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Free Service Plays Thursday 12/12/2013

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  • Free Service Plays Thursday 12/12/2013

    Please post Today's service plays in this thread. Please do not clutter this thread or make requests for specific plays. We post everything that we can find.

    Please PM Clincher, Zipp or one of the other mods if you have any issues. We thank you for your continued support.

  • #2
    Re: Free Service Plays Thursday 12/12/2013

    Thursday night prop bets: Chargers at Broncos

    Are you looking for some extra Props to bet on for Thursday night's AFC West matchup between the Chargers and Broncos? We've got all you need to know right here.

    Props courtesy of LVH Superbook.


    TOUCHDOWN -200

    Peyton Manning threw a 74 yard TD to Julius Thomas less than six minutes into the game when these teams faced off in Week 10.


    OVER 292.5 -110
    UNDER 292.5 -110

    Philip Rivers has averaged 298.6 passing yards per game this season, but only 239 per game in his last three meetings with Denver.


    OVER 1.5 -145
    UNDER 1.5 +125

    Rivers has thrown for only one TD the last time these teams met.


    OVER 28.5 -110
    UNDER 28.5 -110

    Since joining the Broncos, Manning is averaging 24.3 completions per game in the last three games vs. the Chargers


    OVER 3.5 +140
    UNDER 3.5 -160

    Manning threw four TDs versus the Chargers in Week 10.


    OVER 90.5 -110
    UNDER 90.5 -110

    Eric Decker had three receptions on five targets for 52 yards and zero TDs in the Week 10 matchup vs. the Chargers.


    YES -135
    NO +115

    Demaryius Thomas has scored at least one TD in the last three meetings with the Chargers. He scored three in Week 10.


    OVER 4.0 +115
    UNDER 4.0 -135

    There were six total sacks back when these team met in Week 10.


    OVER 23.5 -110
    UNDER 23.5 -110

    The Chargers have averaged 22.3 points in the last three games vs. the Broncos.


    OVER 33.5 -110
    UNDER 33.5 -110

    The Broncos average 39.6 points per game this season, but average 31 points per game in the last three games vs. the Chargers.


    • #3
      Re: Free Service Plays Thursday 12/12/2013

      Broncos look to keep rolling Thursday vs. Chargers

      Kickoff: Thursday, 8:25 p.m. ET
      Line: Denver -10.5, Total: 55.5

      The Chargers try to keep their slim playoff hopes alive with a visit to the Broncos on Thursday night and facing a quarterback with the last name of Manning for the second straight week.

      San Diego is coming off its largest win of the year, a 37-14 drubbing of Eli Manning's Giants, while Denver crushed the Titans 51-28, behind four touchdown passes from Peyton Manning, who now has 45 TD this year. Since joining the Broncos, Manning is 3-0 (2-1 ATS) versus the Chargers, throwing for 909 yards, 10 TD and 2 INT. This includes his 330 yards, 4 TD and 0 INT in a 28-20 win in San Diego on Nov. 10. But Chargers QB Philip Rivers is also having a career year (26 TD, 9 INT), which has put his team in the thick of the AFC Wild Card race at 6-7, just one game behind Baltimore for the sixth playoff spot. Rivers' 244 passing YPG, 25 TD and 12 INT as a starter in this series with the Broncos is a big reason why his team is 9-6 SU (9-5-1 ATS) in the past 15 meetings. Denver is 13-3 ATS (81%) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since Manning joined the team, but San Diego is 6-3 ATS (67%) in the final four weeks of the regular season since 2011. While the Chargers don't have any major injuries to cope with, the Broncos will likely be without WR Wes Welker (concussion), and have four others who are questionable in CB Champ Bailey (foot), OT Orlando Franklin (concussion), DE Derek Wolfe (illness) and WR/KR Trindon Holliday (shoulder).

      The Chargers are a pedestrian 3-4 SU (3-3-1 ATS) on the road this year, but their offense has not been the issue with 24.6 PPG on 430 total YPG away from home. But the defense has allowed 24.4 PPG on 408 total YPG to host teams, while forcing just five turnovers in these seven contests. San Diego currently ranks fourth in the league in total offense (401 YPG) and passing offense (289 YPG), thanks to the second-highest time of possession (32:49). This has occurred because of a stellar third-down conversion rate of 48%, which ranks second in the NFL. But the Chargers are scoring only 24.3 PPG (T-11th in NFL) because of a poor red-zone offense (51% touchdown rate, 23rd in league). QB Philip Rivers has completed 70.3% of his passes this season for 3,882 yards (8.4 YPA), which includes a 72.3% completion rate and 8.8 YPA on the road. With the disruptive Broncos defense allowing just 55.8% completions to visiting quarterbacks this year, Rivers' accuracy will be key to his team sustaining drives and keeping Denver's offense on the sidelines. Rivers has plenty of weapons in the passing game with his top three targets all recording more than 60 receptions in WR Keenan Allen (902 rec. yards, 5 TD), TE Antonio Gates (776 rec. yards, 3 TD) and RB Danny Woodhead (534 rec. yards, 6 TD). San Diego's ground game hasn't been great this season (112 YPG, 20th in NFL; 3.9 YPC, 23rd in league), but it has picked up over the past five games with 125 rushing YPG on 4.1 YPC. Top RB Ryan Mathews (885 rush yards, 5 TD) has rushed for more than 100 yards in four of his past eight games, including 103 yards in last week's win. Mathews had 59 yards on 14 carries (4.2 YPC) and a touchdown in the Week 10 loss to Denver. Defensively, San Diego has been horrible in all aspects, allowing 4.8 yards per carry and 8.4 yards per passing attempt, both of which rank 31st in the 32-team league. This has led to 383 total YPG allowed (28th in NFL) despite being on the field for just 27:37 (2nd-fewest in league). The team has also been subpar in both the red zone (61%, 25th in NFL) and on third downs (40%, 22nd in league), but has allowed just 22.4 PPG (T-11th in NFL). Another positive sign is that San Diego has generated seven takeaways over the past three games, and will need to win the turnover battle like in Week 10 to hang in with the best team in the AFC.

      Denver's offense has been unbelievable this year, leading the NFL in points (39.6 PPG), yards (466 YPG), first downs (27.9 per game), third-down conversions (48%) and red-zone efficiency (79% touchdown rate). QB Peyton Manning has thrown at least two touchdowns in all but one game this year, piling up 800 yards and 9 TD passes in his past two contests. Although WR Wes Welker (778 rec. yards, 10 TD) is doubtful to play on Thursday, Manning still has plenty of options when he drops back. WR Demaryius Thomas (1,149 rec. yards, 11 TD) was the main man against the Chargers on Nov. 10 with 108 receiving yards and three touchdowns, while TE Julius Thomas (625 rec. yards, 11 TD) caught just three passes in the Week 10 meeting, but one of those was a 74-yard touchdown reception. WR Eric Decker (1,088 rec. yards, 8 TD) has been especially good over the past two games with a whopping 16 catches for 291 yards and 5 TD. But the Broncos are not just a one-dimensional passing offense, as their ground game averages 124 YPG (12th in NFL) including 566 rushing yards (189 YPG) over the past three games. Top RB Knowshon Moreno (920 rush yards, 12 total TD) rushed for 65 yards (4.3 YPC) and gained another 49 yards through the air on eight receptions in the Week 10 win over San Diego. The offense has needed to carry this team, as Denver's defense has been subpar, ranking 25th in the league in both scoring defense (26.5 PPG) and total defense (374 YPG). The unit has been decent on third downs (37%, 14th in NFL), but has been porous in the red zone (62% touchdown rate, T-27th in league). Denver tied for the NFL lead with 52 sacks last year, but has just 34 sacks this season (15th in NFL). Although the unit failed to force a turnover versus San Diego in Week 10, it has generated seven takeaways in the four games since.


      • #4
        Re: Free Service Plays Thursday 12/12/2013

        Sixth Sense

        Chargers +10


        • #5
          Re: Free Service Plays Thursday 12/12/2013

          Chicago Syndicate

          NFL Chargers +11.5

          NBA Clippers & Under


          • #6
            Re: Free Service Plays Thursday 12/12/2013

            LA Syndicate

            NFL Chargers Over

            NBA Trailblazers


            • #7
              Re: Free Service Plays Thursday 12/12/2013

              Jimmy Boyd

              3* Broncos -10


              • #8
                Re: Free Service Plays Thursday 12/12/2013

                Mighty Quinn

                Mighty hit with Wisconsin (-17 1/2) on Wednesday and likes Maryland on Thursday.

                The deficit is 1540 sirignanos.


                • #9
                  Re: Free Service Plays Thursday 12/12/2013

                  Gamblers Data

                  Free Plays Thursday

                  Clippers -3

                  Minnesota/San Jose under 5


                  • #10
                    Re: Free Service Plays Thursday 12/12/2013

                    Arthur Ralph Sports

                    Our Free Plays are 1138-870 (57%) over the last 5 1/2 years College FB 62-38 this yr,NFL 41-31:

                    Free winner THURS: Depaul -11


                    • #11
                      Re: Free Service Plays Thursday 12/12/2013

                      Winning Points

                      COLLEGE BASKETBALL

                      Boston College* over Maryland by 8
                      We knock Boston College and their soft ways (31.4 rebounds per game vs. 40.4
                      rebounds per game for #3-ranked national rebounders Maryland), but the biggest
                      home-cooked conference meals tend to come in home openers, and BC does shoot a
                      lot of threes to help offset their main weakness. They beat Maryland here last season
                      despite one Maryland player nailing 7 three-pointers. Hello? They also have a huge
                      edge in free-throw percentage, about 80% to 60%, and they’re probably a better team
                      now that shot-clanging guard Lonnie Jackson is seeing less floor time (19 minutes per
                      game vs. 28 per game a year ago).
                      BOSTON COLLEGE, 78-70.

                      Depaul* over Florida Atlantic by 12
                      "I love man-to-man, but the NCAA has basically turned this into a zone game," said
                      FAU head coach Mike Jarvis recently, about the new foul-calling rules. "We adjusted."
                      Of course, he said that after a home win against bricklaying Central Florida. This is
                      up in class, and on the road, against Blue Demons shooting 39.5% from three-point
                      range. Shut down 6’5” Pablo Bertone and you shut down the visiting Owls. Of course,
                      Depaul head coach Oliver Purnell would have to first figure that out, which he sometimes
                      doesn’t until his post-game address.
                      DEPAUL, 84-72.


                      • #12
                        Re: Free Service Plays Thursday 12/12/2013

                        Winning Points

                        PRO BASKETBALL

                        Los Angeles Clippers over *Brooklyn by 3
                        The Clippers are playing their sixth of seven consecutive road games and second in
                        two nights. Los Angeles is 3-1 ATS in the second of back-to-back games, but Doc
                        Rivers has yet to straighten out the defense.
                        LA CLIPPERS 105-102.

                        *Portland over Houston by 7
                        The surprisingly Trail Blazers have lost only twice at home. LaMarcus Aldridge is playing
                        at an MVP level and Portland has defensive stoppers Robin Lopez and Nicolas
                        Batum to cause problems for Houston's top-ranked offense.
                        PORTLAND 107-100.


                        • #13
                          Re: Free Service Plays Thursday 12/12/2013

                          Prediction Machine

                          San Diego Chargers +10.5 @ Denver Broncos (Covers 54.4%), OVER 55.5 (Covers 55.5%)
                          ATS Play Type: Light
                          O/U Play Type: Half-Bet

                          The Vitals:
                          Projected Score: San Diego 25.5 - Denver 34.3
                          SU Pick and Win%: Denver wins 69.7%
                          Week 15 SU Confidence Rank: #4
                          ATS Pick and Win%: San Diego Chargers +10.5 covers 54.4%
                          Week 15 ATS Confidence Rank: #9
                          ATS Wager for $50 player: $21
                          O/U Pick and Win%: OVER (55.5) 55.5%
                          Week 15 O/U Confidence Rank: #8
                          O/U Wager for $50 Player: $33


                          • #14
                            Re: Free Service Plays Thursday 12/12/2013


                            ★★★OVER THE TOTAL *DENVER 41 - San Diego 24—No signs of any letup
                            from Denver, still motivated by postseason consequences (Belichick’s
                            Patriots, lurking just one game behind, hold the tiebreaker over the Broncs for
                            home field in AFC). Besides, need some pretty good reasons to go against host
                            Denver, which has covered 11 of last 13 in reg. season at Sports Authority
                            Field. The Broncos had an easier time of it in first meeting at Qualcomm than the
                            28-20 scoreline might suggest. And the Chargers’ recent shuffling at CB is
                            hardly a positive vs. Practically Perfect Peyton (now 45 TDP in 2013 after
                            another four last week vs. the Titans!). Although the Nov. 10 meeting at S.D.
                            went “under,” Denver is now “over” 11-2 TY (and 48-20-1 since late 2009!).


                            • #15
                              Re: Free Service Plays Thursday 12/12/2013

                              NCAA Basketball Picks

                              Maryland at Boston College

                              The Terps look to bounce back from their 77-75 loss to George Washington on Sunday and build on their 6-1 ATS record in their last 7 games following an ATS defeat. Maryland is the pick (-2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Terps favored by 6 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Maryland (-2 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

                              THURSDAY, DECEMBER 12

                              Game 505-506: Maryland at Boston College (7:00 p.m. EST)
                              Dunkel Ratings: Maryland 65.678; Boston College 59.121
                              Dunkel Line: Maryland by 6 1/2
                              Vegas Line: Maryland by 2 1/2
                              Dunkel Pick: Maryland (-2 1/2)

                              Game 507-508: Florida Atlantic at DePaul (9:00 p.m. EST)
                              Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 46.818; DePaul 60.233
                              Dunkel Line: DePaul by 13 1/2
                              Vegas Line: DePaul by 11
                              Dunkel Pick: DePaul (-11)