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Re: game chatter 7-11
nats/hou under 8 wash is just an under team until further notice almost blindly. Last nights game only went over cuz reynolds for dbacks made 3 errors in the 9th and 10th innings. Houston on the road is 33 for 49 to the under 7 of last 10 and is hitting . vs righties 230 on road for year. Wash has scored a putrid 22 runs in last 8 games and are hitting .225 at home vs. righties. Oswalt and Redding are the aces and both are throwing well right now.
79% on cubs???? ok going to tread lightly in this one but firing anyways..under 11(1/2 unit)..#'s vs these 2 starters aren't very good vs marquis aurelia and winn have good but here are the rest bowker 0-3 3k's,durham 0-8,lewis 1-4,molina 0-6 4 k's,rowand 1-10,vizquel 1-9....vs cain..derosa 1-7, lee 3-12 6 k's, most others have never seen him or have 1-3 AB;s..fukodome out(hurt), edmonds out, cain 4-2 with sub 3 era vs cubs leads me to an under here....maybe wind changes everything but I don't think so today..
white sox 1st 5 inn (-1/2 run)+135 and sox -1.5 runs game(+125). This is a repeat of last nights bet. Floyd is one of the more promising young pitchers in the majors and he gives a consistant 3.1 3.2 era all year long this year. Out of all the kids that the rangers have brought up during this rash of injuries, Mendoza seems to be the least ready. He was a bullpen guy to start with and in his 1st couple times in the rotation has had problems throwing strikes. The shaky pen for the rangers has worked 20 innings in just the last 3 nights and w/out Mendoza going deep, the wear and tear will lead to a rout.
2 team parlay mil/bosox(1 unit to win 1.2 units)...I always say that a limited ab count shouldn't be used when figuring out if a player can hit a pitcher. In this case though when every player who will be in the starting 9 has solid(but limited)#'s you have to take notice. The starting 9 for the sox tonight are a combined 33 for 71 vs burres. sox starter Buccholz is 4-0 lifetime with a 1.52 era at fenway. Parra is rolling right now as he is 5-0 with a 2.70 era @miller park. and has a 1.5 era in his last 3 starts. Fogg looked good his 1st start off the DL, but who doesn't against nationals. I look for more of a revert to form performance here against a Brewer team that has put up 63 runs in their last 10 games
mets (-125) white hot mets send the streaky perez to the hill who is on a hot streak right now. Last 2 starts 14 IP 1 run and only 9 runners allowed. Control is his key and in the last 2 games he has only walked 2. During this 6 game win streak mets are hitting .329. The rockies are killed right now with injuries as Tulo,helton,spillborghs and baker are out of their lineup. That will take any team down. Cook just got named to the all star team but over the last 4 starts(including one vs the Mets) he has been below average, more like the cook we all know from the past. 28.2 inn 16 runs and 39 runners put on. Add in the bad road record all year for the rocks even when healthy and I think it adds up to another win here.
phi/zona under 9.5 .. kendrick is quietly 18-7 in his MLB career and is with all the offense in philly no one notices it. In his last 3 starts he has gone 20 IP and given up 4 runs a 1.8 era and had 26 runnersfor a solid 1.3 whip. Not bad for 2 road starts and one against the white hot mets. In the ongoing 7 game homestand philly has put up only 26 runs(9 in 1 game) and is hitting about 240 for the 7 games. This actually is not far from the norm as they hit about 253 for the season. You hear about all the HR but there aren't many long rallies just quick hits. Davis has been solid for the d-backs since coming back from cancer and has been giving quality starts for about a month now. In his last 5 starts he has gone 33.2 IP giving up 10 runs a 2.8 era. On the road zona is hitting a putrid .213 but it drops to only .209 vs righties
tigers/twins over 9...8 of 11 matchups between these 2 have gone over this year. Both teams bats are en fuego right now as Tigers have hit lefties for a .322BA at home. Twins have put up 59 runs in their last 10 games. and are hitting .339 vs righties in that span. Twins have beat Galarraga 3 times this year already. Perkins gives up 3 runs every start but I believe this is the time he gets bombed. Ump avg's about 10 runs a game on a whopping 312 pitches and the patient tiger and twins hitters will push some runs across
Last edited by lillefty; 07-11-08 at 06:50 PM.
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