russell Westbrook was the high scorer last game.

                              -- The Wizards are 0-7 ATS (-8.00 ppg) as a favorite after Bradley Beal had more than 30 points last game.

                              Comment


                              • THURSDAY, DECEMBER 7
                                GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


                                LAL at PHI 08:00 PM
                                PHI -8.5
                                U 221.0

                                WAS at PHO 09:00 PM
                                PHO +7.0
                                O 212.5


                                OKC at BK 10:00 PM
                                BK +6.5
                                O 214.5

                                HOU at UTA 10:30 PM
                                UTA +6.5
                                O 209.5

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