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Cnotes 2017 Canadian Football League Picks/Trends/News thru Grey Cup !!

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  • Cnotes 2017 Canadian Football League Picks/Trends/News thru Grey Cup !!

    Saturday’s six-pack

    — Last five years, NFL underdogs coming off their bye week are 38-32 vs the spread.

    — Last five years, NFL favorites of 7+ points coming off a bye are 9-8-2 vs spread.

    — Drew Pomeranz left Friday night’s start with back spasms. Max Scherzer was scratched from his start at San Diego with another neck issue.

    — Mets traded Curtis Granderson to the Dodgers after Friday’s loss.

    — Angels’ rain delay in Baltimore last night was their first of the season.

    — DL happenings:
    Cardinals put Adam Wainwright (elbow) on the DL
    Cubs put Jon Lester (shoulder) and Justin Grimm (finger) on the DL
    Twins put OF Robbie Grossman (thumb) on the DL
    Nationals put Max Scherzer (neck) on the DL

    *************************

    Saturday’s List of 13: Clearing out a cluttered mind……..

    13) Rashard Davis returned punts for the Eagles Thursday night; the free agent from James Madison was signed earlier this week.

    Last Saturday, while the chaos in Charlottesville was going on, Davis was working as a waiter in a restaurant in Charlottesville near the park where the mayhem with the statue of Robert E Lee occurred. He was hiding from his boss in the restaurant as he took calls from his agent updating him on the Eagles’ deal.

    One day you’re a waiter, the next day you’re playing ball on national TV. Pretty cool.

    12) Something to think about when college football kicks off next weekend; only one of the last 19 national champs lost a non-conference game, Ohio State in 2014 (to Virginia Tech).

    11) There were 345 replay reviews in the NFL last year, the fewest since 2009, and 70 less than in 2015.

    10) 130 free agents changed teams in the NFL this offseason, also the fewest since 2009.

    9) Bill Belichick’s coaching record: 263-125
    Tom Brady won-loss record: 208-61
    Belichick’s record without Brady: 55-64

    8) Baltimore Ravens play in London in Week 3, but they don’t have the usual bye the next week- they host their rival, the Steelers. Ravens don’t have their bye until Week 10.

    7) Penn State gave coach James Franklin a 6-year contract extension, worth $34.3M. Franklin is 25-15 at PSU, 14-11 in league games, 1-2 in bowl games; Nittany Lions were 11-3 last year.

    6) Jacksonville kicker Jason Myers struggled in Thursday night’s loss to Tampa Bay, now they’re bringing in Dan Carpenter to compete with Myers. Maybe it is contagious; Jacksonville lost to the Buccaneers Thursday, who just fired their kicker last weekend.

    5) Le’Veon Bell’s agent had an agreement with the Steelers on a contract back in mid-July, but Bell nixed the deal at the last minute. Not sure if that was a great move by him.

    4) Arizona football coach Rich Rodriguez is being sued by his old agents for $230,250; he fired them a couple of years ago, but they say he didn’t pay them enough. Rodriguez agreed to pay them 10% of the money he made from CBS Sports Network, 4% of his money from Arizona.

    Rodriguez is a good dude; I have no idea about this lawsuit, but when he left CBS to coach at Arizona, the crew at CBS left his chair empty for their first show without him, thats how much they thought of him.

    3) During the Blue Jays-Cubs game Friday, the Cubs’ roving reporter interviewed hockey star Patrick Sharp, who was sitting in the stands. Sharp grew up rooting for the Jays, but he tried to be political saying which team he was rooting for.

    2) Not the best week to be a statue, eh? Except for the home run sculpture in Miami, which Dade County says can’t be taken out of Marlins Park.

    1) Some good news for Marlins’ fans; David Samson is out as team president. This is a guy who was president of a baseball team who went on Survivor during baseball season— he was the first person voted out on Survivor.

    At one point, he was Marlins owner Jeffrey Loria’s stepson. Now the Marlins are rid of Loria and Samson, and they’re much better off.

  • #2
    Saturday, August 19, 2017
    Time (ET) Away Home
    4:00 PM Montreal Alouettes Toronto Argonauts

    *****************************

    WEST DIVISION


    RK TEAM GP W L T PTS F A HOME AWAY DIV


    1 Edmonton 8 7 1 0 14 230 202 4-0-0 3-1-0 2-1-0

    2 Calgary 8 6 1 1 13 275 162 3-0-0 3-1-1 3-0-0

    3 Winnipeg 8 6 2 0 12 274 247 3-1-0 3-1-0 2-2-0

    4 BC 9 5 4 0 10 245 243 2-2-0 3-2-0 2-4-0

    5 Saskatchewan 7 3 4 0 6 197 172 3-1-0 0-3-0 1-3-0


    EAST DIVISION

    RK TEAM GP W L T PTS F A HOME AWAY DIV


    1 Montreal 7 3 4 0 6 162 159 3-1-0 0-3-0 1-1-0

    2 Toronto 8 3 5 0 6 185 225 2-2-0 1-3-0 3-1-0

    3 Ottawa 9 2 6 1 5 251 247 1-3-1 1-3-0 2-2-0

    4 Hamilton 8 0 8 0 0 148 310 0-4-0 0-4-0 0-2-0

    Comment


    • #3
      CFL Betting Notes - Week 9

      Saturday, Aug. 19

      Montreal Alouettes (3-4 SU, 4-3 ATS) vs. Toronto Argonauts (3-5 SU, 2-6 ATS)
      Point-spread: OFF
      Total: OFF


      Game Overview


      Montreal comes into the backend of this home-and-home series with a chance to cement its place at the top of the East Division standings despite the SU losing record. In last week’s win at home, Darian Durant did enough at quarterback to get his team that much needed victory by completing 18-of-27 passes for 237 yards and two scores. This was just the third time this season that the Alouettes scored more than 20 points.

      The Argonauts have been outscored by a combined 40 points during this current SU three-game losing streak and they have failed to cover in their last five games. The loss of quarterback Ricky Ray for last week’s game did not help the cause with backups Cody Fajardo and Jeff Mathews combining for 142 yards through the air while connecting on 18 of their 28 passing attempts. Ray remains day-to-day heading into this week’s games.

      Betting Trends


      -- With last week’s victory, Montreal has won seven of the last eight meetings both SU and ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in five of the last six meetings in Toronto.

      ************************

      CFL
      Long Sheet

      Week 9


      Saturday, August 19

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      MONTREAL (3 - 4) at TORONTO (3 - 5) - 8/19/2017, 4:00 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      MONTREAL is 3-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
      MONTREAL is 3-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
      3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      -------------------------------------------------------------------

      CFL

      Week 9

      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Trend Report
      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


      Saturday, August 19


      4:00 PM
      MONTREAL vs. TORONTO
      The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Montreal's last 17 games when playing Toronto
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
      Toronto is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Montreal
      Toronto is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Montreal


      ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      CFL
      Armadillo's Write-Up

      Week 9


      Montreal (3-4) @ Toronto (3-5)— Alouettes (-9) beat Toronto 21-9 at home last week, game that was 18-3 at haftime; Argonauts had only 142 passing yards in the game. Toronto lost its last there games, by 11-17-12 points, allowing 33.3 pts/game; Argos split their four home games; under is 5-3 in their games. Montreal is 0-3 on road, losing by 4-1-5 points, including a 51-50 loss at Winnipeg when they led by 13 with 1:00 left. Under is 5-2 in Alouette games this season. Under is 7-1-1 in last nine series games.

      ******************************

      CFL
      Dunkel

      Week 9


      SATURDAY AUGUST 19, 2017 Click Date To See Games

      Montreal
      @
      Toronto


      Game 357-358
      August 19, 2017 @ 4:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating: Montreal
      113.165
      Toronto
      108.770
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total: Montreal
      by 4 1/2
      56
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total: Toronto
      by 2 1/2
      51
      Dunkel Pick: Montreal
      (+2 1/2); Over

      Comment


      • #4
        cfl last 9 games:

        Date w-l-t % units record

        08/18/2017 4-0-0 100.00% +20.00
        08/17/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
        08/13/2017 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
        08/12/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
        08/11/2017 1-1-0 0.00% -0.50
        08/10/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
        08/05/2017 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
        08/04/2017 2-2-0 50.00% -100
        08/03/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
        07/29/2017 3-1-0 75.00% +950
        07/28/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +1000
        07/27/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
        07/22/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +1000
        07/21/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +1000
        07/20/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +1000
        07/19/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50

        totals............25 - 13........65.78%.....+ 54.00

        Comment


        • #5
          Revenge spot for Argos?
          The Al's are also 0-3 on the road.
          Winning is one thing, covering is EVERYTHING!!

          Comment


          • #6
            Originally posted by Steveoreno View Post
            Revenge spot for Argos?
            The Al's are also 0-3 on the road.
            I've never bet on the CFL but may start :) Thanks for posting this stuff. Pumped to learn.

            Comment


            • #7
              CFL
              Dunkel

              Week 9


              Saturday, August 19

              Montreal @ Toronto

              Game 357-358
              August 19, 2017 @ 4:00 pm

              Dunkel Rating:
              Montreal
              113.165
              Toronto
              108.770
              Dunkel Team:
              Dunkel Line:
              Dunkel Total:
              Montreal
              by 4 1/2
              56
              Vegas Team:
              Vegas Line:
              Vegas Total:
              Toronto
              by 2 1/2
              51
              Dunkel Pick:
              Montreal
              (+2 1/2); Over





              CFL

              Saturday, August 19


              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              Saturday's CFL betting preview and odds: Alouettes at Argonauts
              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              Darian Durant completed 18-of-27 passes for 237 yards and two touchdowns against Toronto to move past Sam Etcheverry (30,381) for 14th place on the CFL's all-time passing yardage list with 30,484

              Montreal Alouettes at Toronto Argonauts (-2.5, 52)

              The Montreal Alouettes can take sole possession of first place in the East Division when they hit the road to face the Toronto Argonauts in the second game of a home-and-home set Saturday. The Alouettes held the Argonauts to 296 yards of total offence en route to a 21-9 victory in the first matchup and hope to claim the season series, which would hand them the all-important tiebreaker, by registering their third consecutive home victory.

              "We wanted to make sure we play 60 minutes this week," Montreal defensive back Brandon Stewart told reporters. "Keep playing, don't relax and don't let up." Toronto hopes the likely return of Ricky Ray can provide the boost it needs to end a three-game skid. Ray took the majority of the first-team reps in practice after missing Friday's defeat because of a shoulder injury, and looks to breathe some life into a listless offence that was held without a touchdown for the first time this season in Week 8. "I'll be throwing a lot these next few days but I'm hoping I'll be ready to go," Ray told reporters. "Just having some rest last week and not doing anything other than rehab really helped it feel better this week."

              TV:
              4 p.m. ET, TSN, RDS

              LINE HISTORY:
              The Argos opened as 2.5-point chalk and that number appears fine with bettors and has yet to move. The total hit the betting board at 52 and hasn’t moved off the opening number.

              ABOUT THE ALOUETTES (3-4 SU, 4-3 ATS, 2-5 O/U):
              Darian Durant completed 18-of-27 passes for 237 yards and two touchdowns against Toronto to move past Sam Etcheverry (30,381) for 14th place on the CFL's all-time passing yardage list with 30,484. Montreal traded backup quarterback Vernon Adams Jr., who appeared in 22 games for the Alouettes, to the Saskatchewan Roughriders in exchange for defensive back Tevaughn Campbell and two third-round draft picks. Montreal's win against the Argonauts came at a cost as offensive lineman Philippe Gagnon, defensive tackle Keith Shologan and fullback J.C. Beaulieu all suffered knee injuries and will miss Saturday's clash.

              ABOUT THE ARGONAUTS (3-5 SU, 2-6 ATS, 3-5 O/U):
              Toronto struggled mightily without Ray as Jeff Mathews was limited to 67 passing yards in the first half before he was pulled in favour of Cody Fajardo, who threw for 75 yards and added another 60 on the ground against the Alouettes. Toronto released wide receiver Khalil Paden, who caught nine passes for 107 yards during his brief stint with the team, after failing to make an impact on the field. Former Ohio State star DeVier Posey, who has caught two touchdown passes in 2017, is inching closer to a return as he practiced for the first time after missing the last five games because of a leg injury.

              TRENDS:

              * Alouettes are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games.

              * Argonauts are 1-10 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

              * Under is 5-1 in Alouettes last 6 games following a ATS win.

              * Under is 6-1-1 in Argonauts last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.

              * Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Toronto.

              CONSENSUS:
              The road dog Alouettes are picking up 73% of the action from Covers users and the Over is picking up 52 percent of the totals wagers.

              EXTRA POINTS:

              * Toronto leads the CFL in forced fumbles (nine) and sacks (27) .

              * Montreal WR Nik Lewis needs four receptions to move into second place on the CFL's all-time list.

              * Alouettes LB Kyries Hebert was fined an undisclosed amount for his late hit on Fajardo in the first meeting.

              Comment


              • #8
                SATURDAY, AUGUST 19

                GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

                MTL at TOR 04:00 PM

                MTL +2.0

                U 50.5

                Comment


                • #9
                  RECAP
                  ARGOS AIR IT OUT EN ROUTE TO 38-6 WIN OVER ALS


                  TORONTO — The Toronto Argonauts channelled some of the excitement of the neighbouring Canadian National Exhibition on Saturday at BMO Field, where they dominated the visiting Montreal Alouettes en route to a 38-6 victory.

                  Ricky Ray threw for 377 yards and a quartet of touchdowns in the win for Toronto (4-5), while the double-blue defence limited Montreal (3-5) to just 163 yards of offence.

                  Facing his former team, Argos receiver S.J. Green was nothing short of dominant in catching nine passes for 145 yards and two spectacular touchdowns.

                  Saturday’s contest was over by the half; Toronto scored four majors in the second quarter to pull away, while allowing Montreal just 77 total offensive yards in the opening 30 minutes.

                  The lone bright spot on the afternoon for the Alouettes was receiver Nik Lewis, whose six catches vaulted him over Ben Cahoon and into second on the CFL’s all-time receptions list

                  The Argos opened the scoring on their first possession of the afternoon, as Ray led the Boatmen down the field on a methodical eight-play drive before finding S.J. Green in the end zone through double coverage. The ensuing Lirim Hajrullahu convert made it 7-0 Toronto.

                  Montreal then drove the length of the field on a 10-play drive only to have the 11th play, a Darian Durant pass, intercepted on the Argos goal line by Toronto linebacker Cassius Vaughn.

                  A catch-and-run touchdown for Declan Cross early in the second quarter was brought off the board by a holding penalty; two plays later, Ray aired one out to the end zone via S.J. Green airways for a 28-yard touchdown connection. Hajrullahu’s convert then made it 14-0 for the double blue.

                  Toronto found the end zone on the very next play, as Alouettes return man Stefan Logan muffed a punt and rookie Justin Tuggle returned the loose ball for a scoop and score. Hajrullahu’s convert pushed the Argos’ lead to 21-0.

                  The hosts continued to dominate, and Declan Cross found the end zone again — this time legally — on a 13-yard touchdown pass from Ray. Hajrullahu’s fourth convert of the afternoon brought the Toronto lead to 28-0.

                  Armanti Edwards got in on the action in the final minute of the first half, hauling in a seven-yard Ray pass for a touchdown; following Hajrullahu’s convert, Toronto took a 35-0 lead into the locker room.

                  Hajrullahu sent a 54-yard field goal attempt wide right late in the third quarter.

                  It was Montreal’s defence that broke the Argo shutout bid with 30-odd seconds left in quarter, as Dominique Tovell stepped up and intercepted Ray for a 61-yard pick-six. Durant’s two-point convert attempt fell incomplete, and the score stood at 35-6.

                  A 22-yard chip shot from Hajrullahu rounded out the afternoon’s scoring.

                  Defensive leaders in Saturday’s contest for Toronto included Tuggle, who in addition to his scoop and score had three tackles and a pass breakup, and Marcus Ball, who recorded a team-high six tackles. Montreal defensive Dondre Wright registered a game-high eight tackles.

                  Drew Willy took over at quarterback for Montreal on its final possession, relieving Durant after an underwhelming 14-for-27, 93-yard, one-interception performance on the veteran’s 35th birthday.

                  The win was not without a cost for the Argos, who lost starting cornerback Akwasi Owusu-Ansah and slot back Anthony Coombs to injury.

                  The Alouettes will face a short week, with the Winnipeg Blue Bombers due to pay them a visit on the Week-10 edition of Thursday Night Football (Aug. 24, 7:30 p.m. ET), while Toronto will head west for a date with the red-hot Calgary Stampeders on Saturday night (Aug. 26, 9 p.m. ET).

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    WEEK 10

                    Thursday, August 24, 2017

                    Time (ET) Away Home
                    7:30 PM Winnipeg Blue Bombers Montreal Alouettes

                    Friday, August 25, 2017

                    Time (ET) Away Home
                    9:30 PM Saskatchewan Roughriders Edmonton Eskimos

                    Saturday, August 26, 2017

                    Time (ET) Away Home
                    3:30 PM British Columbia Lions Ottawa Redblacks
                    9:00 PM Toronto Argonauts Calgary Stampeders

                    ***********************

                    WEST DIVISION

                    RK TEAM GP W L T PTS F A HOME AWAY DIV


                    1 Edmonton 8 7 1 0 14 230 202 4-0-0 3-1-0 2-1-0

                    2 Calgary 8 6 1 1 13 275 162 3-0-0 3-1-1 3-0-0

                    3 Winnipeg 8 6 2 0 12 274 247 3-1-0 3-1-0 2-2-0

                    4 BC 9 5 4 0 10 245 243 2-2-0 3-2-0 2-4-0

                    5 Saskatchewan 7 3 4 0 6 197 172 3-1-0 0-3-0 1-3-0

                    EAST DIVISION

                    RK TEAM GP W L T PTS F A HOME AWAY DIV


                    1 Toronto 9 4 5 0 8 223 231 3-2-0 1-3-0 4-1-0

                    2 Montreal 8 3 5 0 6 168 197 3-1-0 0-4-0 1-2-0

                    3 Ottawa 9 2 6 1 5 251 247 1-3-1 1-3-0 2-2-0

                    4 Hamilton 8 0 8 0 0 148 310 0-4-0 0-4-0 0-2-0

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Will be watching out for these.

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Tuesday’s six-pack

                        — 92% of the bets placed have been placed on Conor McGregor for Saturday’s fight, but 79% of the money bet is on Floyd Mayweather.

                        — Indians 5, Boston 4— Andrew Miller/Carlos Santana left with injuries, but Cleveland now has a 6-game lead in AL Central.

                        — Jay Bruce is 16 for 44 (.364) since joining the Indians.

                        — 78 of Colorado’s 124 games this season have been started by rookie pitchers.

                        — The last preseason #1 team to win a college football national title? USC in 2004.

                        — San Francisco Giants have been eliminated from playoff contention already, the earliest any team has been eliminated since 1998.

                        ********************

                        Tuesday’s List of 13: Nobody asked me, but…….

                        13) New Jersey Jets have had five head coaches since Bill Parcells left after the 1999 season; here are their records— their first season with the Jets, then the rest of the tenures after.

                        2000— Al Groh: 1st year: 9-7. Left after that season
                        2001-05— Herm Edwards: 1st year: 10-6. Rest of tenure: 29-35
                        2006-08— Eric Mangini: 1st year: 10-6. Rest of tenure: 13-19
                        2009-14— Rex Ryan: 1st year: 9-7. Rest of tenure: 37-43
                        2015-present— Todd Bowles: 1st year: 10-6. Since then: 5-11

                        Total: 1st year of tenure: 48-32. Other seasons: 84-108

                        I have no explanation for this, but these are the facts- they are not in dispute.

                        12) Jets’ QB Christian Hackenberg got hit so hard by a Detroit lineman the other night, I actually feared for his health when I saw a replay of the hit. That one had to hurt……a lot.

                        11) Showtime did an excellent reality series last year following Florida State football; they did one on Notre Dame the year before (I didn’t see that one). This year, they’re following the Navy Midshipmen, which should be interesting, seeing how ballplayers at military academies have to really be good time managers, given their workloads.

                        10) Part of the reason the Rams paid a King’s ransom for Jared Goff last spring was that they projected ahead to the Class of ’17 QB’s and they didn’t like what they saw. Something to think about if some of this year’s rookie QB’s get on the field early this season.

                        9) On April 17, the Orioles traded pitcher Parker Bridwell to the Angels for a player to be named later or cash. Bridwell is now 7-1, 2.88 in 11 starts for the contending Angels, with a WHIP of 1.17. If not for Aaron Judge, Bridwell might’ve been Rookie of the Year in the AL.

                        8) Scott Tolzien is the Indianapolis Colts’ likely starter in Week 1; he has suited up for 51 NFL games in his seven NFL seasons, played in only 9 games, starting three (0-2-1 W-L record). He’s thrown 128 NFL passes, with two TD’s, seven INT’s.

                        But he also went 21-5 as the starting QB at Wisconsin, so best not to underestimate him.

                        7) Cardale Jones is the 3rd-string QB for the Chargers; he was 7-15 for 61 yards against the Saints Sunday in a dismal 13-7 loss. Chargers’ only TD was scored by their defense.

                        Jones left Ohio State early- he started only 11 games for the Buckeyes. If I had to advise a young quarterback, I would advise him to play as much college football as humanly possible, for more than one reason:

                        — Experience makes you a better player; the more you practice, the better your skills become.
                        — Experience makes you more confident in your abilities; the more situations you see, the better you will handle the more advanced competition in the NFL.
                        — You’re older and more physically mature; NFL players are very large grown men.

                        6) Broncos-Raiders is a bitter rivalry and always has been, but this year’s games should get a boost in intensity. Bill Musgrave is Denver’s new QB coach this season, after the Raiders let him walk after two years of being Oakland’s offensive coordinator.

                        I’m sure there are no hard feelings.

                        5) Geniuses at ESPN showed Sonny Gray’s pitching line on the crawl on the bottom of the screen Sunday night; when it showed he had no strikeouts, they were kind enough to add (0 K’s, career low), as if we couldn’t figure out ourselves that zero would be his career low. Oy.

                        4) Steelers’ coach Mike Tomlin believes live tackling in practice is a necessity to properly prepare for the season; SI.com‘s Peter King wrote this weekend that of all the training camps he visited this summer, Pittsburgh/Seattle were by far the most physical.

                        Most teams are so paranoid about players getting hurt that live tackling is non-existent in most practices.

                        3) Anquan Boldin retires after 14 years in the NFL and 1,076 receptions; he started out as a QB at Florida State. When he played for the Cardinals, he broke his cheekbone while catching a TD pass and tried to talk his way into staying in the game. Tough guy. Great player.

                        2) I’m thinking that there will be chaos in some NFL front offices in 10 days or so, when 1,184 free agents hit the streets. Lousy teams will be working the phones, trying to improve their rosters wherever they can by picking up guys the better teams cut. Will be some guys starting for teams in Week 1 who haven’t been on that team for very long.

                        1) Lot of people are touting Tennessee Titans as a Cinderella team in the AFC, but one thing they better do if they’re going to make the playoffs— beat the Colts. Indianapolis is 15-1 in its last 16 games against Tennessee. That obviously needs to change if the Titans are really contenders.

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          CFL Betting Recap - Week 9
                          August 19, 2017


                          League Betting Notes

                          -- Favorites went 4-0 SU in Week 9
                          -- Favorites went 4-0 ATS in Week 9
                          -- Home/road teams posted a 2-2 SU record in Week 8
                          -- Home/road teams posted a 2-2 ATS record in Week 8
                          -- The 'Under' went 2-1-1 in Week 9

                          Analysis

                          It was a 'chalky' week in the CFL as all four favorites won straight up and against the spread. All four of the matchups were divisional battles and things got a little interesting in the competitive West as Edmonton suffered its first loss of the season while Calgary inched closer with a road victory.

                          Even though we saw three teams post 30-plus points on the scoreboard, the 'under' produced a 2-1-1 record in Week 9.

                          Team Betting Notes

                          -- For the second straight week, British Columbia looked like a different team, especially on the offensive side of the ball. After getting embarrassed 41-8 at Saskatchewan in Week 8, the Lions were stifled 21-17 at home last Friday. It was the first time this season that BC had dropped back-to-back games. The 'under' has now cashed in three straight and is 6-3 overall.

                          -- Edmonton's chances of going undefeated this season were haulted on Friday as the club dropped a 33-26 decision at Winnipeg. The Eskimos were listed as short road underdogs and were catching points for just the third time this season. The 'over' connected in the setback and is now 4-1 in their last five games.

                          -- Hamilton (0-8) remained winless on the season as it suffered a 37-18 home loss to Ottawa on Friday. The Tiger-Cats actually held a 10-6 lead after the first quarter at Tim Horton's Stadium before getting outscored 31-8 over the final 45 minutes. The T-Cats haven't held an opponent under 30 points this season, which has helped the 'over' go 5-2-1. The team will be off in Week 10 and returning on Sept. 4 versus Toronto.

                          -- The Alouettes and Argonauts completed their home-and-home series on Saturday and Toronto earned the split at home. Montreal earned a 21-9 win at home in Week 8 but it was all Argos on Saturday as they cruised to a 38-6 victory. They led 35-0 at halftime but only a combined nine points were scored in the final 30 minutes, which helped the 'under' sweep the series. With the win, Toronto is back in first place of the East division.

                          -- The RedBlacks snapped their second three-game skid of the season on Friday with a road win over Hamilton. Bettors should note that Ottawa is now 4-0 ATS on the road this season despite going 1-3 SU.

                          -- The Blue Bombers extended their winning streak to four games this past Thursday with their 33-26 home win over previously unbeaten Edmonton. The club is 3-1 ATS during this run and is 6-2 overall versus the number, which is the best mark in the CFL. Winnipeg hits the road for back-to-back games over the next two weeks.

                          -- Saskatchewan was on bye in Week 9 but will be tested next Friday when its visits Edmonton, who is coming off its first defeat of the season.

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            CFL Betting Notes - Week 10
                            August 21, 2017


                            Edmonton’s perfect straight-up start to the season through its first seven games finally came to an end last Thursday in a 33-26 road loss to Winnipeg in a game that closed as a pick.

                            In the first of two CFL Friday night games, Ottawa got a much needed 37-18 victory on the road against winless Hamilton as a 3 ½-point favorite.

                            Later that night in a big West Division battle, Calgary hammered out a 21-17 win against rival British Columbia in a game that ended as a PUSH with the Stampeders closing as four-point favorites on the road.

                            In the backend of an East Division home-and-home tilt, Toronto evened the score with a 38-6 pasting of Montreal as a slight 1 ½-point home favorite.

                            Thursday, Aug. 24

                            Winnipeg Blue Bombers (6-2 SU, 6-2 ATS) vs. Montreal Alouettes (3-5 SU, 4-4 ATS)
                            Point-spread: Winnipeg -1
                            Total: 55


                            Game Overview

                            The Blue Bombers’ offense continues to score points in bunches and this unit has now posted at least 33 points in each of the team’s last six games while going 5-1 both straight-up and against the spread. Behind the throwing arm of Matt Nichols, Winnipeg is averaging 34.3 points per game. He has thrown for 2,414 yards and 14 touchdowns in his first eight games. Andrew Harris is second in the CFL in rushing with 495 yards on the ground.

                            Montreal will be out for revenge in this game following an earlier 41-40 loss to Winnipeg this season on the last play of the game. The Alouettes closed as four-point road underdogs in that Week 6 contest. More recently, they came up flat in this past Saturday’s loss against Toronto as part of a home-and-home series. This was the fifth time this season that Montreal failed to score more than 20 points in a game.

                            Betting Trends


                            -- The home team has won four of the last six meetings SU and Montreal has a 4-1 edge ATS in the last five meetings. The total has gone OVER in three of the last four games in this inter-division clash.

                            Friday, Aug. 25

                            Saskatchewan Roughriders (3-4 SU, 4-3 ATS) vs. Edmonton Eskimos (7-1 SU, 3-5 ATS)
                            Point-spread: Edmonton -6
                            Total: 53 ½

                            Game Overview

                            The Roughriders went into last week’s bye fresh off an impressive 41-8 romp against British Columbia as three-point home underdogs to earn a 1-1 split in that home-and-home series. The total has stayed UNDER in three of their last four games. Kevin Glenn completed 19-of-25 passing attempts for 320 and three touchdown throws in that victory against the Lions at home; however Saskatchewan is 0-3 SU (1-2 ATS) in three previous road games this season.

                            Edmonton’s seven-game SU run finally came to an end last week, but the Eskimos went down with a fight despite trailing Winnipeg that entire game. Mike Reilly put the ball up 33 times against the Blue Bombers and he completed 20 passes for 356 yards and two scores to go along with one interception. He is third on the list in the CFL when it comes to total passing yards with 2,685 and second in touchdown throws with 15.

                            Betting Trends

                            -- Two of the last three meetings were decided in overtime and going back to the 2014 regular season, Edmonton has a 7-2 SU edge in the West Division clash. Saskatchewan has covered in the last three meetings and the total has gone OVER in three of the last four games.

                            Saturday, Aug. 26

                            British Columbia Lions (5-4 SU, 4-4-1 ATS) vs. Ottawa RedBlacks (2-6-1 SU, 6-3 ATS)
                            Point-spread: Ottawa -2 ½
                            Total: 55


                            Game Overview

                            BC has now dropped three of its last four games SU and it is 1-2-1 ATS with last week’s PUSH against Calgary. The total has stayed UNDER in the last three games with the offense posting a combined 55 points. This was after this same unit averaged 31.7 points through its first six contests. Jonathon Jennings got the start last week against the Stampeders and he went 26-for-38 for 240 yards and a score against two interceptions.

                            RedBlacks’ quarterback Trevor Harris continues to set the pace in the CFL with a league-high 2,862 passing yards and 18 scoring strikes through the air. He lit up Hamilton last week for 394 yards and two passing touchdowns while connecting on 75 percent of his 48 passing attempts. Ottawa’s six losses this season were by a combined 20 points.

                            Betting Trends

                            -- The Lions won both meetings last season SU and ATS with the total evenly split 1-1. BC has a slight 4-2 SU edge going back six games and the series is tied 3-3 ATS over that same span. The total has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in five of the six meetings.

                            Toronto Argonauts (4-5 SU, 3-6 ATS) vs. Calgary Stampeders (6-1-1 SU, 4-3-1 ATS)
                            Point-spread: Calgary -10
                            Total: 54 ½


                            Game Overview

                            Toronto got Ricky Ray back at quarterback for the backend of its home-and-home series last week and the result was a much needed win that has the Argonauts in first place in the watered-down East Division. His sore shoulder was obviously not an issue with 377 total yards passing and four touchdown throws. Ray completed an amazing 81.4 percent of his 43 passing attempts against Montreal.

                            The Stampeders continue to make their move towards the top spot in the West with a SU four-game winning streak while going 3-0-1 ATS. They remain the highest scoring team in the CFL with an average of 34.5 PPG and their defense is holding opposing teams to 20.3 points a game. Bo Levi Mitchell has been putting up some pretty impressive numbers of his own at quarterback with 2,318 yards passing and 13 touchdown throws, but last Friday night’s effort against BC was not one of his best with a completion rate of just 48.4 percent.

                            Betting Trends


                            -- Calgary won the first meeting this season 41-24 on Aug. 3 as a six-point road favorite. The total easily went OVER the 54-point closing line. The Stampeders have now won the last seven meetings SU and they are 5-2 ATS.

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                            • #15
                              Thanks for posting these.

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